AI Model:

Donte DiVincenzo▼

MIN · PG

PPG

12.3

RPG

4.4

APG

4.1

L5 PPG

7.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.7

12.3

7.6

RPG+0.2

4.4

4.6

APG-1.3

4.1

2.8

SPG-0.5

1.3

0.8

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

DEN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DEN: 17 pts

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 7 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 16 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 0 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 6 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 16 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 0 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 9 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

82%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

AST

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

74%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

STL

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

71%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.5

14.1

RPG

3.7

4.4

APG

4.5

3.1

vs POR (H2H)15 games

PPG

10.1

RPG

3.8

APG

3.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tim Hardaway Jr.	4	21	100%	+37.2%	medium
Kris Dunn	4	17	19%	-28.1%	medium
Amen Thompson	2	16	80%	+39.4%	low
Collin Gillespie	3	14	65%

DiVincenzo’s scoring slump points to an under-heavy profile

Donte DiVincenzo’s form has trended down sharply, with 7.6 PPG over the last 5 and 8.6 PPG over the last 10 compared to 12.3 PPG on the season. His recent play also shows lower shot volume, with only 1.8 made threes per game over the last 5 versus 2.96 on the season. Against tonight’s opponent, he has averaged 10.133333333333333 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 3.3333333333333335 APG across 15 games, which is solid but still below several current betting lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.6(↓ from 12.3)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.4)

APG

2.8(↓ from 4.1)

3PM

1.8(↓ from 3.0)

Key Matchup

He has averaged 10.133333333333333 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 3.3333333333333335 APG in 15 games against this opponent. The opponent defense data shows a 117.38 defensive rating and 0.461 scoring suppression, which leans against an aggressive scoring outlook.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	70%	13	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	4	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	70%	2	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	1	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	—	90%	2	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	100%	3	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS10.5UNDER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

PRA17.5UNDER32%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

P+A14OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

REB3.5UNDER37%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 7x7/2035%▼

AST3.5UNDER68%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 8x6/2030%+12.0% edge▼

3PA7UNDER32%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

STL1UNDER24%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%▼

3PM2.5UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 8x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Donte DiVincenzo

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

This is the cleanest play because his recent scoring has fallen well below his season average, and the market is still hanging a 12.5 line. The value data also identifies UNDER 12.5 as the best side across multiple books, with a 15% edge and 27.27 EV per 100.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jrue Holiday	4	12	5	29%	36%
Toumani Camara	4	11	10	36%	45%
Kris Murray	3	4	9	80%	90%
Jerami Grant	4	4	2	33%	33%
Scoot Henderson	3	4	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 12.582%HIGH

His season mean is 12.3 PPG, but the recent trend is much weaker at 7.6 PPG over the last 5 and 8.6 over the last 10. Value data also shows UNDER 12.5 as the best side with a 15% edge and 27.27 EV per 100.

reboundsOVER 3.559%MEDIUM

He averages 4.4 RPG on the season and 4.2 RPG over the last 10, both above 3.5. The edge is modest, but the rebound baseline is steadier than his scoring and passing.

assistsUNDER 4.574%HIGH

His season assist average is 4.1, but the last 5 have dropped to 2.8 and the last 10 to 3.3. Value props show UNDER 4.5 as the best side at multiple books, with a positive edge but not a huge margin.

threesUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

He is at 2.96 made threes per game on the season, but just 2.1 over the last 10 and 1.8 over the last 5. The recent dip plus a lower recent shot profile supports the under.

stealsUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.3 steals on the season, but only 0.8 over the last 5. The 1.5 line is above his normal rate, making the under the safer side.

blocksUNDER 0.571%HIGH

He averages 0.4 blocks per game on the season and just 0.1 over the last 10. With a line of 0.5, the under fits his low block volume.

stocksUNDER 2.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.71, with recent marks of 1.2 over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 5. Since the combined line is above his recent output, the under is the more conservative play.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS