AI Model:

Terance Mann▼

BKN · SF

PPG

7.3

RPG

3.2

APG

3.1

L5 PPG

5.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.9

7.3

5.4

RPG+0.8

3.2

4.0

APG-1.1

3.1

2.0

SPG-0.6

0.6

0.0

BPG0.0

0.2

OVER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

ATL

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs ATL: 6 pts

DAL

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs DAL: 17 pts

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 8 pts

CLE

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CLE: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 8 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 7 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 7 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 8 pts

PHI

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs PHI: 5 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 0 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 7.5FANDUEL

63%

REB

UNDER 3.5STAKE

58%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

60%

3PM

OVER 0.5

52%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

78%

OVER 1.5

55%

P+A

UNDER 10.5BETMGM

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.0

7.1

RPG

2.3

3.1

APG

2.8

1.6

vs SAC (H2H)17 games

PPG

9.4

RPG

3.6

APG

2.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tyrese Maxey	3	17	36%	-9.3%	medium
CJ McCollum	5	13	75%	+16.8%	medium
Jamal Murray	2	12	117%	+54.3%	low
Payton Pritchard	2	9	50%

Value points over, but volume remains capped

Terance Mann’s season line is modest at 7.3 PPG, 3.2 RPG, and 3.1 APG across 58 games, and his recent form has dipped to 5.4 PPG over the last 5 with only 21.8 MPG. The matchup is workable on paper, especially with the opponent allowing a 120.99 defensive rating and missing Domantas Sabonis, but Mann’s own usage has not shown consistent spike potential lately. The best angle is price-based rather than production-based: the available points market at 7.5 is below his season mean and supported by the value data. Combo props are less attractive because his recent assist and rebound output has been uneven and the variance is high.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.4(↓ from 7.3)

RPG

4.0(→ from 3.2)

APG

2.0(↓ from 3.1)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data was provided. The opponent context is mixed: Sacramento has a 120.99 defensive rating and is missing Domantas Sabonis, but without specific defender data the matchup boost is best treated as moderate rather than strong.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Terance Mann▼	Points	7.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	5	✗
Terance Mann▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	3	✓
Terance Mann▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	2	✓
Terance Mann▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Terance Mann▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Terance Mann▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓
Terance Mann▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	20%	0	✗
Terance Mann▼	P+A	10.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	7	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS6.5UNDER26%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

3PA2.5UNDER1%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

P+A8.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

REB2.5OVER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

AST2OVER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼

PRA11OVER4%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

P+R9OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Terance Mann

Points OVER 7.5MEDIUM

This is the clearest value angle because the market line is 7.5 while his season average is 7.3 PPG, and the value props show a 12.2% edge with positive EV. Recent form is below average at 5.4 PPG over the last 5, so it is not a high-confidence play, but the pricing still makes the OVER the best bet.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Devin Carter	2	2	5	100%	125%
Doug McDermott	2	2	0	0%	0%
Precious Achiuwa	1	2	2	100%	100%
DaQuan Jeffries	1	2	0	0%	0%
Daeqwon Plowden	1	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 7.563%MEDIUM

His season average is 7.3 PPG and the FanDuel line is 7.5, but the value data shows a 12.2% edge to the OVER with an expected value of 24.0 per 100. Recent form is softer at 5.4 PPG over the last 5, so confidence stays moderate rather than aggressive.

reboundsUNDER 3.558%MEDIUM

He averages 3.2 RPG on the season and 2.7 RPG over the last 10, while recent minutes have fallen to 20.4 MPG. The line sits slightly above his season mean, making the UNDER the safer side in a lower-minute environment.

assistsUNDER 3.560%MEDIUM

His season mean is 3.12 APG, but the last 5 is only 2.0 and the last 10 is 2.2, showing clear recent softness. With the line at 3.5 and no strong recent assist trend, the UNDER is favored.

threesOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.86 threes per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, so he still has a reasonable path to 1+ made three. The recent volume is low, so this is only a thin lean.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages just 0.2 BPG on the season and 0.2 over the last 10, far below a 0.5 line. Even with a favorable opponent context, the block rate is too low for an OVER.

stocksUNDER 178%HIGH

His season stocks average is 0.86 and recent stock production is only 0.2 over the last 5 and 0.2 over the last 10. That recent decline makes the UNDER the stronger call.

turnoversOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

He is at 1.3 turnovers per game on the season and 1.4 over the last 5, with several recent games at 1-3 turnovers. This is close enough to the line that the OVER gets a slight lean.

paUNDER 10.566%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists profile is roughly 10.4 using 7.3 PPG and 3.1 APG, while recent form is weaker at 8.6 using 5.4 PPG and 2.0 APG. With the line at 10.5, the UNDER is the more conservative side.

timelineOVER 7.5 PTS