Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 4 | 21 | 52% | -14.2% | medium |
| Jalen Duren | 4 | 18 | 69% | +11.7% | medium |
| Neemias Queta | 3 | 16 | 50% | -7.1% | medium |
| Nikola Vučević | 3 | 15 | 43% |
Nic Claxton is averaging 11.9 PPG, 7.1 RPG, and 3.8 APG on the season, but his recent form has cooled to 7.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG, and 2.6 APG over the last 5 with minutes down to 21.2. He is at home tonight, where his production is slightly better than away, but the Knicks are on a back-to-back and the game context still points to a lower-minute environment for a rotation big. His matchup history versus this opponent is modest at 8.294117647058824 PPG, 7.470588235294118 RPG, and 2 APG across 17 games, which keeps the projection closer to his recent range than his season average.
There is defender data listed, but no specific defender matchup data for Claxton should be guessed from it. The opponent’s defense shows a 110.6 defensive rating and a 100 pace, with -1.087 scoring suppression and -0.042 three suppression, which supports a more controlled scoring environment.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nic Claxton▼ | Points | 13.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 8 | ✓ |
Nic Claxton▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% | 7 | ✓ |
Nic Claxton▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Nic Claxton▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Nic Claxton▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Nic Claxton▼ | P+R | 21.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 15 | ✓ |
Nic Claxton▼ | P+A | 16.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% | 8 | ✓ |
Nic Claxton▼ | R+A | 11.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 7 | ✗ |
Claxton’s season scoring average is 11.9 PPG, but his last 5 has dropped to 7.0 and his minutes are down to 21.2 from 28.4 season-long. The 13.5 line sits above both his season mean and recent form, making the under the strongest play.
| medium |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 3 | 15 | 63% | +5.4% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 4 | 21 | 39 | 43% | 52% |
| Mitchell Robinson | 3 | 6 | 9 | 80% | 80% |
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 3 | 4 | 40% | 40% |
| Mikal Bridges | 4 | 2 | 11 | 63% | 69% |
| Josh Hart | 3 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
His season mean is 11.9 PPG and his last 5 is only 7.0, while his minutes have fallen to 21.2. With a 13.5 line, the recent usage and playing-time trend favor the under.
Claxton is at 7.1 RPG for the season and 6.6 RPG over the last 5, below this number. His b2b rebound mean is 5.9 and recent minutes are lighter, both pointing down.
He averages 3.84 APG on the season but only 2.6 APG over the last 5 and 2.6 over the last 10. The 3.5 line is above his recent baseline, so the under is the safer side.
He has 1.2 BPG on the season and 1.0 over the last 5, but the 1.5 threshold is still a high ask. With recent minutes at 21.2, ceiling outcomes are harder to reach.
His season average of 0.7 SPG clears 0.5, and he has 0.7 SPG in away splits and 0.6 over the last 20. The line is low enough that a single steal gets there.
His season points plus rebounds profile is 19.0 using 11.9 PPG and 7.1 RPG, which is below 21.5. Recent production and reduced minutes make the under the better value.
He averages 15.74 P+A by season means and 9.6 P+A over the last 5, so 16.5 is well above his recent output. The under is supported by the drop in scoring and assists.
His season rebounds plus assists total is 10.9, but his last 20 is 10.0 and the current line is close enough to the range where a normal game can land near it. This is a lower-confidence prop because his recent minutes are down.