AI Model:

Donovan Clingan▲

POR · C

PPG

12.3

RPG

11.7

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

17.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.7

12.3

17.0

RPG+1.3

11.7

13.0

APG+0.6

2.2

2.8

SPG+0.4

0.6

1.0

BPG+1.2

1.6

2.8

UNDER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 7 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 15 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 7 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 18 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 9 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 21 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 28 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 11.5FANDUEL

58%

REB

OVER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

3PM

UNDER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

BLK

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 2.5

57%

P+R

OVER 23.5FANDUEL

52%

R+A

OVER 12.5FANDUEL

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.7

15.4

RPG

13.2

12.4

APG

2.9

2.8

vs MIN (H2H)7 games

PPG

7.7

RPG

8.1

APG

1.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	4	32	50%	-1.8%	medium
Maxime Raynaud	3	17	48%	-6.3%	medium
Steven Adams	3	15	80%	+28.2%	medium
Nikola Jokić	4	15	70%

Clingan’s rebounding floor looks strong, but scoring is capped in this matchup

Donovan Clingan is trending up, with his last 5 games at 17.0 PPG, 13.0 RPG, and 3.8 stocks, well above his season marks of 12.3, 11.7, and 2.16 respectively. His minutes have held steady around 27, and he’s been especially productive on the glass, with recent rebounding numbers clustering near or above his season average. The matchup data is mixed: Minnesota’s defense has a 114.87 rating and negative scoring suppression, while Clingan’s head-to-head line against this opponent is only 7.7 PPG and 8.1 RPG across 7 games. With his rebounding line sitting in range of his season mean and his points prop not far above his typical output, the best angle leans away from forcing an over on scoring.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.0(↑ from 12.3)

RPG

13.0(↑ from 11.7)

APG

2.8(↑ from 2.2)

Stocks

3.8(↑ from 2.2)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 114.87 defensive rating with pace at 100 and scoring suppression of -0.112. Clingan also has no specific defender matchup data to target, but his vs-opponent averages of 7.7 PPG and 8.1 RPG suggest this is not a historically dominant spot.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Donovan Clingan▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	21	✗
Donovan Clingan▼	Rebounds	10.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	12	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	4	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1	✗
Donovan Clingan▼	Blocks	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	STL+BLK	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	4	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	P+R	23.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	33	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	16	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA28.5UNDER48%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

REB12.5UNDER50%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PM1UNDER30%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PA2.5UNDER38%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

PTS11UNDER15%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

AST2UNDER51%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

FTM1.5UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2.5UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R24.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼

BLK2UNDER31%gbt_blocksAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

Featured Pick

Donovan Clingan

Rebounds OVER 10.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number relative to his baseline: 11.7 RPG season average, 12.1 over the last 5, and 11.44 away. The value data also shows a small edge on Over 10.5, making it the most stable option among his available props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Rudy Gobert	4	32	27	50%	50%
Julius Randle	4	3	7	43%	50%
Anthony Edwards	3	2	11	25%	34%
Jaden McDaniels	4	2	9	50%	56%
Donte DiVincenzo	4	2	2	25%	25%

pointsUNDER 11.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.3, but his head-to-head average vs this opponent is only 7.7 PPG across 7 games. The recent 17.0 PPG spike is above season by 38%, so regression risk is real.

reboundsOVER 10.564%MEDIUM

He averages 11.7 RPG on the season and 12.1 RPG over the last 5, with 13.0 RPG in his last 5 and 11.44 RPG away. The value data also shows a small positive edge on Over 10.5.

assistsOVER 2.554%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.2 APG and his last 5 is 2.8 APG, with a 2.5 recent mean. The line is close to his range, but the variability is moderate and confidence should stay modest.

threesUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.05 threes seasonally, but recent production is down to 0.9 over the last 5 and 0.94 away. The data shows a higher make rate than a pure role player, but the value entries favor the Under at this line.

blocksOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 blocks on the season and 2.8 over the last 5, with 2.2 over the last 10. Even with standard deviation, the current form supports clearing 1.5 more often than not.

stocksOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.16 stocks on the season and 3.0 over the last 10, with 3.8 in the last 5. This is a higher-variance combo-like stat, so the Over is playable but not high confidence.

prOVER 23.552%MEDIUM

His season average for points plus rebounds is 24.0, and his last 5 form is 30.0. Because combo props carry more variance, this stays a cautious lean rather than a strong play.

raOVER 12.560%MEDIUM

He combines for 24.0 rebounds plus assists on the season, far above this line, and his last 5 is 15.8 rebounds plus assists. The volume profile makes this one of the cleaner combo angles.

timelineUNDER 11.5 PTS