Ja'Kobe Walter▲

TOR · SG

PPG

6.6

RPG

2.4

APG

1.1

L5 PPG

7.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.2

6.6

7.8

RPG+0.2

2.4

2.6

APG-0.3

1.1

0.8

SPG+0.2

1.0

1.2

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

SAS

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs SAS: 5 pts

WAS

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs WAS: 6 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 2 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 11 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 6 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 0 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 12 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 3 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 18 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5

67%

REB

UNDER 2.5

62%

AST

OVER 1

54%

3PM

OVER 1

52%

STL

UNDER 1

56%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

73%

STL+BLK

OVER 1

55%

UNDER 0.5

84%

P+A

UNDER 7.5

60%

P+R

UNDER 9

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.6

8.5

RPG

2.9

2.6

APG

1.5

1.1

vs DEN (H2H)2 games

PPG

2.5

RPG

2.5

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kon Knueppel	4	11	25%	-19.3%	medium
Desmond Bane	3	11	36%	-15.7%	medium
Jalen Brunson	4	10	53%	+2.4%	medium
Derrick White	3	9	50%

Walter’s modest volume and tough road spot point to a low-scoring night

Ja'Kobe Walter is averaging 6.6 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 1.1 assists this season across 18.8 minutes, with his last 10 games sitting close to that baseline at 6.3 points and 19.4 minutes. His last 5 is a bit hotter at 7.8 points and 1.6 stocks, but that is not enough to override the larger sample, especially with a road matchup where his season scoring has been slightly better away than at home, yet still only 8.5 points per game away. The Nuggets have a 116.77 defensive rating, 100 pace, and a 0.322 scoring suppression mark, while Walter’s prior two games vs this opponent were just 2.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, and 0.5 assists in 16 minutes. With no big-minute role and limited head-to-head production, the profile leans under on most counting props.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.8(↑ from 6.6)

RPG

2.6(→ from 2.4)

APG

0.8(↓ from 1.1)

Stocks

1.6(↑ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data to target here. The broader opponent profile is unfavorable: Denver owns a 116.77 defensive rating, a 100 pace, and a 0.322 scoring suppression mark, which should limit Walter’s already modest usage.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	14	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Assists	1	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	2	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	3PM	1	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	4	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Steals	1	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	—	80%	1	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	STL+BLK	1	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	—	90%	0	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	16	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	P+R	9	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	16	✗

ML Scout Analysis

3PM1.5UNDER9%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (14/20)11/2055%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge changed -0.049; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS8.5OVER10%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

P+R12OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A10.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

REB3.5OVER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

R+A4.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Ja'Kobe Walter

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

Walter’s season average is 0.2 blocks and his last 10 is also 0.2, so a 0.5 line is well above his normal output. This is the most stable under on the board because his shot-blocking volume is minimal and unlikely to spike.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jamal Murray	2	5	9	43%	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.	2	3	3	20%	30%
Bruce Brown	2	3	4	50%	50%
Cameron Johnson	1	1	2	100%	100%
Jalen Pickett	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 6.567%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.6 and last 10 is 6.3, so a 6.5 line sits right on his true baseline. The last 5 spike to 7.8 is not enough to justify an over with this role and matchup.

reboundsUNDER 2.562%MEDIUM

Walter averages 2.4 rebounds for the season and 2.5 over the last 10, making 2.5 a fair but slightly inflated number. His rebounding volume is modest enough that the under is the safer side.

assistsOVER 154%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.05 assists and last 10 is 1.2, so a 1.0 line is slightly below his baseline. The volume is still low, so confidence stays modest.

threesOVER 152%MEDIUM

He averages 1.21 made threes on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, with 1.19 at home and 1.23 away. That supports a narrow over, but the variance keeps confidence limited.

stealsUNDER 156%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 1.0 steals per game, but steals are volatile and his recent game logs show several single-steal or zero-steal outings. That makes the under slightly preferable at a 1.0 line.

blocksUNDER 0.573%HIGH

Walter’s season average is only 0.2 blocks and his recent rate is also 0.2, well below a 0.5 line. This is the cleanest under among his defensive props.

stocksOVER 155%MEDIUM

He averages 1.16 stocks on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, with 1.6 in the last 5. The floor is still shaky, but the number is modest enough to lean over.

turnoversUNDER 0.584%HIGH

His season turnover average is only 0.5 and the last 10 is 0.1, with multiple recent games at zero turnovers. This is a strong under given his low-usage role.

paUNDER 7.560%MEDIUM

Points plus assists projects near 7.7 using season averages, and the last 10 is 7.5. Because combo props add volatility and his scoring role is modest, the under is the safer side.

prUNDER 964%MEDIUM

His season points + rebounds baseline is 9.0 exactly, but the head-to-head sample vs this opponent is only 5.0 combined across 2 games on average using his listed stats. With limited volume, the under is slightly favored.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Walter’s modest volume and tough road spot point to a low-scoring night

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 6.5 PTS