Bones Hyland▲

MIN · SG

PPG

7.8

RPG

1.7

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

12.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.0

7.8

12.8

RPG-0.5

1.7

1.2

APG+0.2

2.6

2.8

SPG-0.1

0.5

0.4

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

DEN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DEN: 18 pts

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 3 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 9 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 11 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 10 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 11 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 22 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 18 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

68%

AST

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

67%

REB

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

74%

OVER 2

61%

P+A

UNDER 16.5FANDUEL

64%

PRA

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.0

9.0

RPG

2.0

1.4

APG

2.5

2.7

vs POR (H2H)15 games

PPG

7.6

RPG

2.0

APG

2.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaylen Wells	3	7	67%	+10.0%	medium
Jeremiah Fears	1	7	0%	-45.6%	low
Scoot Henderson	3	6	30%	-15.6%	medium
Will Richard	3	6	0%

Bones Hyland’s scoring is trending up, but the book still leans against a breakout

Hyland’s recent form is stronger than his season baseline, with 12.8 PPG over his last 5 games versus 7.8 PPG for the season and 11.1 over the last 10. He’s also seeing a slight minutes bump at 18.8 MPG in the last 5, but his season average of 15.5 MPG and prior head-to-head mark of 7.6 PPG vs this opponent keep the projection in check. The matchup context is not especially inviting: the opponent allows a 0.461 scoring suppression and 0.813 three-point suppression, which adds pressure on a volume-dependent guard. Overall, the recent surge is real, but the season-long profile and matchup data still point to a more cautious stance on overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.8(↑ from 7.8)

APG

2.8(→ from 2.6)

3PM

2.2(↑ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is still relevant, with a 0.461 scoring suppression and 0.813 three-point suppression that makes Hyland’s scoring and perimeter production harder to sustain.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Bones Hyland▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	17	✗
Bones Hyland▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	0	✓
Bones Hyland▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	90%	0	✓
Bones Hyland▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%	3	✗
Bones Hyland▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	—	90%	2	✗
Bones Hyland▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	30%	2	✗
Bones Hyland▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	17	✗
Bones Hyland▼	PRA	18.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	17	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA19.5UNDER19%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x6/2030%+18.1% edge▼

PTS13.5UNDER13%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x7/2035%+11.7% edge▼

FTA0.5OVER5%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved HIGH to LOW▼

REB2.5UNDER4%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x6/2030%+12.4% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted +0.319▼

3PA6UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

AST3.5UNDER24%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%+13.1% edge▼

FTM0.5UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

R+A4.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

P+A14UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

3PM2.5UNDER7%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

Featured Pick

Bones Hyland

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number to attack because his season mean is only 7.8 points, and the value data repeatedly shows strong under edges at 12.5 and even 11.5. The last-5 scoring surge to 12.8 is notable, but it’s a clear over-extension versus his season baseline, so regression risk is high.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Scoot Henderson	3	6	12	30%	30%
Matisse Thybulle	3	4	2	33%	33%
Blake Wesley	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jrue Holiday	4	2	2	100%	100%
Vít Krejčí	2	2	2	33%	33%

pointsUNDER 12.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.83 points, and even with a 12.8 PPG last-5 spike, that level is well above his typical production. The value data also flags UNDER on 12.5 at multiple books, with the best model edge showing a strong lean to the under.

assistsUNDER 3.567%MEDIUM

Hyland averages 2.63 assists for the season and 2.3 over the last 10, both below the 3.5 line. The recent bump to 2.8 in the last 5 is not enough to outweigh the season-long baseline.

reboundsUNDER 2.572%HIGH

He averages just 1.66 rebounds per game, with only 1.1 over the last 10. His rebound profile has stayed low all season, making 2.5 a difficult number to clear.

threesUNDER 2.570%HIGH

He averages 1.47 made threes on the season and 2.2 over the last 5, but that recent uptick still sits below 2.5. The opponent’s 0.813 three suppression strengthens the under case.

stocksUNDER 1.574%HIGH

Hyland’s season average for stocks is 0.75 and his last-10 mark is 0.5, both well below 1.5. This is a high bar for a rotation guard with limited defensive counting stats.

turnoversOVER 261%MEDIUM

His recent turnover volume has been 1.6 in the last 5 and 1.3 in the last 10, while his season profile is not far from that range. With the recent usage bump, a 2.0 line is reachable.

paUNDER 16.564%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists profile is modest relative to this number, with 7.8 PPG and 2.6 APG. Recent form helps, but the combo prop still carries more variance and the season baseline is not supportive enough for an over.

praUNDER 18.566%MEDIUM

His season PRA profile is built off 7.8 points, 1.7 rebounds, and 2.6 assists, which is generally below this threshold. Combo props are higher-variance, so the safer side is the under.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS