AI Model:

Josh Minott▲

BKN · PF

PPG

6.2

RPG

3.2

APG

0.9

L5 PPG

11.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.0

6.2

11.2

RPG-1.4

3.2

1.8

APG-0.3

0.9

0.6

SPG+0.4

0.8

1.2

BPG+0.4

0.4

0.8

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

HOU

2026-02-04

2026-02-04 vs HOU: 0 pts

SAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs SAS: 0 pts

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 9 pts

CLE

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CLE: 5 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 0 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 9 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 24 pts

PHI

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs PHI: 14 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 9 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5

62%

REB

UNDER 3

68%

AST

UNDER 1

64%

3PM

OVER 1

58%

STL

OVER 0.5

57%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

60%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

OVER 1

56%

PRA

UNDER 10.5

67%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

3.5

6.2

RPG

0.9

1.8

APG

0.5

vs NYK (H2H)4 games

PPG

6.0

RPG

2.5

APG

0.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Evan Mobley	3	9	0%	-50.0%	medium
Tyrese Maxey	3	7	75%	+0.0%	medium
Jalen Brunson	2	7	14%	-35.7%	low
Franz Wagner	3	5	67%

Minott’s scoring spike is real, but the baseline still points to an under

Josh Minott’s recent form is better than his season line, with 11.2 PPG over the last 5 compared to 6.2 PPG on the season and a bump in stocks production as well. That said, his last-20 scoring mark is only 4.8 PPG and his home split is weaker at 3.5 PPG in 9.7 MPG, which keeps the long-term expectation modest. The Knicks are on a back-to-back, but there is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so the main lean comes from Minott’s volatile minutes and regression risk. With his season std of 5.98 points and recent std of 7.42, the scoring range is wide, but the season average still anchors the projection lower than the recent surge.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.2(↑ from 6.2)

RPG

1.8(↓ from 3.2)

APG

0.6(↓ from 0.9)

Stocks

2.0(↑ from 1.2)

Threes

1.2(→ from 1.1)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data, so no individual defender edge can be assumed. The Knicks’ defense context shows a 110.6 defensive rating, pace of 100, and a slight scoring suppression of -1.087, which does not strongly point to an easy offensive spot.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Josh Minott▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	22	✗
Josh Minott▼	Rebounds	3	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	100%	5	✗
Josh Minott▼	Assists	1	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	90%	2	✗
Josh Minott▼	3PM	1	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	6	✓
Josh Minott▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✓
Josh Minott▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✗
Josh Minott▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	3	✗
Josh Minott▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	30%	3	✓
Josh Minott▼	PRA	10.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	29	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS12.5UNDER15%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)7/1450%▼

REB4.5UNDER55%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x3/1421%+27.1% edge▼

FTA2.5UNDER11%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)7/1450%▼

PRA14.5OVER25%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)7/1450%▼

FTM2UNDER30%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x5/1436%▼

P+A13OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)7/1450%▼

STL1UNDER31%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)5/1436%▼

3PA5UNDER6%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x5/1436%▼

R+A3.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x6/1443%▼

P+R15OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)7/1450%▼

3PM1.5OVER26%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)8/1457%▼

Featured Pick

Josh Minott

Rebounds UNDER 3.0HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his season mean is 3.19 RPG, but his recent production has dropped to 1.8 RPG over both the last 5 and last 10. His home split is also very light at 0.9 RPG in 9.7 MPG, making 3 rebounds a tougher number to clear than the market may suggest.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Brunson	2	7	2	14%	14%
OG Anunoby	1	4	7	75%	88%
Mitchell Robinson	2	3	0	0%	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	2	8	60%	60%
Jordan Clarkson	2	2	3	50%	75%

pointsUNDER 6.562%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.24 PPG and his last-20 is only 4.8 PPG, so the recent 11.2 PPG burst is running hot versus the longer sample. The 5.98-point season std adds volatility, but the baseline still favors a modest scoring outcome.

reboundsUNDER 368%MEDIUM

He averages 3.19 RPG on the season, but just 1.8 RPG over the last 5 and 1.8 over the last 10. His home split is only 0.9 RPG in 9.7 MPG, which keeps this below a 3.0 expectation.

assistsUNDER 164%MEDIUM

Minott’s season mean is 0.93 APG and his recent mean is 0.6 APG, so the edge is slight but still below 1.0. His low-volume role makes assists difficult to project upward.

threesOVER 158%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 made threes per game on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, with 1.1 recent attempts per game in the latest sample. This is a narrow over, but his three-point profile is one of the few categories with consistent volume.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals per game on the season and 1.0 over the last 10. The recent defensive activity supports a modest over despite the usual volatility in steals.

blocksUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

His season mean is only 0.4 BPG and the last-20 mark is 0.3 BPG. Even with a 0.8 BPG last-5 spike, the longer sample says this is still more likely to land under 0.5.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

Season stocks average is 1.21 and the last-10 is 1.6, but the last-20 is just 1.2. Because stocks are volatile and his season baseline is below the line, the under is the safer side.

turnoversOVER 156%MEDIUM

He is at 0.8 turnovers over the last 20 and 1.2 over the last 10, with 1.4 over the last 5. The recent usage bump makes 1.0 a reachable over, though the sample is still small.

praUNDER 10.567%MEDIUM

His season averages sum to 10.33 PRA, while the last-20 profile is only 6.7 PRA via the component means. Given the combo-prop variance and his limited minutes, the under is the preferred side.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS