AI Model:

Jordan Goodwin▼

PHX · PF

PPG

8.6

RPG

4.8

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

5.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.0

8.6

5.6

RPG+1.0

4.8

5.8

APG-0.8

2.2

1.4

SPG+0.1

1.5

1.6

BPG0.0

0.2

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

DAL

2026-02-10

2026-02-10 vs DAL: 8 pts

OKC

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs OKC: 12 pts

SAS

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs SAS: 10 pts

ORL

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs ORL: 17 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 6 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 8 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 6 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 3 pts

SAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAS: 5 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

86%

REB

UNDER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

79%

AST

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

58%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

74%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

60%

P+R

UNDER 14.5STAKE

77%

P+A

UNDER 11.5STAKE

71%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.7

7.8

RPG

4.7

5.1

APG

2.0

vs MIL (H2H)9 games

PPG

6.6

RPG

5.2

APG

4.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
De'Aaron Fox	3	11	33%	-7.7%	medium
Anthony Edwards	2	11	64%	+16.1%	low
Cade Cunningham	2	9	33%	-7.7%	low
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	3	8	54%

Goodwin’s defensive floor stands out, but scoring looks capped

Jordan Goodwin is producing 8.6 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 2.2 APG this season in 22.4 MPG, with strong defensive contributions at 1.5 SPG and 1.67 stocks. His recent form has slipped on the scoring side, with just 5.6 PPG over the last 5 and 8.1 PPG over the last 10, while rebounds have held up better at 5.8 over the last 5. The matchup context is mixed: Phoenix is at home where he averages 8.7 PPG, but his last meeting with Milwaukee was only 6 points in 14 minutes, and his head-to-head average versus this opponent is 6.56 PPG across 9 games. With teammate absences likely stabilizing his role, the cleanest edge leans toward his lower scoring range rather than a breakout.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.6(↓ from 8.6)

RPG

5.8(↑ from 4.8)

APG

1.4(↓ from 2.2)

SPG

1.6(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Milwaukee’s opponent defense context shows a 116.38 defensive rating, pace of 100, and 0.237 scoring suppression, which supports caution on scoring overs.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jordan Goodwin▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	86%HIGH	1/2	80%	11	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	79%HIGH	1/2	80%	7	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	4	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	50%	1	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	P+R	14.5	UNDER	77%HIGH	2/2	80%	18	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	P+A	11.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	80%	15	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS7.5UNDER18%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

REB5.5UNDER46%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%+6.7% edge▼

STL2UNDER55%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x3/2015%▼

PRA15.5UNDER36%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

P+R13.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

AST1.5UNDER14%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

3PA4UNDER30%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Jordan Goodwin

Points UNDER 10.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value on the board: his season average is 8.6 PPG, his last 10 are 8.1, and his last 5 are only 5.6. The value props also show a 23.0% edge on the UNDER with strong EV, making it the strongest play despite his home split.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kyle Kuzma	2	4	2	25%	25%
Ryan Rollins	2	2	4	33%	33%
Taurean Prince	2	2	0	0%	0%
Myles Turner	2	2	5	50%	75%
Ousmane Dieng	2	1	6	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 10.586%HIGH

His season mean is 8.6 PPG and his recent_mean is 8.1, both well below 10.5. The value data shows a strong UNDER at 10.5 with a 23.0% edge and 43.02 EV per 100.

reboundsUNDER 6.579%HIGH

He averages 4.77 rebounds for the season and 4.7 over the last 10, making 6.5 a high bar. The value data also points to the UNDER with a 12.6% edge.

assistsUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

Goodwin’s season assist mean is 2.15 and recent_mean is 1.8, both below the 2.5 line. The prop is also high-variance, so confidence should stay moderate.

threesOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.5 made threes this season and 1.4 over the last 10, with home_mean at 1.67. The edge is only modest, so this is a thinner play than the unders.

stealsUNDER 1.574%HIGH

His season steal average is 1.5, but the line is set at a full 1.5 and the last 10 are 1.3. With a volatile defensive stat, the under is the safer side.

stocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

He combines for 1.67 stocks per game on the season and 1.5 over the last 10. The floor is solid enough to consider the over, but variance keeps confidence contained.

prUNDER 14.577%HIGH

His season P+R profile is 13.37 using 8.6 points and 4.77 rebounds, below 14.5. That gap is supported by his recent 8.1 points and 4.7 rebounds.

paUNDER 11.571%HIGH

He averages 10.75 points plus assists on the season and 9.9 over the last 10, both under 11.5. The combo prop adds variance, so the under is preferred but not elite.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS