Nic Claxton▲

BKN · C

PPG

11.9

RPG

7.1

APG

3.8

L5 PPG

7.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.9

11.9

7.0

RPG-0.5

7.1

6.6

APG-1.2

3.8

2.6

SPG-0.7

0.7

0.0

BPG-0.2

1.2

1.0

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

SAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs SAS: 12 pts

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 12 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 4 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 16 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 2 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 2 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 8 pts

POR

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs POR: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 4 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

72%

REB

UNDER 8.5STAKE

68%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

64%

BLK

UNDER 1.5STAKE

66%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

58%

P+R

UNDER 21.5STAKE

67%

P+A

UNDER 16.5STAKE

61%

R+A

OVER 11.5STAKE

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.6

9.5

RPG

6.7

5.9

APG

3.7

3.5

vs NYK (H2H)17 games

PPG

8.3

RPG

7.5

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Karl-Anthony Towns	4	21	52%	-14.2%	medium
Jalen Duren	4	18	69%	+11.7%	medium
Neemias Queta	3	16	50%	-7.1%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	15	43%

Claxton's minutes dip makes the under side more appealing

Nic Claxton is averaging 11.9 PPG, 7.1 RPG, and 3.8 APG on the season, but his recent form has cooled to 7.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG, and 2.6 APG over the last 5 with minutes down to 21.2. He is at home tonight, where his production is slightly better than away, but the Knicks are on a back-to-back and the game context still points to a lower-minute environment for a rotation big. His matchup history versus this opponent is modest at 8.294117647058824 PPG, 7.470588235294118 RPG, and 2 APG across 17 games, which keeps the projection closer to his recent range than his season average.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.0(↓ from 11.9)

RPG

6.6(↓ from 7.1)

APG

2.6(↓ from 3.8)

Key Matchup

There is defender data listed, but no specific defender matchup data for Claxton should be guessed from it. The opponent’s defense shows a 110.6 defensive rating and a 100 pace, with -1.087 scoring suppression and -0.042 three suppression, which supports a more controlled scoring environment.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Nic Claxton▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	90%	8	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Rebounds	8.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	7	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Nic Claxton▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	15	✓
Nic Claxton▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	8	✓
Nic Claxton▼	R+A	11.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	7	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA19UNDER0%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

FTM2UNDER60%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 11x4/2020%▼

P+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

AST3UNDER48%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 10x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

PTS10UNDER29%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB6UNDER11%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA2UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Nic Claxton

Points UNDER 13.5HIGH

Claxton’s season scoring average is 11.9 PPG, but his last 5 has dropped to 7.0 and his minutes are down to 21.2 from 28.4 season-long. The 13.5 line sits above both his season mean and recent form, making the under the strongest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Karl-Anthony Towns	4	21	39	43%	52%
Mitchell Robinson	3	6	9	80%	80%
Jalen Brunson	4	3	4	40%	40%
Mikal Bridges	4	2	11	63%	69%
Josh Hart	3	2	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 13.572%HIGH

His season mean is 11.9 PPG and his last 5 is only 7.0, while his minutes have fallen to 21.2. With a 13.5 line, the recent usage and playing-time trend favor the under.

reboundsUNDER 8.568%MEDIUM

Claxton is at 7.1 RPG for the season and 6.6 RPG over the last 5, below this number. His b2b rebound mean is 5.9 and recent minutes are lighter, both pointing down.

assistsUNDER 3.564%MEDIUM

He averages 3.84 APG on the season but only 2.6 APG over the last 5 and 2.6 over the last 10. The 3.5 line is above his recent baseline, so the under is the safer side.

blocksUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He has 1.2 BPG on the season and 1.0 over the last 5, but the 1.5 threshold is still a high ask. With recent minutes at 21.2, ceiling outcomes are harder to reach.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

His season average of 0.7 SPG clears 0.5, and he has 0.7 SPG in away splits and 0.6 over the last 20. The line is low enough that a single steal gets there.

prUNDER 21.567%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile is 19.0 using 11.9 PPG and 7.1 RPG, which is below 21.5. Recent production and reduced minutes make the under the better value.

paUNDER 16.561%MEDIUM

He averages 15.74 P+A by season means and 9.6 P+A over the last 5, so 16.5 is well above his recent output. The under is supported by the drop in scoring and assists.

raOVER 11.556%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists total is 10.9, but his last 20 is 10.0 and the current line is close enough to the range where a normal game can land near it. This is a lower-confidence prop because his recent minutes are down.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS