AI Model:

Immanuel Quickley▼

TOR · PG

PPG

17.0

RPG

4.1

APG

6.1

L5 PPG

14.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.4

17.0

14.6

RPG-0.7

4.1

3.4

APG-0.9

6.1

5.2

SPG+0.7

1.3

2.0

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

OVER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

15.5

WAS

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs WAS: 27 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 13 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 18 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 10 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 12 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 25 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 17 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 6 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 10 pts

DEN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs DEN: 15 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

3PM

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

68%

P+A

OVER 21.5FANDUEL

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.2

18.4

RPG

3.2

3.7

APG

5.5

6.7

vs PHX (H2H)11 games

PPG

15.0

RPG

4.7

APG

4.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	4	19	64%	+1.0%	medium
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	16	61%	-0.1%	medium
Anfernee Simons	5	14	43%	-11.2%	medium
Ryan Rollins	3	14	44%

Quickley’s assist floor is solid, but Phoenix matchup keeps his scoring in check

Immanuel Quickley is still logging starter minutes, with 32.6 MPG on the season and 33.0 MPG over his last 10, but his scoring form has cooled to 14.6 PPG over the last 5 and 15.3 over the last 10 versus a 17.0 season average. His playmaking is steadier, with 6.1 APG on the season and 7.0 APG over the last 10, while his three-point volume remains meaningful at 2.62 made threes per game. The matchup is not ideal for an efficient scoring night because Phoenix carries a 111.17 defensive rating and a -0.948 scoring suppression mark, which points toward a more modest offensive projection. With Toronto on two days rest and Quickley’s recent production trending down, the safer angle leans away from aggressive overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.6(↓ from 17.0)

APG

5.2(↓ from 6.1)

RPG

3.4(↓ from 4.1)

3PM

2.4(↓ from 2.6)

Key Matchup

Phoenix has a 111.17 defensive rating with -0.948 scoring suppression and -1.55 three suppression, which is a mild drag on Quickley’s scoring upside. The provided key defenders list includes no specific defender matchup data that can be used to isolate a true on-ball stopper.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Immanuel Quickley▼	Points	15.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	11	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	3	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	1	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼	P+A	21.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	12	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5OVER3%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)13/2065%+8.9% edge▼

PRA21.5OVER13%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)15/2075%+21.7% edge▼

3PM2.5OVER1%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)12/2060%+14.3% edge▼

REB3.5UNDER33%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

AST5.5UNDER13%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

3PA6.5UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

STL1UNDER27%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

FTM2UNDER34%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

FTA2UNDER18%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Immanuel Quickley

Points OVER 15.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value spot in the data: DraftKings shows a 7.0% edge on the over, and his season average is 17.0 PPG with 18.4 PPG away from home. The recent dip to 14.6 PPG over the last 5 is a concern, but the lower 15.5 line is still well below his season baseline.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Collin Gillespie	2	9	2	50%	50%
Jalen Green	2	3	9	67%	75%
Grayson Allen	1	3	0	0%	0%
Oso Ighodaro	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jordan Goodwin	2	2	2	33%	33%

pointsOVER 15.563%MEDIUM

He averages 17.0 PPG on the season and 18.4 PPG away from home, both above 15.5. Value data shows a 7.0% edge on the over at DraftKings with projected win probability of 62%.

reboundsOVER 3.560%MEDIUM

Quickley averages 4.1 RPG on the season and 4.21 RPG away, so 3.5 is a low bar relative to his baseline. Value props show a 5.6% edge on the over at betonlineag, supporting the play.

assistsOVER 5.558%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 6.1 and he’s at 7.0 APG over the last 10, which keeps him above 5.5 even with some recent volatility. The edge is small, so this is a modest-confidence over rather than a strong one.

threesOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.62 made threes per game on the season and 2.2 over the last 5, which is still enough to clear 2.5 often. Recent volume remains healthy at 2.4 to 2.8 attempts per game in the rolling samples.

stealsUNDER 1.568%MEDIUM

His season mark is 1.3 SPG, and 1.5 is above his typical baseline. Even with 2.0 SPG over the last 5, steals are high-variance and the under is the safer side at this line.

paOVER 21.556%MEDIUM

Quickley’s season points plus assists profile is strong enough to sit around the mid-20s, and his 25.5 PA line is supported more than the 21.5 number. The lower line gives extra room even with a recent scoring dip.

timelineOVER 15.5 PTS