Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun | 3 | 10 | 58% | +8.2% | medium |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 3 | 8 | 75% | +24.9% | medium |
| VJ Edgecombe | 2 | 7 | 20% | -21.8% | low |
| Javon Small | 2 | 5 | 50% |
Scoot Henderson is averaging 13.7 PPG, 4.1 APG, and 2.8 RPG on the season across 23.3 MPG, with his last 10 games matching his season scoring average at 13.7 PPG. The recent form is mixed-to-down: his last 5 scoring jumped to 15.6 PPG, but that comes with 3.2 turnovers and only 3.0 assists, while his away split drops to 10.8 PPG and 3.8 APG. Minnesota’s opponent profile shows a 114.87 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which points to a slower environment and a tougher scoring setup. With his away scoring well below his season mean and the market hanging his points around 12.5, the safer angles lean toward modest stat lines rather than a breakout.
No specific defender matchup data. Minnesota’s defensive rating is 114.87 with a 100 pace, which suggests a slower, more controlled scoring environment for Scoot Henderson.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scoot Henderson▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 11 | ✓ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 3 | ✓ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 0 | ✓ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 3 | ✗ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | Turnovers | 2.5 | OVER | 59%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 3 | ✓ |
Scoot Henderson▼ | P+A | 17.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 13 | ✓ |
The value data explicitly shows UNDER 1.5 threes as positive EV across multiple books, including 7.75 EV per 100 at FanDuel with a 3.7% edge. Scoot’s season mean is 1.83, but his away average is only 1.27 and the matchup environment does not point to an efficient three-point spike.
| low |
| Bones Hyland | 3 | 5 | 70% | +18.2% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu | 3 | 8 | 9 | 67% | 75% |
| Bones Hyland | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60% | 70% |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 3 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Jaden McDaniels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 50% | 75% |
| Julius Randle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
His season mean is 13.7 PPG, but his away average is only 10.8 PPG and his recent 10-game scoring is 13.7, not enough to overcome the road split. With Minnesota’s 100 pace and 114.87 defensive rating, the environment supports a lower-scoring projection.
Scoot is at 4.1 APG on the season, but only 3.3 over the last 10 and 3.55 in away games. The recent dip plus a slow pace matchup makes the under slightly preferable at 3.5.
His season average is 2.8 RPG and the recent 10-game mark is 2.4, so 2.5 is a reachable number. This is still a low-confidence play because his away average is 2.2 and the matchup pace is not ideal.
He averages 1.83 made threes on the season, but the value data shows UNDER 1.5 has positive EV at multiple books. Even with a recent rise to 2.1 over the last 10, the season baseline and road split of 1.27 make the under the better side.
He averages 0.78 stocks on the season and 1.0 over the last 5, which is still below a 1.5 threshold. The category is volatile, and his season mean is not high enough to justify the over.
His last 10 turnover average is 2.5 and his last 5 is 3.2, while recent game logs include multiple 4- and 5-turnover outings. Given the ball-handling load, the over has a workable case.
His season P+A is roughly 17.7 using 13.7 points and 4.1 assists, but the recent assist dip to 3.0 and away scoring drop to 10.8 reduce the margin. Combo props are higher-variance, so this leans under.