Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Spencer | 1 | 4 | 0% | -41.1% | low |
| Duncan Robinson | 2 | 4 | 0% | -41.1% | low |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 4 | 100% | +58.9% | medium |
| Jabari Walker | 1 | 3 | 0% |
Terrence Shannon Jr. has a season line of 4.2 points, 1.0 rebounds, and 0.7 assists in 11.6 minutes, and his recent form is still modest at 3.5 points and 0.7 assists over the last 10. The biggest contextual boost is Anthony Edwards being out, which can open up extra usage and minutes, but Shannon’s own recent game log still shows volatile playing time and multiple low-output outings. Boston’s profile also leans slightly negative for scoring with a 107.03 defensive rating, -1.892 scoring suppression, and -0.162 three suppression, so this is not an easy ceiling spot. His best path is through a modest minutes spike, but the overall projection remains cautious.
No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the available notes do not identify a clear primary stopper. The team context is mildly difficult for scoring given Boston’s 107.03 defensive rating and negative scoring suppression, which slightly favors lower production.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Terrence Shannon Jr.▼ | Points | 4.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Terrence Shannon Jr.▼ | Rebounds | 1 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Terrence Shannon Jr.▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Terrence Shannon Jr.▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Terrence Shannon Jr.▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest angle because his rebound profile is extremely light: 1.0 on the season, 0.5 over the last 10, and 0.7 over the last 20. Even with Anthony Edwards out, there is little evidence in the data that Shannon reliably gets to multiple boards.
| low |
| Ausar Thompson | 2 | 3 | 100% | +58.9% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hauser | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Derrick White | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jaylen Brown | 1 | 1 | 6 | 100% | 100% |
| Payton Pritchard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Josh Minott | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 4.2 points and his last 10 is only 3.5, so the baseline remains below a modest 4.5 line. Anthony Edwards being out helps, but the role has been inconsistent and Boston’s scoring suppression makes an over less attractive.
He averages just 1.0 rebounds for the season and 0.5 over the last 10, with only 0.7 across the last 20. That profile does not support an over unless minutes jump materially.
The season average is 0.7 assists and the last 5 is 1.2, so a low line is reachable even with limited minutes. His away average of 1.0 is also stronger than his home split.
He averages 0.63 threes per game on the season and 0.6 away, so a half-line is within range. The recent 3-point volume is lighter, but the line is still accessible.
His season stocks average is only 0.38 and the last 20 sits at 0.4, with no blocks and just 0.3 steals per game on the season. That is not enough consistency to back an over.