AI Model:

Sam Hauser▼

BOS · SF

PPG

9.0

RPG

3.9

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

5.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.4

9.0

5.6

RPG-0.3

3.9

3.6

APG-0.3

1.5

1.2

SPG0.0

0.6

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

OVER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

MIL

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs MIL: 14 pts

CHA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs CHA: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DAL: 6 pts

CLE

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CLE: 15 pts

SAS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAS: 11 pts

OKC

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs OKC: 8 pts

WAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs WAS: 12 pts

PHX

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs PHX: 2 pts

GSW

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs GSW: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MEM: 0 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 7.5FANDUEL

56%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

AST

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

58%

3PM

OVER 2.5BOVADA

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

64%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

UNDER 1

70%

P+R

OVER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

51%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.7

10.3

RPG

3.5

4.4

APG

1.2

1.8

vs MIN (H2H)9 games

PPG

6.7

RPG

2.7

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Johnson	3	12	50%	-3.3%	medium
Kelly Oubre Jr.	4	11	75%	+8.2%	medium
Cooper Flagg	2	9	33%	-8.5%	low
Andrew Wiggins	3	7	61%

Hauser gets a usage bump, but recent form still points to a cautious ceiling

Sam Hauser’s season baseline sits at 9.0 PPG, 3.9 RPG, and 1.5 APG in 24.5 MPG, but his recent scoring has dipped to 5.6 PPG over the last 5 and 7.7 PPG over the last 10. The opponent context helps: Anthony Edwards is out, which can open up scoring and shot volume, and Hauser’s away splits are stronger than his home splits at 10.3 PPG and 2.8 threes made. Still, Minnesota’s defense shows a 114.77 defensive rating with -0.193 three suppression, and his head-to-head line against this opponent is only 6.7 PPG in 16 MPG, so the profile is more balanced than explosive. Given the over-bias warning and his recent downturn, the stronger lean is on the lower-volume side for most counting props.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.6(↓ from 9.0)

RPG

3.6(→ from 3.9)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.5)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 2.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is provided beyond the listed Minnesota key defenders, so the main matchup note is team-level: Minnesota allows a 114.77 defensive rating, but also shows -0.193 three suppression, which matters for a perimeter shooter like Hauser. Anthony Edwards being out helps the offensive environment, but there is no specific defender matchup data to target.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Sam Hauser▼	Points	7.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✗
Sam Hauser▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	2	✗
Sam Hauser▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	1	✓
Sam Hauser▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	0	✗
Sam Hauser▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✗
Sam Hauser▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Sam Hauser▼	Turnovers	1	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓
Sam Hauser▼	P+R	10.5	OVER	51%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	4	✗

ML Scout Analysis

3PM2.5UNDER31%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)7/2035%+5.0% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PTS8.5UNDER15%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

PRA12.5UNDER9%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

REB3.5UNDER8%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Sam Hauser

Turnovers UNDER 1.0HIGH

Hauser averages only 0.2 turnovers per game on the season and 0.3 over his last 10, far below the projected line. Unlike his points and threes props, this does not rely on efficiency or shot volume and is the cleanest statistical edge in the data.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Donte DiVincenzo	2	4	5	50%	63%
Julius Randle	2	4	0	0%	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr.	1	3	2	0%	0%
Naz Reid	2	2	4	50%	50%
Jaden McDaniels	2	2	2	25%	25%

pointsOVER 7.556%MEDIUM

His season mean is 9.0 PPG and his away mean is 10.3 PPG, while the market line is 7.5. Anthony Edwards being out can help volume, but his last 5 at 5.6 PPG keeps this from being a strong play.

reboundsOVER 3.554%MEDIUM

He averages 3.9 RPG on the season and 4.4 RPG away, with 4.5 RPG over the last 10. The edge is modest, but the line is below his season average and recent rebounding level.

assistsUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.46 APG, last 5 is 1.2, and last 10 is 1.1, all below the 1.5 line. With limited playmaking volume, the under is the cleaner side.

threesOVER 2.555%MEDIUM

He averages 2.54 threes made per game on the season and 2.8 away, which is above this 2.5 line. Even with Minnesota’s -0.193 three suppression, his volume and away splits keep the over playable.

blocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

He averages only 0.3 BPG on the season and 0.4 in his last 10, so clearing 0.5 requires an above-normal night. This is a lower-variance under compared with his scoring props.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks rate is 0.87 and his last 10 is 1.0, both below 1.5. Even with an occasional spike, the combined steals-plus-blocks line is too high for his baseline.

turnoversUNDER 170%HIGH

He averages just 0.2 turnovers per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. This is well below the projected line and one of the safest unders in his profile.

prOVER 10.551%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is roughly 12.9, and his away scoring/rebounding profile is stronger than at home. The recent scoring dip makes this only a slight lean over.

timelineOVER 7.5 PTS