AI Model:

Myles Turner▼

MIL · C

PPG

12.0

RPG

5.4

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

10.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.4

12.0

10.6

RPG-0.2

5.4

5.2

APG+0.3

1.5

1.8

SPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

BPG-1.1

1.5

0.4

UNDER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

14.5

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 8 pts

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 5 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 8 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 8 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 22 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 7 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 8 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs UTA: 3 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 14.5STAKE

71%

REB

UNDER 6.5STAKE

67%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

52%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

74%

STL

OVER 0.5

56%

BLK

UNDER 1.5STAKE

69%

STL+BLK

UNDER 3

63%

UNDER 2

58%

PRA

UNDER 21.5STAKE

64%

P+A

UNDER 16.5STAKE

61%

UNDER 0.5

73%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.5

7.3

RPG

4.8

5.4

APG

1.1

1.7

vs PHX (H2H)10 games

PPG

13.7

RPG

6.8

APG

1.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Alex Sarr	3	19	36%	-7.4%	medium
Moussa Diabaté	3	19	75%	+31.2%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	16	14%	-29.5%	medium
Jarrett Allen	3	14	67%

Giannis out boosts role, but Turner’s recent form still points to a cautious profile

Myles Turner’s season line sits at 12.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG, and 1.5 BPG, but his recent production has trended down with 10.6 PPG over the last 5 and 8.5 PPG over the last 10. The biggest usage swing comes from Giannis Antetokounmpo being out, which should keep Turner involved, yet his recent minutes have also dipped to 22.9 in the last 10 compared to 27.3 on the season. This matchup is not a perfect scoring environment: the Suns have a 111.21 defensive rating and a -1.621 three suppression mark, but Turner does have a strong 10-game history vs Phoenix at 13.7 PPG and 6.8 RPG. The mix of lower recent form and a solid-but-not-elite matchup makes his scoring and rebounding props lean more toward the under side on inflated numbers.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.6(↓ from 12.0)

RPG

5.2(→ from 5.4)

APG

1.8(↑ from 1.5)

BPG

0.4(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Phoenix does have a 111.21 defensive rating and a -1.621 three suppression mark, while the Suns are missing Mark Williams and may also be without Royce O'Neale, which can help Turner’s floor but does not fully offset his recent dip.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Myles Turner▼	Points	14.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	90%	7	✓
Myles Turner▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	3	✓
Myles Turner▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	0	✗
Myles Turner▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	74%HIGH	1/2	40%	1	✗
Myles Turner▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Myles Turner▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	2	✗
Myles Turner▼	STL+BLK	3	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	100%	3	✗
Myles Turner▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✗
Myles Turner▼	PRA	21.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	10	✓
Myles Turner▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	7	✓
Myles Turner▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PRA14OVER7%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

3PA5UNDER46%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

FTA2UNDER30%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A11UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

PTS8UNDER11%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

BLK1UNDER21%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM1UNDER32%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

REB4UNDER19%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

3PM1UNDER16%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

Featured Pick

Myles Turner

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest positive-side prop in the data because Turner averages 2.11 threes per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, both above 1.5. The value prop table reinforces it with a 18.0% edge at DraftKings and strong EV, making it the best blend of form and price.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Oso Ighodaro	2	9	12	86%	86%
Khaman Maluach	2	5	8	80%	80%
Devin Booker	2	2	4	17%	25%
Rasheer Fleming	2	1	0	0%	0%
Jalen Green	2	1	12	71%	79%

pointsUNDER 14.571%HIGH

Turner’s season mean is 12.05 PPG, and his last 10 drops to 8.5 PPG with only 22.9 minutes in that span. Even with Giannis out, 14.5 is above both his season and recent scoring levels.

reboundsUNDER 6.567%MEDIUM

He averages 5.38 RPG on the season and 4.3 RPG over the last 10, both below this line. His recent rebound output has not shown enough lift to justify the over.

assistsOVER 1.552%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.52 APG and his last 5 is 1.8 APG, so 1.5 is right in range. The confidence stays modest because assists are volatile and his recent 10-game average is only 1.3.

threesOVER 1.574%HIGH

Turner averages 2.11 threes per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, keeping him above this line. The value data also shows a strong +EV profile with a 18.0% edge at DraftKings.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 20, so 0.5 is reachable. Recent game logs still show steal involvement, but variance keeps this moderate.

blocksUNDER 1.569%MEDIUM

Turner’s season mean is 1.5 blocks, but his last 5 is only 0.4 and last 10 is 0.8. That recent drop makes the over too aggressive at this number.

stocksUNDER 363%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.2 and recent 10-game average is 1.5, well short of a 3.0 line. Combined volatility is high, so the under is the safer side.

turnoversUNDER 258%MEDIUM

Turner’s recent turnover rates are 1.5 over the last 10 and 1.6 over the last 20. With the line at 2.0, the under is slightly preferable.

praUNDER 21.564%MEDIUM

His season PRA profile is 12.05 points, 5.38 rebounds, and 1.52 assists, which totals below this number before even accounting for recent decline. Combo props carry extra variance, so this is better attacked from the under side.

paUNDER 16.561%MEDIUM

Turner’s season points-plus-assists is about 13.6, and recent form is lower with 8.5 PPG and 1.3 APG over the last 10. The line needs a scoring spike that his recent sample hasn’t supported.

double_doubleUNDER 0.573%HIGH

He does not profile as a consistent double-double threat with 12.0 PPG and 5.4 RPG on the season. Even his 10-game vs-opponent averages of 13.7 PPG and 6.8 RPG are still not enough to make the over likely.

timelineUNDER 14.5 PTS