AI Model:

Mikal Bridges▲

NYK · PG

PPG

14.8

RPG

4.1

APG

3.9

L5 PPG

8.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-6.8

14.8

8.0

RPG+0.5

4.1

4.6

APG-1.3

3.9

2.6

SPG-0.6

1.4

0.8

BPG+0.2

0.8

1.0

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 25 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 11 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 15 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 9 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 0 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 7 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 5 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 11 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 7 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 10 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

57%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

62%

PRA

UNDER 20.5FANDUEL

59%

P+A

UNDER 16.5FANDUEL

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.9

11.4

RPG

4.4

3.5

APG

2.6

3.4

vs BKN (H2H)12 games

PPG

16.8

RPG

4.5

APG

3.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	4	23	35%	-13.5%	medium
Norman Powell	4	21	56%	-2.6%	medium
Brandon Ingram	4	17	64%	+8.3%	medium
Tyrese Maxey	3	14	60%

Bridges’ shot volume is cooling, but the 3-ball value still stands out

Mikal Bridges is carrying a clear downtrend in scoring, with 8.0 PPG over his last 5 and 10.0 over his last 10 versus a 14.8 season average. His minutes have also dipped to 27.4 in the last 5 from 33.4 for the season, which helps explain the softer output. The matchup isn’t particularly restrictive from the data alone: Brooklyn allows a 115.67 defensive rating with a pace of 100, and Bridges has averaged 16.83 PPG, 4.5 RPG, and 3.42 APG in 12 games against this opponent. The best-looking angle is threes, where his 1.96 season average and 1.4 last-20 average support value even with recent inconsistency.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.0(↓ from 14.8)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.1)

APG

2.6(↓ from 3.9)

3PM

1.2(↓ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Brooklyn’s team defense data shows a 115.67 defensive rating, pace of 100, and 0.07 scoring suppression, which is only a mild drag on offensive output.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Mikal Bridges▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	9	✓
Mikal Bridges▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	7	✓
Mikal Bridges▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	2	✓
Mikal Bridges▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	1	✗
Mikal Bridges▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	0	✓
Mikal Bridges▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Mikal Bridges▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✗
Mikal Bridges▼	PRA	20.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	18	✓
Mikal Bridges▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	11	✓

ML Scout Analysis

3PM1OVER26%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

3PA4.5UNDER38%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

PRA17UNDER18%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+R15UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

PTS11UNDER31%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

REB3UNDER25%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST2UNDER10%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

FTA0.5UNDER2%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

Featured Pick

Mikal Bridges

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value spot in the data: he averages 1.96 made threes this season, and the provided value props show strong positive edge on the over at 1.5. Even with a recent dip to 1.4 over the last 20, the combination of season baseline and market edge makes this the best play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Michael Porter Jr.	3	12	6	33%	33%
Egor Dëmin	3	7	3	25%	38%
Drake Powell	4	5	5	50%	63%
Ziaire Williams	3	4	2	50%	50%
Tyrese Martin	2	4	3	33%	50%

pointsUNDER 12.566%MEDIUM

Season mean is 14.8, but the recent dip to 8.0 over the last 5 and 10.0 over the last 10 points to reduced scoring form. With last-5 minutes at 27.4 and the recent sample well below the season baseline, the under is the safer side.

reboundsOVER 3.560%MEDIUM

He averages 4.1 rebounds for the season and 4.2 over the last 10, so 3.5 is a modest bar. The recent rebound rate has held up despite lower minutes.

assistsUNDER 3.558%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 3.9, but the last 5 is only 2.6 and the last 10 is 2.8. That recent drop outweighs the season baseline for a tight over/under number.

threesOVER 1.569%MEDIUM

He averages 1.96 made threes for the season and 1.4 over the last 20, which still supports 2+ makes more often than not. The provided value data also shows positive edge on the over at 1.5.

stealsUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 1.4, but the last 5 is 0.8 and the last 10 is 1.0, so 1.5 is above his typical recent output. The recent trend does not support consistently clearing this number.

blocksOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 blocks on the season and 1.0 over the last 5 and last 10, so 0.5 is a low threshold. The recent logs also show multiple games with at least one block.

stocksOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.23 and the last 10 is 2.0, both comfortably above 1.5. That gives this combo a reasonable floor even with some scoring volatility.

praUNDER 20.559%MEDIUM

His recent scoring has fallen enough that 20.5 is harder to reach than the season line might imply. Since combo props add variance, the under is preferable given the 8.0 last-5 PPG.

paUNDER 16.557%MEDIUM

He combines 14.8 points and 3.9 assists on the season, but the recent assist and scoring dip makes 16.5 less attractive. The lower recent minutes also cap this pair.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS