AI Model:

Tim Hardaway Jr.▲

DEN · PF

PPG

13.9

RPG

2.6

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

11.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.9

13.9

11.0

RPG-0.2

2.6

2.4

APG+0.8

1.4

2.2

SPG+0.1

0.5

0.6

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

MIN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MIN: 17 pts

UTA

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs UTA: 7 pts

LAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs LAL: 14 pts

NYK

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NYK: 6 pts

OKC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs OKC: 28 pts

HOU

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs HOU: 14 pts

SAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs SAS: 1 pts

LAL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAL: 20 pts

PHI

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHI: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs MEM: 11 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

58%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

52%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

55%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

57%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

66%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

62%

P+R

UNDER 16.5STAKE

60%

P+A

UNDER 14.5STAKE

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.4

13.3

RPG

2.6

APG

1.4

1.3

vs TOR (H2H)12 games

PPG

13.3

RPG

2.8

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Amen Thompson	4	16	43%	-2.2%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	15	45%	-5.1%	medium
Klay Thompson	3	12	100%	+21.6%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	4	11	65%

Hardaway Jr. sits in a modest scoring lane with some recent volatility

Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 13.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.4 assists on the season, with his last-10 scoring at 12.7 and last-5 at 11.0. The recent form is a bit softer than his season line, and his minutes have dipped to 23.2 in the last 5 from 27.2 on the season, which caps his ceiling. At home he has been steady at 13.4 PPG, and his matchup history vs this opponent is similar at 13.33 PPG over 12 games. With no specific defender matchup data to lean on and the opponent showing a strong three suppression number of -0.849, the projection tilts slightly conservative.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.0(↓ from 13.9)

RPG

2.4(→ from 2.6)

APG

2.2(↑ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

The key defensive context available is the opponent's defense profile, including a 111.84 defensive rating and a -0.849 three suppression number, which is relevant for a perimeter scorer. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed names and minutes, so the read is based on team-level context rather than a targeted individual matchup.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	23	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	4	✓
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0	✓
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	7	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	90%	1	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	27	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	23	✗

ML Scout Analysis

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (13/20)6/2030%▼

P+R15OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

P+A13.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Steals UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the data because his season average is exactly 0.5 steals, but the last-10 sits at just 0.3 and the last-5 at 0.6. The profile points to a low steal floor, making the under the most reliable option.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ja'Kobe Walter	2	5	3	50%	75%
RJ Barrett	2	4	6	75%	75%
Immanuel Quickley	2	3	6	100%	125%
Jamal Shead	2	3	0	0%	0%
Scottie Barnes	2	2	7	75%	88%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 13.93, but his last-5 is down to 11.0 and his minutes have fallen to 23.2. That combination makes the under on 13.5 points slightly preferable, especially with the opponent's three suppression data working against his scoring style.

reboundsOVER 2.552%MEDIUM

He is at 2.6 rebounds on the season and 2.6 over the last 10, essentially sitting right on the number. This is a low-variance lean only, with his home/away splits also landing near 2.6.

assistsUNDER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 1.4 and the last-10 is 1.6, which does not create enough cushion for an over at 1.5. Given the limited season volume and typical role, the under is the safer read.

threesUNDER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.82 threes on the season and 2.7 over the last 10, but the last-5 drops to 2.4. With the opponent's three suppression listed at -0.849 and his recent minutes softening, the under is the better risk-adjusted angle.

stealsUNDER 0.566%MEDIUM

His season steal average is only 0.5, and the last-10 is 0.3. That makes the over require an eventful defensive game, so the under is the stronger side.

stocksUNDER 162%MEDIUM

He averages 0.63 stocks on the season and 0.4 over the last 10, well below a typical 1.0 threshold. The low combined defensive production supports an under lean.

prUNDER 16.560%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-rebounds is roughly 16.5 on the listed line, but his recent scoring dip and reduced minutes push the projection slightly below. Combo props carry more variance, so the under is preferred.

paUNDER 14.563%MEDIUM

He averages 13.9 points and 1.4 assists for a season P+A of 15.3, but the recent 11.0 PPG form and 23.2 mpg usage make 14.5 less comfortable than it looks. The under benefits from that minutes-related drag.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS