Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu | 4 | 14 | 45% | -6.8% | medium |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 3 | 11 | 71% | +4.8% | medium |
| Moussa Diabaté | 4 | 11 | 33% | -19.0% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 10 | 30% |
Sandro Mamukelashvili is producing 10.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG, and 1.9 APG on the season, with his last 5 holding steady at 10.0 PPG and 5.2 RPG. The recent scoring profile is a bit softer than his season norm, while rebounds have stayed close to baseline, which makes the lower rebound market the most attractive angle. Against Denver, his head-to-head scoring has been modest at 7.25 PPG across 8 games, and the matchup data does not provide a specific defender note. With his minutes recently sitting around 19-21 and no injury limitation, the projection is stable but not explosive.
The provided opponent defense data shows a 116.77 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring_suppression of 0.322. There is no specific defender matchup data for this player, so the main takeaway is the overall Denver environment rather than an individual matchup.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | Points | 7.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 4 | ✗ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 2 | ✗ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 2 | ✓ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | — | 100% | 0 | ✓ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | P+R | 11.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 6 | ✗ |
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼ | P+A | 11.5 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 6 | ✗ |
This is the strongest available value because his season rebound mean is 4.88 and his last 5 are 5.2, both comfortably above the line. The value_props data also flags a 15.5% edge and 28.39 EV per 100, which is much better than the rest of the board.
| low |
| Neemias Queta | 3 | 10 | 86% | +33.4% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 1 | 2 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jamal Murray | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Bruce Brown | 2 | 1 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
His season mean is 10.85 PPG and even with the last 10 at 8.7, this line sits well below his typical output. Recent minutes have been around 19.2, so the scoring floor is still playable.
This is the cleanest value spot: season mean 4.88 RPG, last 5 at 5.2, and value_props show a 15.5% edge with 28.39 EV per 100 at Fanatics. Even with variance, the line is beneath his normal rebound production.
He averages 1.88 APG on the season and 2.2 over the last 5, so 1.5 is modest. The away split is stronger at 2.29 APG, which supports the over slightly.
He averages 1.35 threes per game on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 is common. The recent dip is small enough that one make is still the most likely outcome.
Season steals are 0.8 per game and last 5 are 1.0, giving him consistent stock upside. The volatility is real, but the baseline supports a slight over lean.
He averages exactly 0.5 blocks per game, but the last 5 drop to 0.2 and the recent game logs show limited block volume. With no strong spike signal, the under is the safer side.
Season stocks average 1.3 and last 10 are 1.1, both below a 1.5 threshold. This is a high-variance category, so the conservative lean is under.
He is at 1.0 turnovers in the season data and 0.9 over the last 10. That is well below 2.0, making the under the clear side.
Points plus rebounds combines two of his steadier categories, and his season baseline supports a total near this range. Confidence is limited because combo props are more volatile.
His season points and assists combine to 12.73 on average, and his last 5 are also strong enough to keep this competitive. Still, combo variance keeps the confidence modest.