AI Model:

Ayo Dosunmu▲

MIN · SG

PPG

14.6

RPG

3.0

APG

3.4

L5 PPG

17.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.4

14.6

17.0

RPG+2.6

3.0

5.6

APG-0.2

3.4

3.2

SPG-0.2

0.8

0.6

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

17.5

LAC

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAC: 12 pts

DEN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DEN: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 14 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 3 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 13 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 18 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 19 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 23 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

78%

REB

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

62%

AST

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

73%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

58%

STL

OVER 0.5

60%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

57%

UNDER 2

64%

P+A

UNDER 21.5FANDUEL

69%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.2

14.1

RPG

3.4

4.1

APG

3.2

3.7

vs POR (H2H)10 games

PPG

12.0

RPG

2.5

APG

4.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	3	11	28%	-29.6%	medium
Egor Dëmin	3	11	38%	-26.8%	medium
Desmond Bane	4	11	67%	+14.9%	medium
Ausar Thompson	3	10	38%

Dosunmu’s volume is solid, but the pricing leans conservative

Ayo Dosunmu is coming in with an uptrend in form, posting 17.0 PPG over his last 5 versus 14.6 PPG for the season, but that spike is higher than his baseline and includes some volatility. His season profile is steady across points, rebounds, and assists, while the matchup data points to a tougher scoring environment with the opponent’s scoring suppression at 0.461 and three-point suppression at 0.813. His head-to-head line against this opponent is also modest at 12.0 PPG and 4.2 APG across 10 games, which keeps the projection from getting too aggressive. With no specific defender matchup data available, the safer angle is to lean under on inflated scoring and combo lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.0(↑ from 14.6)

RPG

5.6(↑ from 3.0)

APG

3.2(→ from 3.4)

3PM

2.0(↑ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

The opponent context is not cleanly tied to one named defender here, so there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on. The broader matchup signals are more useful: scoring suppression is 0.461 and three-point suppression is 0.813, which both lean against ceiling outcomes.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Actual	Result
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	70%	17	✓
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	60%	10	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	80%	8	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	30%	3	✓
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	40%	0	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	70%	0	✓
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	90%	2	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	90%	25	✗

ML Scout Analysis

FTA1.5OVER11%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

REB4.5OVER23%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

3PA3.5UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

P+R18.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A17.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

PTS16.5OVER9%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

AST4.5UNDER20%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%+14.4% edge▼

PRA25.5OVER6%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

3PM1.5UNDER24%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%+12.8% edge▼

FTM1UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Ayo Dosunmu

Points UNDER 17.5HIGH

This is the cleanest read because his season mean is 14.6 PPG, his last 10 is 13.6, and his head-to-head average is only 12.0 PPG across 10 games. The recent surge to 17.0 over the last 5 is notable, but it is still not enough to outweigh the season baseline and the matchup suppression.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Toumani Camara	4	10	2	33%	33%
Scoot Henderson	3	8	2	50%	50%
Jrue Holiday	3	8	9	50%	56%
Kris Murray	3	3	2	100%	100%
Jerami Grant	4	3	5	67%	83%

pointsUNDER 17.578%HIGH

His season mean is 14.6 PPG and his recent 10-game mean is 13.6, both below 17.5. The last 5 at 17.0 is a hotter stretch, but it is still below the line and the matchup has scoring suppression at 0.461.

reboundsUNDER 3.562%MEDIUM

Season rebound average is 3.0 and away is 4.1, but the more stable recent 10 is 3.8, making 3.5 close to fair. Because the variance is meaningful, this is not a strong edge either way, but the season baseline still slightly favors the under on an inflated number.

assistsUNDER 4.573%HIGH

He averages 3.4 assists on the season and 2.8 over the last 10, which sits clearly below 4.5. Even with a 4.2 APG average in 10 games vs this opponent, the overall volume still supports the under.

threesOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.78 made threes per game on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, so 1.5 is close to his center of mass. The line is playable to the over, but the recent dip keeps confidence modest.

stealsOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals per game on the season and 0.9 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a low bar. The season std is 1.18 on stocks, so the category has volatility, but the volume still points over.

stocksUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.02 and recent is 1.0, both below 1.5. This is a volatile category with a high season std of 1.18, so the under is preferred despite the home bump.

turnoversUNDER 264%MEDIUM

He is at 1.5 turnovers over the last 10 and 1.6 over the last 20, which sits below 2.0. The season profile does not point to enough turnover volume to justify an over.

paUNDER 21.569%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists profile is not strong enough for 21.5: 14.6 PPG and 3.4 APG combine to a modest baseline. Recent form has been better, but the combo prop risk and his opponent history keep the under in play.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS