AI Model:

Immanuel Quickley▼

TOR · PG

PPG

17.0

RPG

4.1

APG

6.0

L5 PPG

14.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.0

17.0

14.0

RPG-0.7

4.1

3.4

APG-1.2

6.0

4.8

SPG+0.3

1.3

1.6

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

16.5

SAS

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs SAS: 20 pts

WAS

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs WAS: 27 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 13 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 18 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 10 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 12 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 25 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 17 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 6 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 10 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

AST

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

52%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

63%

BLK

UNDER 0.5FANDUEL

80%

UNDER 2

66%

P+A

UNDER 22.5FANDUEL

58%

P+R

UNDER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.4

18.9

RPG

3.2

3.6

APG

5.2

6.5

vs DEN (H2H)7 games

PPG

9.7

RPG

2.7

APG

2.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	4	19	64%	+1.0%	medium
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	16	61%	-0.1%	medium
Anfernee Simons	5	14	43%	-11.2%	medium
Ryan Rollins	3	14	44%

Quickley’s usage is solid, but Denver and the recent dip point to a cautious scoring outlook

Immanuel Quickley is still logging heavy run at 32.6 mpg on the season and 33.3 mpg over his last 10, but his scoring has cooled to 14.0 PPG over the last 5 and 15.8 over the last 10 versus a 17.0 season average. The matchup data points to a tougher environment, with Denver allowing a scoring suppression of 0.322 and Quickley’s head-to-head line showing just 9.7 PPG, 2.7 RPG, and 2.4 APG across 7 games. His away split is better than home at 18.9 PPG and 6.5 APG, but the recent form trend is still down, so the clearest angle is leaning under on inflated scoring or combo lines. Rebounding and steals remain usable, but variance is still high enough to keep confidence moderate.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.0(↓ from 17.0)

RPG

3.4(↓ from 4.1)

APG

4.8(↓ from 6.0)

Key Matchup

Denver’s opponent profile shows a 116.77 defensive rating, pace of 100, and a 0.322 scoring suppression, which leans against an easy scoring night. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so no specific defender matchup data.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Immanuel Quickley▼	Points	16.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	50%	15	✓
Immanuel Quickley▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	8	✓
Immanuel Quickley▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	4	✓
Immanuel Quickley▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✓
Immanuel Quickley▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	3	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓
Immanuel Quickley▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	100%	1	✓
Immanuel Quickley▼	P+A	22.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	23	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	19	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5OVER3%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)13/2065%+12.6% edge▼

PRA21.5OVER13%gbt_praDecent Leg (15/20)15/2075%+20.1% edge▼

3PM2.5OVER1%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (14/20)12/2060%+18.3% edge▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

REB3.5UNDER33%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST4.5UNDER8%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)13/2065%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.124▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

STL1.5UNDER20%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Immanuel Quickley

Points UNDER 16.5HIGH

This is the clearest read in the data: Quickley’s last 5 scoring is 14.0, his last 10 is 15.8, and the value table identifies UNDER 16.5 as the best side with a 12.5% edge and +23.46 EV per 100 at DraftKings. The matchup context also leans slightly defensive, and his head-to-head production versus this opponent has been just 9.7 PPG across 7 games.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Tim Hardaway Jr.	2	7	2	14%	14%
Jalen Pickett	1	5	5	40%	50%
Christian Braun	1	4	2	100%	100%
Jamal Murray	2	3	7	40%	50%
Bruce Brown	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 16.572%HIGH

His season mean is 17.02, but the last 5 are down to 14.0 and the recent trend is down. The value data also shows UNDER is the best side at 16.5, with a 12.5% edge and +23.46 EV per 100.

assistsOVER 5.556%MEDIUM

Quickley averages 6.05 assists on the season and 6.2 over the last 10, with an away mean of 6.78. The recent sample is a bit choppy, so this is playable but not high-confidence.

reboundsOVER 3.555%MEDIUM

His season rebounding average is 4.09 and the away split is 4.22, both above 3.5. The last 5 dipped to 3.4, but the baseline still supports a slight over lean.

threesOVER 2.552%MEDIUM

He averages 2.62 threes per game on the season and 2.2 over the last 10, which keeps him near the line. The value data shows a small positive edge on the over at several books, but the recent dip keeps confidence modest.

stealsUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

Quickley’s season average is 1.3 steals and his last 10 are 1.4, both below 1.5. The line asks for an above-average defensive event rate, which is a tougher ask than his baseline.

blocksUNDER 0.580%HIGH

He averages just 0.1 blocks per game on the season and 0.0 over the last 5 and last 10. That makes the over a very thin ask.

turnoversUNDER 266%MEDIUM

His last 5 turnover rate is 0.8 and his last 10 is 1.0, both comfortably below 2.0. Even with heavy minutes, the recent ball-security profile supports the under.

paUNDER 22.558%MEDIUM

Quickley’s season points-plus-assists profile is around 23.0 on the surface, but the recent scoring dip to 14.0 PPG reduces the path to clearing 22.5 consistently. Because combo props add variance, this stays a moderate lean only.

prUNDER 20.561%MEDIUM

His season scoring plus rebounding is 21.11, but the last 5 scoring drop makes this line less secure on the over side. The recent form shift favors the under in a combo market.

timelineUNDER 16.5 PTS