Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 4 | 35 | 50% | -24.9% | medium |
| Brook Lopez | 4 | 22 | 54% | -30.1% | medium |
| Deandre Ayton | 3 | 21 | 79% | +10.0% | medium |
| Jusuf Nurkić | 3 | 21 | 38% |
Rudy Gobert is in solid form, with his last 5 averaging 13.6 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks, while his season marks sit at 11.0 points and 11.4 rebounds on 31.5 MPG. The absence of Anthony Edwards can keep Gobert involved, but his scoring has been volatile and his away split is only 7.7 PPG compared with 14.7 PPG at home. Boston’s defense context is not an automatic smash spot, and his head-to-head average of 13.1 PPG and 11.2 RPG vs this opponent suggests rebounds are the steadier path than points.
No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the available opponent context shows Boston allowing a defensive environment with a 107.03 defensive rating and 100 pace. Gobert’s prior 10 games vs this opponent average 13.1 points and 11.2 rebounds, so the matchup leans more neutral for rebounds than for scoring.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rudy Gobert▼ | Points | 10.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 9 | ✗ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | Rebounds | 11.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 14 | ✗ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% | 4 | ✓ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | STL+BLK | 2 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 5 | ✓ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | P+R | 21.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 23 | ✗ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | R+A | 12.5 | OVER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 15 | ✓ |
Rudy Gobert▼ | Double-Double | 0 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | — | — | — | — |
This is the cleanest cautious angle because his season mean is 11.43, last 10 is 11.1, and the away split is 11.3, all clustering around the line. The under has the better risk profile than reaching for an over in a high-variance rebound prop.
| medium |
| Derik Queen | 3 | 21 | 58% | -18.6% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neemias Queta | 2 | 11 | 12 | 75% | 75% |
| Luka Garza | 2 | 4 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Derrick White | 2 | 2 | 7 | 50% | 58% |
| Jaylen Brown | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36% | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum | 1 | 1 | 11 | 63% | 69% |
Season mean is 11.04 and the last 10 average is 11.5, so 10.5 is modestly beatable. The recent 5-game scoring spike to 13.6 is positive, but his away production is just 7.7 PPG, which keeps confidence capped.
His season mean is 11.43 and last 10 is 11.1, both sitting right around the line, while the away split is 11.3 and the B2B mean is 10.0. With standard deviation at 3.71, this is close to fair value and the under is slightly safer.
Gobert’s season mean is 1.73 assists and his last 10 is 1.8, so 1.5 is a reasonable low bar. The sample is volatile, but the line is low enough to prefer the over.
He averages 1.6 blocks on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, which supports clearing 1.5. Variance is meaningful, but the prop matches his core defensive profile.
His season stocks average is 2.36 and last 20 is 2.2, so 2.0 is in a reachable range. This is still a volatile combo category, so confidence stays moderate.
Season scoring and rebounding combine to 22.47, but combo props are higher-variance and his rebounding line is already close to fair. The under is supported by his away scoring drop and overall volatility.
His season rebounds plus assists average is 13.13, and the last 10 is about 12.9, both above 12.5. The combination is still somewhat volatile, but the number is slightly too low relative to his typical production.
With season averages of 11.0 points and 11.4 rebounds, Gobert has clear double-double potential whenever he gets normal minutes. His role and rebounding volume make this a natural fit.