Scoot Henderson▼

POR · PG

PPG

13.7

RPG

2.8

APG

4.1

L5 PPG

15.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.9

13.7

15.6

RPG-0.2

2.8

2.6

APG-1.1

4.1

3.0

SPG0.0

0.4

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 8 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 11 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 8 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 4 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 28 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 17 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 9 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

64%

AST

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

62%

REB

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

3PM

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

67%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 2.5

59%

P+A

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.6

10.8

RPG

3.6

2.2

APG

5.0

3.8

vs MIN (H2H)9 games

PPG

14.1

RPG

3.0

APG

4.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Christian Braun	3	10	58%	+8.2%	medium
Ayo Dosunmu	3	8	75%	+24.9%	medium
VJ Edgecombe	2	7	20%	-21.8%	low
Javon Small	2	5	50%

Scoot’s volume is steady, but the road split keeps the ceiling in check

Scoot Henderson is averaging 13.7 PPG, 4.1 APG, and 2.8 RPG on the season across 23.3 MPG, with his last 10 games matching his season scoring average at 13.7 PPG. The recent form is mixed-to-down: his last 5 scoring jumped to 15.6 PPG, but that comes with 3.2 turnovers and only 3.0 assists, while his away split drops to 10.8 PPG and 3.8 APG. Minnesota’s opponent profile shows a 114.87 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which points to a slower environment and a tougher scoring setup. With his away scoring well below his season mean and the market hanging his points around 12.5, the safer angles lean toward modest stat lines rather than a breakout.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.6(↑ from 13.7)

APG

3.0(↓ from 4.1)

RPG

2.6(↓ from 2.8)

3PM

2.1(↑ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. Minnesota’s defensive rating is 114.87 with a 100 pace, which suggests a slower, more controlled scoring environment for Scoot Henderson.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Scoot Henderson▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	11	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	0	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%	3	✗
Scoot Henderson▼	Turnovers	2.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	—	40%	3	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	P+A	17.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	13	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A17.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

REB3UNDER65%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 12x1/205%▼

3PM1.5UNDER19%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

PRA18.5UNDER9%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

PTS13UNDER13%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

AST3UNDER15%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PA5UNDER28%gbtAvoid (7/20)8/2040%▼

FTA2.5UNDER8%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

FTM2UNDER38%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Scoot Henderson

Threes UNDER 1.5HIGH

The value data explicitly shows UNDER 1.5 threes as positive EV across multiple books, including 7.75 EV per 100 at FanDuel with a 3.7% edge. Scoot’s season mean is 1.83, but his away average is only 1.27 and the matchup environment does not point to an efficient three-point spike.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ayo Dosunmu	3	8	9	67%	75%
Bones Hyland	3	5	11	60%	70%
Donte DiVincenzo	3	4	2	100%	100%
Jaden McDaniels	3	2	4	50%	75%
Julius Randle	3	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 12.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 13.7 PPG, but his away average is only 10.8 PPG and his recent 10-game scoring is 13.7, not enough to overcome the road split. With Minnesota’s 100 pace and 114.87 defensive rating, the environment supports a lower-scoring projection.

assistsUNDER 3.562%MEDIUM

Scoot is at 4.1 APG on the season, but only 3.3 over the last 10 and 3.55 in away games. The recent dip plus a slow pace matchup makes the under slightly preferable at 3.5.

reboundsOVER 2.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.8 RPG and the recent 10-game mark is 2.4, so 2.5 is a reachable number. This is still a low-confidence play because his away average is 2.2 and the matchup pace is not ideal.

threesUNDER 1.567%MEDIUM

He averages 1.83 made threes on the season, but the value data shows UNDER 1.5 has positive EV at multiple books. Even with a recent rise to 2.1 over the last 10, the season baseline and road split of 1.27 make the under the better side.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.78 stocks on the season and 1.0 over the last 5, which is still below a 1.5 threshold. The category is volatile, and his season mean is not high enough to justify the over.

turnoversOVER 2.559%MEDIUM

His last 10 turnover average is 2.5 and his last 5 is 3.2, while recent game logs include multiple 4- and 5-turnover outings. Given the ball-handling load, the over has a workable case.

paUNDER 17.558%MEDIUM

His season P+A is roughly 17.7 using 13.7 points and 4.1 assists, but the recent assist dip to 3.0 and away scoring drop to 10.8 reduce the margin. Combo props are higher-variance, so this leans under.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS