Tyler Kolek▲

NYK · PG

PPG

4.5

RPG

1.7

APG

2.9

L5 PPG

1.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.5

4.5

1.0

RPG-1.1

1.7

0.6

APG+0.1

2.9

3.0

SPG0.0

0.4

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

UNDER 4.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

4.5

BOS

2026-02-08

2026-02-08 vs BOS: 6 pts

PHI

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs PHI: 3 pts

CLE

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs CLE: 4 pts

MIL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs MIL: 3 pts

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 0 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 0 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 2 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 0 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 3 pts

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 4.5

83%

REB

UNDER 1.5

78%

AST

UNDER 3

58%

3PM

OVER 0.5

52%

STL+BLK

UNDER 0.5

64%

UNDER 0.5

67%

PRA

UNDER 8

61%

P+A

UNDER 7.5

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

4.4

2.6

RPG

0.8

1.2

APG

2.4

3.2

vs BKN (H2H)5 games

PPG

2.6

RPG

1.6

APG

2.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tyus Jones	3	9	50%	-10.2%	medium
Luke Kennard	2	5	100%	+56.5%	low
Drake Powell	2	5	58%	+6.5%	low
Dru Smith	2	5	0%

Kolek’s workload points to a low-output night

Tyler Kolek’s season line is modest at 4.5 points, 1.7 rebounds, and 2.9 assists in 12.5 MPG, but his recent playing time has dropped sharply to 6.1 MPG over the last 10 and 7.2 MPG over the last 5. That makes his current production profile much more aligned with a reserve who needs efficiency and minutes to beat numbers, especially since his last-5 scoring is just 1.0 PPG. The matchup context doesn’t create a clear boost, and his head-to-head sample versus this opponent is only 2.6 PPG and 2.4 APG across 5 games. With a back-to-back for the Knicks and no specific defender matchup data, the safest angle is leaning under on volume-based props.

Stat Trends

PPG

1.0(↓ from 4.5)

APG

3.0(→ from 2.9)

RPG

0.6(↓ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

The opponent data shows a 115.67 defensive rating and a 100 pace, while Kolek’s 5-game history vs this opponent is only 2.6 PPG and 2.4 APG in 10.6 MPG. Key defender data is available, but no specific defender matchup data strongly changes the projection.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Tyler Kolek▼	Points	4.5	UNDER	83%HIGH	1/2	90%
Tyler Kolek▼	Rebounds	1.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	80%
Tyler Kolek▼	Assists	3	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	80%
Tyler Kolek▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Tyler Kolek▼	STL+BLK	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	90%
Tyler Kolek▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	80%
Tyler Kolek▼	PRA	8	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%
Tyler Kolek▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%

ML Scout Analysis

REB2UNDER54%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)3/933%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

P+R8UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)3/933%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)3/933%▼

PTS5UNDER26%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x4/944%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM1OVER27%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)3/933%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA11UNDER22%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)4/944%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)2/922%▼

AST4UNDER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)3/933%▼

3PA3UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 7x2/922%▼

Featured Pick

Tyler Kolek

Points UNDER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest read because his season average is 4.5 PPG, but his recent form has fallen to 2.1 PPG over the last 10 and 1.0 PPG over the last 5. With minutes down to 6.1 recently and his head-to-head scoring at 2.6 PPG, the under has the best combination of form and workload support.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Drake Powell	2	5	7	50%	58%
Terance Mann	2	3	0	0%	0%
Tyson Etienne	2	2	0	0%	0%
Tyrese Martin	2	1	0	0%	0%
Ziaire Williams	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 4.583%HIGH

His season average is 4.5 PPG, but the recent drops to 2.1 PPG over the last 10 and 1.0 PPG over the last 5 show clear regression in scoring volume. With minutes down to 6.1 recently, he needs an outlier game to clear this.

reboundsUNDER 1.578%HIGH

He averages 1.7 RPG for the season, but only 0.5 RPG over the last 10 and 0.6 over the last 5. The recent minute shrinkage makes rebound volume hard to trust.

assistsUNDER 358%MEDIUM

His season mean is 2.89 APG and last-10 mark is 2.1 APG, so this sits near the middle of his range. The back-to-back context and recent 6.1 MPG reduce upside enough to favor the under.

threesOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.69 threes per game on the season and 0.5 over the last 10, so he still has a path to one made three even in limited run. This is a low-confidence lean because the recent volume is light.

stocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is only 0.45, and the recent mark is 0.3. That makes a 1+ stocks outcome less likely unless he spikes in defensive stats.

turnoversUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

He is at just 0.3 turnovers per game over the last 10 and 0.0 over the last 5, so the low-minute role is limiting turnover chances. This is a safer under than most volume props.

praUNDER 861%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 8.9, but recent minutes and production have fallen to a much lower level. Because combo props carry more variance, the under is still the cleaner side here.

paUNDER 7.557%MEDIUM

Points plus assists seasonally come to 7.4, and recent scoring is too weak to comfortably project an over. The back-to-back context also limits the chance of a bigger workload.

timelineUNDER 4.5 PTS