AI Model:

Jrue Holiday▼

POR · PG

PPG

16.3

RPG

4.6

APG

6.2

L5 PPG

12.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.3

16.3

12.0

RPG0.0

4.6

APG-0.6

6.2

5.6

SPG-0.2

1.2

1.0

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

OVER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

15.5

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 25 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 23 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 35 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 20 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 21 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 4 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 5 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 11 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 15 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 15.5FANDUEL

58%

REB

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

74%

AST

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

63%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

52%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

P+A

OVER 21.5FANDUEL

55%

P+R

OVER 19.5FANDUEL

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.8

18.5

RPG

3.6

5.4

APG

5.0

6.4

vs MIN (H2H)10 games

PPG

16.1

RPG

5.1

APG

5.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Julius Randle	4	10	59%	+9.0%	medium
Kawhi Leonard	2	10	60%	+4.5%	low
Aaron Gordon	3	10	40%	-5.5%	medium
Jamal Murray	4	9	68%

Holiday’s playmaking is steady, but scoring efficiency has cooled

Jrue Holiday’s season line sits at 16.3 PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 6.2 APG across 29.1 MPG, but his last 5 games show a dip to 12.0 PPG while minutes have stayed stable at 29.4. The recent scoring drop stands out against his last 10 and last 20 scoring marks of 18.4 and 18.2 PPG, so the current form suggests some regression from his hotter stretch. Against this opponent, his 10-game history is 16.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 5.4 APG in 33.8 MPG, which is solid but not explosive. With no back-to-back spot and a neutral pace environment, the most reliable looks lean toward his assist and rebound floors rather than chasing points upside.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.0(↓ from 16.3)

APG

5.6(↓ from 6.2)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.6)

SPG

1.0(→ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 114.87 defensive rating, 100 pace, and -0.112 scoring suppression, which points to a slightly tougher scoring environment. His listed key defenders show no specific defender matchup data beyond the available names and allowed numbers, so there is no reliable one-on-one edge to target.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jrue Holiday▼	Points	15.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	12	✗
Jrue Holiday▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	74%HIGH	1/2	70%	2	✗
Jrue Holiday▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	12	✓
Jrue Holiday▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✗
Jrue Holiday▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	80%	0	✓
Jrue Holiday▼	P+A	21.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	24	✓
Jrue Holiday▼	P+R	19.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼

PTS17UNDER23%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST5OVER4%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

R+A10.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R22OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

REB5UNDER42%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)5/2025%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

FTA1.5UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

PRA26.5UNDER11%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

3PM3UNDER20%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PA7.5UNDER12%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTM1UNDER28%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Jrue Holiday

Rebounds OVER 3.5HIGH

This is the most stable angle in the data: 4.6 RPG seasonally, 4.6 over the last 5, and 5.4 on the road all sit comfortably above the 3.5 line. The value props also show strong positive edge on rebounds at multiple books, which reinforces the play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Julius Randle	4	10	15	55%	59%
Donte DiVincenzo	4	8	6	25%	38%
Jaden McDaniels	4	8	14	83%	100%
Ayo Dosunmu	3	6	4	50%	50%
Anthony Edwards	3	6	15	71%	71%

pointsOVER 15.558%MEDIUM

His season average is 16.3 PPG and his away scoring is 18.5 PPG, which is above this 15.5 line. That said, the last 5 games at 12.0 PPG and the down trend keep this from being a strong play.

reboundsOVER 3.574%HIGH

He averages 4.6 RPG on the season and 5.4 RPG away, both above 3.5. The last 5 at 4.6 RPG and the value data also support the over, making this his cleanest prop.

assistsOVER 5.563%MEDIUM

Holiday’s season assist average is 6.2 APG and his away split is 6.4 APG, both clearing 5.5. The last 10 at 6.0 APG is close enough to the season level to support a modest over lean.

threesOVER 2.552%MEDIUM

He averages 2.45 made threes on the season and 2.8 away, so 2.5 is right near the center of his range. The recent 3.1 last-10 mean helps, but the 2.21 recent standard deviation keeps this as a lower-confidence over.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.3 and the last 10 is 1.1, both below 1.5. This is a lower-frequency stat for him, so the under is the safer side.

paOVER 21.555%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is strong at 16.3 PPG and 6.2 APG, and his away production is even a bit better. Still, combo props carry extra variance, so confidence stays modest.

prOVER 19.557%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile projects to 20.9, and his away scoring/rebounding combination is also healthy. This is playable, but the recent scoring dip prevents a higher rating.

timelineOVER 15.5 PTS