AI Model:

Devin Booker▼

PHX · SG

PPG

25.5

RPG

3.9

APG

5.9

L5 PPG

28.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.7

25.5

28.2

RPG-0.7

3.9

3.2

APG-1.7

5.9

4.2

SPG-0.5

0.9

0.4

BPG+0.3

0.3

0.6

OVER 25.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

25.5

CHI

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs CHI: 27 pts

NOP

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NOP: 32 pts

CHA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHA: 30 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 27 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 43 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 31 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 40 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 34 pts

SAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAS: 22 pts

MIL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIL: 14 pts

Over 25.5

Under 25.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 25.5BETRIVERS

58%

AST

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

P+A

UNDER 31.5FANDUEL

56%

PRA

UNDER 35.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

22.9

27.1

RPG

3.7

4.1

APG

6.6

4.3

vs TOR (H2H)8 games

PPG

21.9

RPG

3.9

APG

4.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Moses Moody	3	14	50%	-8.0%	medium
Christian Braun	2	12	81%	+29.5%	low
Keegan Murray	2	11	54%	+4.5%	low
Jaden McDaniels	2	11	67%

Booker’s scoring is live, but assists and combo upside look capped

Devin Booker is averaging 25.5 points, 5.9 assists, and 3.9 rebounds on the season, but his recent form is mixed: he’s up to 28.2 PPG over the last 5 and 30.0 PPG over the last 10 while the overall trend is marked down. The matchup data is not especially friendly for a big ceiling game, with Toronto carrying a 111.97 defensive rating and -0.765 scoring suppression, while Booker’s head-to-head mark against this opponent is only 21.875 PPG across 8 games. He is at home, where he’s been better as a passer (6.6 APG at home vs 4.3 away), but the back-to-back context also trims some upside. Best signal from the market is points over 25.5, while assists lean under across multiple books.

Stat Trends

PPG

28.2(↑ from 25.5)

APG

4.2(↓ from 5.9)

RPG

3.2(↓ from 3.9)

3PM

2.3(↑ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

Toronto’s defense is listed with a 111.97 defensive rating and -0.765 scoring suppression, which points to some resistance for Booker’s scoring. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so the safer read is team-level defensive pressure rather than a named one-on-one matchup.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Devin Booker▼	Points	25.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	25	✗
Devin Booker▼	Assists	5.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	6	✗
Devin Booker▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✗
Devin Booker▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	3	✗
Devin Booker▼	P+A	31.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	31	✓
Devin Booker▼	PRA	35.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	34	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R31.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)11/1958%▼

P+A33.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/1953%▼

3PM1.5OVER4%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x14/1974%+8.4% edge▼

PRA36.5UNDER21%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/1953%▼

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/1953%▼

PTS26.5UNDER4%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)11/1958%▼

AST6.5UNDER24%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1932%+10.1% edge▼

3PA7UNDER46%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)3/1916%▼

REB3.5UNDER38%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)9/1947%▼

FTM7UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/1947%▼

FTA8UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/1947%▼

Featured Pick

Devin Booker

Assists Under 5.5HIGH

The strongest combination of market and form support is the assists under. Booker’s season average is 5.9, but his last 5 is only 4.2, his recent mean is 4.9, and his back-to-back mean is 4.4, all below the 5.5 line. Multiple books price the under as the preferred side, making this the cleanest edge in the set.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ja'Kobe Walter	2	4	4	100%	100%
Brandon Ingram	2	4	6	67%	83%
RJ Barrett	2	4	12	56%	61%
Scottie Barnes	2	4	2	50%	50%
Immanuel Quickley	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 25.558%MEDIUM

Booker’s season mean is 25.5 PPG and the value data shows a 5.8% edge on over 25.5 at BetRivers. Even with Toronto’s scoring suppression and his down overall trend, his recent scoring has been 28.2 and 30.0 over the last 5 and last 10.

assistsUNDER 5.567%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.9 APG, but his recent mean is 4.9 and his last 5 is 4.2, with b2b mean at 4.4. The value sheet also flags under 5.5 as positive at multiple books, including an under recommendation with a 5.2% edge at DraftKings.

reboundsOVER 3.554%MEDIUM

Booker averages 3.9 rebounds on the season and 4.1 over the last 10, which is just enough to lean over a 3.5 line. His home rebound average is 3.7, so this is playable but not high conviction.

threesUNDER 2.561%MEDIUM

He’s at 1.84 made threes per game on the season and 2.3 over the last 5, but the season baseline is still below 2.5 and the threes market shows negative edge on over. Standard deviation is 1.47, so variance is notable and keeps confidence moderate.

paUNDER 31.556%MEDIUM

Using season averages, Booker’s points plus assists sits at 31.4, essentially on the number, while his assists have recently dipped to 4.9. With the over bias warning and a back-to-back in play, the under is the safer side.

praUNDER 35.557%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 35.35, while his recent scoring surge is offset by weaker assists and rebounds. Combo props carry extra variance, and his recent 5-game PRA profile is less stable than the season baseline.

timelineOVER 25.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Booker’s scoring is live, but assists and combo upside look capped

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 25.5 PTS