AI Model:

Nolan Traore▼

BKN · PG

PPG

8.3

RPG

1.6

APG

3.6

L5 PPG

8.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.1

8.3

8.4

RPG0.0

1.6

APG-0.4

3.6

3.2

SPG-0.3

0.7

0.4

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 9.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

9.5

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 8 pts

CLE

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CLE: 17 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 14 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 2 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 17 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 2 pts

PHI

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs PHI: 6 pts

POR

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs POR: 4 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 13 pts

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 9.5DRAFTKINGS

74%

REB

OVER 1.5BETONLINEAG

58%

AST

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

3PM

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

60%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

OVER 2.5

62%

P+A

OVER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

P+R

UNDER 11.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.7

10.7

RPG

2.4

1.7

APG

4.8

4.6

vs NYK (H2H)1 games

PPG

0.0

RPG

1.0

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	2	7	58%	+12.2%	low
Bub Carrington	2	6	50%	+2.2%	low
Dyson Daniels	2	6	100%	+62.2%	low
LaMelo Ball	2	6	80%

Traore’s scoring ceiling looks capped, but the assist market is still workable

Nolan Traore is producing 8.3 PPG, 3.6 APG, and 1.6 RPG on the season, with his last 5 dipping slightly to 8.4 PPG and 3.2 APG while the usage trend points down. His recent game log is volatile: he has reached 13 and 17 points in two of the last five, but also posted 4, 6, and 2, and the turnover volume remains high at 2.8 in the last 5 and 3.2 in the last 10. Against this opponent he has one prior game with 0 points, 1 rebound, and 3 assists in 19 minutes, so the baseline projection is modest rather than explosive.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.4(→ from 8.3)

APG

3.2(↓ from 3.6)

RPG

1.6(→ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 110.6 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring suppression of -1.087, which points to a tougher scoring environment. He also has one prior game against this opponent with 0 points in 19 minutes, and the key defender table is available, but no specific defender matchup data should be over-read from it.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Nolan Traore▼	Points	9.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	60%	11	✗
Nolan Traore▼	Rebounds	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✓
Nolan Traore▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	7	✓
Nolan Traore▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Nolan Traore▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗
Nolan Traore▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	70%	2	✗
Nolan Traore▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%	3	✗
Nolan Traore▼	Turnovers	2.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	60%	4	✓
Nolan Traore▼	P+A	12.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	18	✓
Nolan Traore▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	13	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA22.5UNDER18%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)3/2015%+34.0% edge▼

P+A15OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

PTS14.5UNDER26%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%+21.5% edge▼

REB2.5UNDER22%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%+23.7% edge▼

3PA4UNDER3%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

FTM1.5UNDER17%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

FTA2UNDER15%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)6/2030%▼

R+A6.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

P+R13OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

AST5.5OVER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

STL1UNDER34%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)4/2020%▼

3PM1.5OVER15%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Nolan Traore

Points UNDER 9.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the dataset: his season mean is 8.3 points, the value model lists UNDER as the best side with a 13.1% edge and 24.52 EV per 100 at DraftKings, and his recent form has not shown enough sustained scoring to push confidently above 9.5. The matchup environment also leans against a scoring surge, so the under is the strongest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Landry Shamet	2	4	3	33%	50%
Mikal Bridges	2	3	6	50%	50%
Miles McBride	1	3	3	100%	100%
OG Anunoby	2	2	4	50%	50%
Jalen Brunson	2	2	3	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 9.574%HIGH

His season mean is 8.26 points and the value data shows UNDER as the best side at DraftKings with a 13.1% edge and 24.52 EV per 100. The last 10 is only 9.2, and the matchup data does not support a strong scoring spike.

reboundsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.61 rebounds on the season and 1.7 over the last 5, which is enough to lean over a low 1.5 line. Confidence stays moderate because rebound volume is low and the standard deviation is meaningful relative to the mean.

assistsOVER 3.556%MEDIUM

His season mean is 3.63 assists and last 10 sits at 3.6, so this is close to a fair line. Value data shows a small positive edge on the over, but the margin is thin, so this is only a mild lean.

threesOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 1.0 threes per game on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 is more likely than not. The recent 3-point attempt volume also supports this look, even if the edge is not huge.

stealsUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

He is below the 0.8-per-game threshold at 0.7 steals on the season, and his last 5 is just 0.4. The lower-end volume profile makes the under the safer side.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages only 0.4 blocks per game, which is below the meaningful volume threshold. Even though he has a couple recent block appearances, the season baseline still favors the under.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His combined season stocks are 1.02 and the recent mean is 1.1, both short of a 1.5 line. The output is conservative because this is a higher-variance category with no strong season support.

turnoversOVER 2.562%MEDIUM

Recent turnover pressure is a real concern, with 2.8 in the last 5 and 3.2 in the last 10. The game log shows multiple 5- and 6-turnover outings, making the over more appealing than a projected low line.

paOVER 12.554%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is close to this range, and the last 20 trend at 11.2 PPG and 4.7 APG supports combo upside. Still, combo props carry extra variance, so confidence remains modest.

prUNDER 11.567%MEDIUM

He averages 8.3 points and 1.6 rebounds, for a season baseline well below 11.5 before accounting for recent inconsistency. The under is favored because scoring has not been stable enough to justify a higher combo threshold.

timelineUNDER 9.5 PTS