Kris Murray▲

POR · SG

PPG

5.9

RPG

3.8

APG

1.2

L5 PPG

5.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

5.9

5.0

RPG-0.4

3.8

3.4

APG+0.2

1.2

1.4

SPG-0.6

1.0

0.4

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

OVER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

PHX

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs PHX: 6 pts

MIN

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs MIN: 16 pts

CHI

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHI: 10 pts

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 2 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 3 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 0 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 8 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 5.5

58%

REB

OVER 3.5

55%

AST

OVER 1

53%

3PM

OVER 0.5

54%

STL

OVER 0.5

51%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

63%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 0.5

57%

PRA

UNDER 11.5

62%

P+A

UNDER 7

60%

UNDER 0.5

72%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.7

7.1

RPG

4.0

3.1

APG

1.2

1.4

vs MIN (H2H)9 games

PPG

7.1

RPG

2.7

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kawhi Leonard	3	10	33%	-12.4%	medium
Derik Queen	3	8	67%	+21.0%	medium
Keegan Murray	2	6	29%	-17.1%	low
Chaney Johnson	2	6	100%

Kris Murray’s volume looks modest against a slower Minnesota defense

Kris Murray is producing 5.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.2 assists on the season, with his last-5 scoring at 5.0 points and minutes down to 17.4. His recent form is mixed: the last-10 points average matches his season mark at 5.9, but the lower recent minutes suggest his ceiling is capped unless usage spikes. Minnesota’s opponent profile shows a 114.87 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which leans toward a lower-possession environment. His head-to-head line against this team is also modest at 7.11 points in 9 games, so the profile leans more toward conservative unders than aggressive overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.0(↓ from 5.9)

RPG

3.4(↓ from 3.8)

APG

1.4(↑ from 1.2)

3PM

1.0(↑ from 0.6)

Key Matchup

Minnesota’s defense shows a 114.87 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which points to fewer possessions and a more controlled scoring environment. His head-to-head sample against this opponent is 7.11 points and 2.67 rebounds in 9 games, so there is no strong matchup signal for an upside spike.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kris Murray▼	Points	5.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	0	✗
Kris Murray▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✗
Kris Murray▼	Assists	1	OVER	53%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	0	✗
Kris Murray▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Kris Murray▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	51%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Kris Murray▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✗
Kris Murray▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Kris Murray▼	Turnovers	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Kris Murray▼	PRA	11.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Kris Murray▼	P+A	7	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0	✓
Kris Murray▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

P+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼

PTS4UNDER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1850%▼

AST1.5OVER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/1850%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

3PA1.5UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1850%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

PRA8.5UNDER24%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1850%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1833%▼

P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼

REB3UNDER34%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼

Featured Pick

Kris Murray

Double-double UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge because his season line is far from double-double range: 5.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.2 assists. Even with a few strong stat categories in isolation, the combined profile makes a double-double extremely unlikely.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Donte DiVincenzo	3	5	9	60%	90%
Julius Randle	3	4	8	50%	50%
Jaden McDaniels	3	4	4	33%	33%
Naz Reid	2	3	5	50%	63%
Anthony Edwards	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 5.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.9 and his last-10 is also 5.9, so 5.5 is a fair but playable number. The risk is reduced minutes recently, with his last-5 at 17.4 MPG.

reboundsOVER 3.555%MEDIUM

He averages 3.8 rebounds on the season and 3.3 in the last-5, with a slightly better 4.0 home split and 4.17 b2b mean. This is close enough to the mean that the over is playable, but not strong.

assistsOVER 153%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 1.2 and the last-5 is 1.4, which supports a low line. Variance is high, so confidence stays modest.

threesOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 made threes per game, and the last-5 shows 1.0. The upside is limited by recent minutes, but a 0.5 line is within range.

stealsOVER 0.551%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 steals on the season and 0.8 over the last-20, so the category is playable. Recent game logs show swingy results, which keeps confidence low.

blocksUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 blocks on the season and 0.2 in the last-5, which sits below a half-block line. The baseline is too low to trust the over.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.4 and the last-10 is 0.9, so 1.5 is a bit high. The recent decline in defensive stats makes the under slightly preferable.

turnoversOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

His last-10 turnover average is 0.6 and recent logs show multiple games with 1-2 turnovers. A low line like 0.5 is reachable even in limited minutes.

praUNDER 11.562%MEDIUM

Using his season averages, he projects to about 11.0 PRA (5.9 points + 3.8 rebounds + 1.2 assists). With reduced recent minutes, the under is the cleaner side on a typical combo line.

paUNDER 760%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists total is 7.1, but the recent minute dip makes this fragile. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under is favored.

double_doubleUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He is not close to double-double territory with season marks of 5.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.2 assists. The under is the clear side.

timelineOVER 5.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Kris Murray’s volume looks modest against a slower Minnesota defense

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 5.5 PTS