Josh Hart▲

NYK · PF

PPG

12.1

RPG

7.6

APG

5.1

L5 PPG

15.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.5

12.1

15.6

RPG+1.0

7.6

8.6

APG-1.7

5.1

3.4

SPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

UNDER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

CLE

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs CLE: 10 pts

MIL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs MIL: 12 pts

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 10 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 10 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 18 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 12 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 7 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 33 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 11.5STAKE

67%

REB

OVER 7.5STAKE

61%

AST

OVER 4.5STAKE

58%

3PM

OVER 1.5

55%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

69%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

78%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

UNDER 2

60%

P+R

UNDER 18.5STAKE

58%

R+A

OVER 12.5STAKE

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.2

10.6

RPG

8.0

6.8

APG

5.2

4.5

vs BKN (H2H)17 games

PPG

11.9

RPG

8.0

APG

4.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Scottie Barnes	4	19	57%	-2.5%	medium
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	4	16	64%	+11.3%	medium
Miles Bridges	3	12	56%	-6.2%	medium
Paolo Banchero	3	10	59%

Hart’s all-around floor stays strong, but scoring upside is capped on the road

Josh Hart has been trending up overall, with his last 10 at 13.2 PPG, 8.1 RPG, and 4.4 APG versus season marks of 12.1, 7.6, and 5.1. The road split is the key limiter here: away from home he drops to 10.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG, and 4.5 APG, and this game is on the road for the Knicks. The matchup data does not give a specific defender that we should guess against, but Brooklyn’s team profile shows a 115.67 defensive rating and 100 pace, which points to a fairly controlled environment. His recent scoring volatility also suggests caution, so rebounds and combo floors look safer than a points over.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.6(↑ from 12.1)

RPG

8.6(↑ from 7.6)

APG

3.4(↓ from 5.1)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. Brooklyn’s defensive rating is 115.67 with a 100 pace, so the environment is not especially fast, and the available defender data does not provide a single clear target to attack.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Josh Hart▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Josh Hart▼	Rebounds	7.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Josh Hart▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Josh Hart▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Josh Hart▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	—	70%
Josh Hart▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	80%
Josh Hart▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	60%
Josh Hart▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%
Josh Hart▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%
Josh Hart▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS10.5UNDER34%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

3PM1UNDER6%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTA2UNDER54%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 6x4/2020%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA24UNDER38%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x9/2045%▼

P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A15.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

REB6.5OVER29%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM0.5UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST4UNDER9%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

STL1UNDER44%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%▼

3PA3UNDER15%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A11.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Josh Hart

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board: Hart is at 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 away, with no recent spike. The line sits meaningfully above his normal production, making the under the most reliable angle.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Noah Clowney	3	9	10	33%	44%
Michael Porter Jr.	3	7	12	56%	67%
Egor Dëmin	3	4	8	75%	100%
Drake Powell	3	3	0	0%	0%
Ziaire Williams	2	3	5	67%	83%

pointsUNDER 11.567%MEDIUM

His season average is 12.1 PPG, but his away mark is only 10.6 PPG and the last 20 sits at 12.2. With scoring volatility and a road setting, the under is a safer lean than paying for an over.

reboundsOVER 7.561%MEDIUM

Hart averages 7.6 RPG on the season and 6.8 away, while his last 5 is 8.6 RPG and last 10 is 8.1. The rebound role has been stable enough to edge above 7.5 despite road regression risk.

assistsOVER 4.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.05 APG and the last 20 is 4.8 APG, both sitting above 4.5. The recent 3.4 APG last 5 is lower, so confidence is moderate rather than strong.

threesOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

He averages 1.48 threes per game on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, which is right on the edge. Because the line is near his average, this is playable but not high confidence.

stealsUNDER 1.569%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 steals per game season-long and 0.7 away, both below 1.5. His last 5 is only 0.8, making the under the clearer side.

blocksUNDER 0.578%HIGH

Hart averages just 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 away. That is well below 0.5, so the under is the strongest single-category angle.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His combined season average is 1.41 stocks, and his last 10 is 1.3. With the line set above his mean, the under is the more conservative play.

turnoversUNDER 260%MEDIUM

He has 1.6 turnovers per game in both the last 5 and last 10 samples, which is below 2.0. That makes the under reasonable if a turnovers market is available.

prUNDER 18.558%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds rate to 19.7, but the away split and lower scoring environment pull this down. Combo props carry extra variance, so this is only a moderate lean.

raOVER 12.555%MEDIUM

He averages 7.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists on the season, which totals 12.7 and clears 12.5 by a small margin. The road split is close to the line at 11.3, so this is not a strong edge.

timelineUNDER 11.5 PTS