Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Sheppard | 2 | 7 | 58% | +12.2% | low |
| Bub Carrington | 2 | 6 | 50% | +2.2% | low |
| Dyson Daniels | 2 | 6 | 100% | +62.2% | low |
| LaMelo Ball | 2 | 6 | 80% |
Nolan Traore is producing 8.3 PPG, 3.6 APG, and 1.6 RPG on the season, with his last 5 dipping slightly to 8.4 PPG and 3.2 APG while the usage trend points down. His recent game log is volatile: he has reached 13 and 17 points in two of the last five, but also posted 4, 6, and 2, and the turnover volume remains high at 2.8 in the last 5 and 3.2 in the last 10. Against this opponent he has one prior game with 0 points, 1 rebound, and 3 assists in 19 minutes, so the baseline projection is modest rather than explosive.
The opponent defense data shows a 110.6 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring suppression of -1.087, which points to a tougher scoring environment. He also has one prior game against this opponent with 0 points in 19 minutes, and the key defender table is available, but no specific defender matchup data should be over-read from it.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Traore▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 11 | ✗ |
Nolan Traore▼ | Rebounds | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
Nolan Traore▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 7 | ✓ |
Nolan Traore▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
Nolan Traore▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Nolan Traore▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 70% | 2 | ✗ |
Nolan Traore▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 3 | ✗ |
Nolan Traore▼ | Turnovers | 2.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 4 | ✓ |
Nolan Traore▼ | P+A | 12.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 18 | ✓ |
Nolan Traore▼ | P+R | 11.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 13 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest edge in the dataset: his season mean is 8.3 points, the value model lists UNDER as the best side with a 13.1% edge and 24.52 EV per 100 at DraftKings, and his recent form has not shown enough sustained scoring to push confidently above 9.5. The matchup environment also leans against a scoring surge, so the under is the strongest play.
| low |
| CJ McCollum | 3 | 6 | 83% | +28.9% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landry Shamet | 2 | 4 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges | 2 | 3 | 6 | 50% | 50% |
| Miles McBride | 1 | 3 | 3 | 100% | 100% |
| OG Anunoby | 2 | 2 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson | 2 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 50% |
His season mean is 8.26 points and the value data shows UNDER as the best side at DraftKings with a 13.1% edge and 24.52 EV per 100. The last 10 is only 9.2, and the matchup data does not support a strong scoring spike.
He averages 1.61 rebounds on the season and 1.7 over the last 5, which is enough to lean over a low 1.5 line. Confidence stays moderate because rebound volume is low and the standard deviation is meaningful relative to the mean.
His season mean is 3.63 assists and last 10 sits at 3.6, so this is close to a fair line. Value data shows a small positive edge on the over, but the margin is thin, so this is only a mild lean.
He averages exactly 1.0 threes per game on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 is more likely than not. The recent 3-point attempt volume also supports this look, even if the edge is not huge.
He is below the 0.8-per-game threshold at 0.7 steals on the season, and his last 5 is just 0.4. The lower-end volume profile makes the under the safer side.
He averages only 0.4 blocks per game, which is below the meaningful volume threshold. Even though he has a couple recent block appearances, the season baseline still favors the under.
His combined season stocks are 1.02 and the recent mean is 1.1, both short of a 1.5 line. The output is conservative because this is a higher-variance category with no strong season support.
Recent turnover pressure is a real concern, with 2.8 in the last 5 and 3.2 in the last 10. The game log shows multiple 5- and 6-turnover outings, making the over more appealing than a projected low line.
His season points plus assists profile is close to this range, and the last 20 trend at 11.2 PPG and 4.7 APG supports combo upside. Still, combo props carry extra variance, so confidence remains modest.
He averages 8.3 points and 1.6 rebounds, for a season baseline well below 11.5 before accounting for recent inconsistency. The under is favored because scoring has not been stable enough to justify a higher combo threshold.