Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 3 | 17 | 94% | +26.8% | medium |
| James Harden | 3 | 14 | 60% | +10.1% | medium |
| Kevin Durant | 3 | 13 | 94% | +37.9% | medium |
| Ja Morant | 2 | 12 | 33% |
Marcus Smart is averaging 9.6 PPG, 2.8 RPG, and 2.8 APG on the season, with his recent scoring ticking up to 11.6 PPG over the last 5 and 10.2 over the last 10. His steals remain the clearest strength: 1.4 SPG on the season, 2.2 over the last 5, and 2.3 over the last 10, while his stock production has stayed strong at 1.78 season average and 2.7 over the last 10. The scoring outlook is less convincing because his last-20 scoring average is 9.4 and the opponent profile points to suppressed perimeter output, so the safer angles are around defense and modest assist volume. With two opponent absences listed, his all-around role can hold, but the data still favors a conservative projection on points.
No specific defender matchup data is available, so there is no defender-based edge to add. The opponent profile shows a 114.28 defensive rating and a -0.999 three suppression figure, which supports caution on scoring and some skepticism on the scoring side of his props.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Smart▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Marcus Smart▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Steals | 1.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 1 | ✗ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Marcus Smart▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 1 | ✗ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 1 | ✓ |
Marcus Smart▼ | P+A | 13.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 3 | ✗ |
His steals production is the cleanest trend on the board at 1.4 SPG season, 2.2 last 5, and 2.3 last 10. Even with normal variance, that level of activity gives the best combination of form and role without needing a scoring spike.
| low |
| Zach LaVine | 2 | 10 | 0% | -39.9% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane | 2 | 7 | 9 | 43% | 50% |
| Jevon Carter | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Paolo Banchero | 2 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva | 2 | 2 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
His season mean is 9.6 and last-20 is 9.4, both below this line. The recent 11.6 PPG run is stronger, but that is only a 5-game sample and the data supports regression toward his season level.
He averages 2.8 RPG on the season but only 2.3 over the last 10 and 2.0 over the last 5. That puts him right around the line, but the recent trend is slightly down.
His season mean is 2.81 APG and the recent mean is 3.1 APG, with 3.03 APG at home. The line is modest enough that his average role clears it more often than not.
He averages 1.64 made threes per game on the season and 2.2 over the last 5. This is one of his better volume-based props, though the recent std of 1.4 shows some volatility.
He is at 1.4 SPG for the season and 2.2 over the last 5, with 2.3 over the last 10. Given his defensive activity, this is the strongest category to lean over despite variance.
He averages just 0.4 BPG on the season and 0.2 over the last 5. The under is supported by his low baseline block rate.
His season stocks average is 1.78 and his last-10 is 2.7, well above the line. The combined defensive stats are the most reliable way to attack his profile.
He has stayed relatively clean with 0.8 TOPG over the last 20 and 1.1 over the last 10. That level of ball security makes an under on turnovers the lean if the line is near 2.
He averages 9.6 points and 2.8 assists on the season, and his recent assist rate has been a touch higher. This is a lower-confidence combo because combo props carry more variance.