AI Model:

Rudy Gobert▲

MIN · C

PPG

11.0

RPG

11.4

APG

1.7

L5 PPG

13.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.6

11.0

13.6

RPG+1.0

11.4

12.4

APG-0.5

1.7

1.2

SPG+0.2

0.8

1.0

BPG0.0

1.6

OVER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

10.5

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 5 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 18 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 12 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 3 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 9 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 18 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 2 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 9 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 21 pts

POR

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs POR: 18 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 10.5FANDUEL

60%

REB

UNDER 11.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

56%

BLK

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 2

55%

P+R

UNDER 21.5FANDUEL

62%

R+A

OVER 12.5FANDUEL

64%

OVER 0

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.7

7.7

RPG

12.0

11.3

APG

1.4

2.3

vs BOS (H2H)10 games

PPG

13.1

RPG

11.2

APG

1.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donovan Clingan	4	35	50%	-24.9%	medium
Brook Lopez	4	22	54%	-30.1%	medium
Deandre Ayton	3	21	79%	+10.0%	medium
Jusuf Nurkić	3	21	38%

Gobert’s rebounding floor is strong, but Boston adds some scoring risk

Rudy Gobert is in solid form, with his last 5 averaging 13.6 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks, while his season marks sit at 11.0 points and 11.4 rebounds on 31.5 MPG. The absence of Anthony Edwards can keep Gobert involved, but his scoring has been volatile and his away split is only 7.7 PPG compared with 14.7 PPG at home. Boston’s defense context is not an automatic smash spot, and his head-to-head average of 13.1 PPG and 11.2 RPG vs this opponent suggests rebounds are the steadier path than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.6(↑ from 11.0)

RPG

12.4(↑ from 11.4)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.7)

BPG

1.6(→ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the available opponent context shows Boston allowing a defensive environment with a 107.03 defensive rating and 100 pace. Gobert’s prior 10 games vs this opponent average 13.1 points and 11.2 rebounds, so the matchup leans more neutral for rebounds than for scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Rudy Gobert▼	Points	10.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	9	✗
Rudy Gobert▼	Rebounds	11.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	14	✗
Rudy Gobert▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✗
Rudy Gobert▼	Blocks	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	4	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	STL+BLK	2	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	50%	5	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	23	✗
Rudy Gobert▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	15	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	Double-Double	0	OVER	66%MEDIUM	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER20%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%+5.7% edge▼

PRA24.5UNDER10%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

REB10.5OVER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)13/2065%+8.9% edge▼

P+R22.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

BLK1.5UNDER34%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

P+A12OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Rudy Gobert

Rebounds UNDER 11.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest cautious angle because his season mean is 11.43, last 10 is 11.1, and the away split is 11.3, all clustering around the line. The under has the better risk profile than reaching for an over in a high-variance rebound prop.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Neemias Queta	2	11	12	75%	75%
Luka Garza	2	4	3	50%	75%
Derrick White	2	2	7	50%	58%
Jaylen Brown	2	2	8	36%	36%
Jayson Tatum	1	1	11	63%	69%

pointsOVER 10.560%MEDIUM

Season mean is 11.04 and the last 10 average is 11.5, so 10.5 is modestly beatable. The recent 5-game scoring spike to 13.6 is positive, but his away production is just 7.7 PPG, which keeps confidence capped.

reboundsUNDER 11.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 11.43 and last 10 is 11.1, both sitting right around the line, while the away split is 11.3 and the B2B mean is 10.0. With standard deviation at 3.71, this is close to fair value and the under is slightly safer.

assistsOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

Gobert’s season mean is 1.73 assists and his last 10 is 1.8, so 1.5 is a reasonable low bar. The sample is volatile, but the line is low enough to prefer the over.

blocksOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 blocks on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, which supports clearing 1.5. Variance is meaningful, but the prop matches his core defensive profile.

stocksOVER 255%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.36 and last 20 is 2.2, so 2.0 is in a reachable range. This is still a volatile combo category, so confidence stays moderate.

prUNDER 21.562%MEDIUM

Season scoring and rebounding combine to 22.47, but combo props are higher-variance and his rebounding line is already close to fair. The under is supported by his away scoring drop and overall volatility.

raOVER 12.564%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists average is 13.13, and the last 10 is about 12.9, both above 12.5. The combination is still somewhat volatile, but the number is slightly too low relative to his typical production.

double_doubleOVER 066%MEDIUM

With season averages of 11.0 points and 11.4 rebounds, Gobert has clear double-double potential whenever he gets normal minutes. His role and rebounding volume make this a natural fit.

timelineOVER 10.5 PTS