AI Model:

Toumani Camara▲

POR · PF

PPG

12.7

RPG

5.2

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

11.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.1

12.7

11.6

RPG-1.6

5.2

3.6

APG+0.3

2.5

2.8

SPG-0.1

1.1

1.0

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 12 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 7 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 5 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 7 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 18 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 17 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5FANDUEL

53%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

AST

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

STL

OVER 1

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

55%

UNDER 2

60%

P+R

UNDER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

P+A

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.2

12.6

RPG

5.6

5.5

APG

2.6

2.4

vs MIN (H2H)10 games

PPG

10.7

RPG

5.9

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	33	59%	+10.5%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4	24	69%	+21.5%	medium
Stephen Curry	4	21	61%	+3.4%	medium
Jaylen Brown	2	21	68%

Camara’s all-around role keeps him in the mix, but points and combo upside look capped

Toumani Camara is holding a steady rotation role at 33.3 mpg on the season, with 12.7 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game. His recent scoring has cooled a bit to 11.6 over the last 5 and 11.1 over the last 10, while his assists and defensive production remain stable. Against this opponent, his 10-game average is 10.7 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 2.0 assists, which leans slightly below his season scoring baseline. With no clear spike in usage and only modest recent offense, the projection is more balanced than explosive.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.6(↓ from 12.7)

RPG

3.6(↓ from 5.2)

APG

2.8(→ from 2.5)

Stocks

1.6(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Key defender matchup data is available, but no specific defender matchup data for Camara should be assumed beyond the listed opponent defensive context. Minnesota has a 114.87 defensive rating with a -0.112 scoring suppression, which points to a mildly tougher scoring environment.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Toumani Camara▼	Points	11.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	6	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	0	✗
Toumani Camara▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	0	✓
Toumani Camara▼	Steals	1	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	1	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Toumani Camara▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✗
Toumani Camara▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	9	✓
Toumani Camara▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	6	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

AST2UNDER59%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA20OVER14%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS14UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

3PM2.5UNDER8%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTM1.5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

P+R19.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

REB5UNDER25%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

FTA2UNDER30%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

STL1UNDER52%gbt_stealsAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA7UNDER13%gbtAvoid (6/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Toumani Camara

Assists OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value on the board: his season assist average is 2.51, his last 10 is 2.5, and the draftkings value data shows a 11.6% edge with 17.94 EV per 100. The low 1.5 line gives him a wide cushion even if his scoring stays modest.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Anthony Edwards	3	21	30	46%	56%
Julius Randle	4	11	21	63%	63%
Donte DiVincenzo	4	6	6	25%	38%
Jaden McDaniels	4	4	13	83%	92%
Ayo Dosunmu	3	4	7	50%	50%

pointsOVER 11.553%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.7 and his last 20 is 12.4, so 11.5 is a reachable number despite the recent 11.6 and 11.1 dips. The edge is thin, and the under is also live given the slight downtrend.

reboundsOVER 4.561%MEDIUM

He averages 5.2 rebounds on the season and 5.0 over the last 10, which supports 4.5. Value data shows a 11.3% edge on the over with a 5.2 adjusted mean.

assistsOVER 1.566%MEDIUM

Camara averages 2.51 assists per game and 2.5 over the last 10, making 1.5 a low bar. Value data shows a 11.6% edge on the over with a 2.5 adjusted mean.

threesUNDER 2.569%MEDIUM

He averages 2.46 threes on the season but only 2.0 over the last 5 and 2.0 over the last 10, so 2.5 is slightly above recent form. Value data also favors the under on this line.

stealsOVER 158%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, so a 1.0 projected line is reasonable to target over. The recent defensive activity supports this more than his scoring does.

blocksUNDER 0.557%MEDIUM

His season block average is 0.4 and his last 10 is 0.4, so 0.5 is slightly above his typical output. This is a low-volume stat and the over requires an above-average game.

stocksOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

He averages 1.51 stocks on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, so 1.5 is right around his typical combined defensive output. This is viable, but the variance keeps confidence moderate.

turnoversUNDER 260%MEDIUM

His recent turnover rates are 1.8 over the last 5 and 1.2 over the last 10, below a 2.0 line. The recent game logs show multiple low-turnover outings, which supports the under.

prUNDER 16.562%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds is 17.97, but recent scoring and rebounding have both softened, and his last 5 points/rebounds combine to just 15.2. With combo props carrying extra variance, the under is the safer side.

paOVER 13.554%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists average is 15.22, and he has the passing volume to stay near this range. The line is modest, but the recent scoring dip makes this only a light lean.

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS