AI Model:

Austin Reaves▼

LAL · SG

PPG

23.5

RPG

4.8

APG

5.5

L5 PPG

21.8

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.7

23.5

21.8

RPG-0.2

4.8

4.6

APG+0.5

5.5

6.0

SPG+0.1

1.1

1.2

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

OVER 5.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

5.5

NOP

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NOP: 3 ast

DEN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DEN: 7 ast

IND

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs IND: 5 ast

NYK

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs NYK: 5 ast

MIN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIN: 8 ast

CHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs CHI: 7 ast

DEN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs DEN: 6 ast

HOU

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs HOU: 5 ast

HOU

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs HOU: 8 ast

MIA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs MIA: 4 ast

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 5.5BOVADA

61%

PTS

UNDER 23.5BOVADA

64%

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

3PM

OVER 2.5BOVADA

56%

STL

OVER 1

55%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

54%

OVER 2.5

57%

PRA

UNDER 33.5

59%

P+A

OVER 29

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

22.2

15.8

RPG

4.6

3.3

APG

4.9

4.8

vs ORL (H2H)9 games

PPG

14.3

RPG

3.4

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donte DiVincenzo	4	17	77%	+5.5%	medium
Keyonte George	2	11	91%	+32.8%	low
Anthony Edwards	3	9	39%	-15.7%	medium
Brandin Podziemski	3	8	25%

Reaves' workload is strong, but the matchup and trend lean more cautious than his season scoring average

Austin Reaves is still carrying a heavy role, with 34.4 MPG on the season and 38.5 MPG over his last 10, but his production has cooled from a 23.5 PPG season mark to 21.5 over the last 10 and 20.3 over the last 20. He has been more active as a creator lately, posting 5.8 APG in his last 10 and 6.0 APG in his last 5, while his scoring has trended down and his away split is only 15.8 PPG across 6 games. The opponent data is mixed: Orlando allows a 114.28 defensive rating but has strong scoring suppression numbers, and Reaves has also only averaged 14.333333333333334 PPG in 9 career games vs this opponent. With his questionable status and some recent scoring volatility, the safer angles lean away from big point overs and toward moderate assist volume.

Stat Trends

PPG

21.8(↓ from 23.5)

APG

6.0(↑ from 5.5)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.8)

3PM

2.0(↓ from 2.4)

Stocks

1.8(↑ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data available for this player beyond the listed key defenders. Orlando's team numbers show a 114.28 defensive rating with strong scoring suppression, which is a mild headwind for scoring props.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Austin Reaves▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✗
Austin Reaves▼	Points	23.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	26	✗
Austin Reaves▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	7	✗
Austin Reaves▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	2	✗
Austin Reaves▼	Steals	1	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	2	✓
Austin Reaves▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%	3	✓
Austin Reaves▼	Turnovers	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%	3	✓
Austin Reaves▼	PRA	33.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	38	✗
Austin Reaves▼	P+A	29	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	31	✓

ML Scout Analysis

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

P+R25UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+A26UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Austin Reaves

Assists OVER 5.5MEDIUM

This is the best blend of recent form and market value: he is averaging 5.8 APG over the last 10 and 6.0 APG over the last 5, both above the line. The value data shows a 5.9% edge on the 5.5 assist line, making it the strongest available angle despite standard combo volatility.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Anthony Black	1	5	2	17%	17%
Jalen Suggs	1	4	0	0%	0%
Paolo Banchero	2	4	8	29%	29%
Tristan da Silva	2	4	8	50%	67%
Desmond Bane	2	3	2	14%	14%

assistsOVER 5.561%MEDIUM

His last 10 average is 5.8 APG and last 5 is 6.0 APG, both above the 5.5 line. The market data also shows a 5.9 away mean and a +5.9% edge, which supports the over despite some variance.

pointsUNDER 23.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 23.48, but recent scoring is down to 21.5 over the last 10 and 20.3 over the last 20. Given the questionable tag, the 14-game home/away split disparity, and only 14.333333333333334 PPG in 9 games vs Orlando, the under is the cleaner side.

reboundsUNDER 4.558%MEDIUM

Reaves averages 4.75 RPG on the season and 4.9 over the last 10, which is close but not a strong over profile. The value data shows negative edge on the over, so the under is the better lean.

threesOVER 2.556%MEDIUM

He averages 2.36 made threes on the season and 2.1 over the last 10, so he is right around this number. The line is slightly above his season mean, but the volume is still strong enough to justify a modest over lean.

stealsOVER 155%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, so this is a playable defensive-event prop. The recent games show several multi-steal outcomes, though the variance keeps confidence moderate.

stocksOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.48 and his last 10 is 2.0, which gives him a legitimate path over this number. The recent defensive production is strong, but the combo nature of the prop limits confidence.

turnoversOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He is at 2.5 turnovers over the last 20 and 2.0 over the last 5/10, while handling a heavy on-ball role. The recent workload suggests this can land above a modest 2.5 line.

praUNDER 33.559%MEDIUM

His season profile is 23.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 5.5 assists, but combo props carry extra volatility and his recent scoring has cooled. With the questionable tag and opponent history pointing lower, the under is safer than forcing an over.

paOVER 2957%MEDIUM

He has averaged 21.5 points and 5.8 assists over the last 10, which keeps his points-plus-assists profile solid. This is the cleaner combo angle because his recent playmaking uptick supports the total.

timelineOVER 5.5 AST