Baylor Scheierman▼

BOS · SG

PPG

4.8

RPG

3.5

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

5.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.6

4.8

5.4

RPG+3.1

3.5

6.6

APG+1.6

1.4

3.0

SPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

OVER 4.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

4.5

MIL

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs MIL: 10 pts

CHA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs CHA: 9 pts

DAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DAL: 5 pts

CLE

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CLE: 16 pts

SAS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAS: 6 pts

OKC

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs OKC: 11 pts

WAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs WAS: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs PHX: 8 pts

GSW

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs GSW: 3 pts

MEM

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MEM: 2 pts

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 4.5

56%

REB

OVER 3.5

61%

AST

OVER 1.5

57%

3PM

OVER 1

54%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

OVER 1

58%

PRA

OVER 10

52%

P+A

UNDER 5.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.5

9.2

RPG

6.0

6.5

APG

3.0

2.1

vs MIN (H2H)1 games

PPG

3.0

RPG

0.0

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
CJ McCollum	6	11	55%	+10.1%	medium
Tyrese Maxey	2	9	35%	-14.4%	low
Luka Dončić	1	7	44%	-6.9%	low
Pascal Siakam	4	7	38%

Minutes spike gives Scheierman a live rebounds-and-assists look

Baylor Scheierman’s season line is modest at 4.8 PPG, 3.5 RPG, and 1.4 APG, but his recent role has been much bigger, with 27.2 MPG over the last 10 and 26.6 MPG over the last 5. That usage boost has lifted his recent production to 7.3 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 2.6 APG, though his overall trend is still listed as down and his last game was only 2 points. The matchup is not a pure scoring boost, but Minnesota’s opponent scoring suppression is -0.126 and three suppression is -0.193, so efficiency could be muted even with extra minutes. Anthony Edwards being out helps the game environment, but there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on for a direct edge.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.4(↑ from 4.8)

RPG

6.6(↑ from 3.5)

APG

3.0(↑ from 1.4)

3PM

1.4(↑ from 1.1)

Key Matchup

Minnesota’s opponent profile shows a 114.77 defensive rating, pace of 100, scoring suppression of -0.126, and three suppression of -0.193. There is no specific defender matchup data, so this is more of a pace-and-efficiency environment read than a direct one-on-one edge.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Baylor Scheierman▼	Points	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	5	✓
Baylor Scheierman▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	4	✓
Baylor Scheierman▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	2	✓
Baylor Scheierman▼	3PM	1	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✗
Baylor Scheierman▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	100%	0	✓
Baylor Scheierman▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	20%	0	✗
Baylor Scheierman▼	PRA	10	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	11	✓
Baylor Scheierman▼	P+A	5.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	7	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA9.5OVER12%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)16/2080%+27.6% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved HIGH to LOW; Line moved -5.0▼

P+R12UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A10UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Baylor Scheierman

Rebounds OVER 3.5MEDIUM

The rebound profile is the cleanest part of the projection because his season average is 3.49 RPG but the last 10 has jumped to 6.1 RPG and the last 5 to 6.6 RPG. With 27.2 MPG recently, 3.5 is a reachable number without needing a hot shooting night.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Naz Reid	2	5	2	20%	20%
Julius Randle	2	2	1	0%	0%
Bones Hyland	1	1	5	50%	63%
Anthony Edwards	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jaden McDaniels	2	1	2	25%	25%

pointsOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

His season mean is 4.83, and the recent minutes jump to 27.2 MPG has pushed his last-10 scoring to 7.3 PPG. Still, the last game at 2 points and Minnesota’s scoring suppression make this only a modest lean.

reboundsOVER 3.561%MEDIUM

He is averaging 3.49 RPG for the season but 6.1 RPG over the last 10 and 6.6 RPG over the last 5, supported by 27.2 MPG recently. With that role, 3.5 is a reachable number if he keeps the extra run.

assistsOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.37 APG, but he has averaged 2.6 APG over the last 10 and 3.0 APG over the last 5. The elevated minutes make 1.5 attainable, though the season baseline keeps confidence moderate.

threesOVER 154%MEDIUM

Scheierman’s season average is 1.08 threes made per game, and he is at 1.7 over the last 10. Minnesota’s three suppression is -0.193, so the over is playable but not strong.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 0.65 stocks for the season and 0.6 over the last 10, which is well below 1.5. Even with the minutes bump, the combined defensive events profile is too low for the over.

turnoversOVER 158%MEDIUM

His recent topg is 0.9 and he has had multiple games with 1-3 turnovers while handling more minutes. A 1.0 line is right in the range where the added usage can push him over.

praOVER 1052%MEDIUM

His recent production is 7.3 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 2.6 APG, which clearly exceeds his season pace. Because combo props carry more variance, this is a cautious over only if the minutes stay elevated.

paUNDER 5.560%MEDIUM

He is at 4.8 PPG plus 1.4 APG for the season, and that combination is still more aligned with a mid-5s line than a higher one. Recent usage helps, but the scoring role remains limited enough to prefer the under on an inflated number.

timelineOVER 4.5 PTS