Ja'Kobe Walter▲

TOR · SG

PPG

6.7

RPG

2.4

APG

1.1

L5 PPG

9.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.7

6.7

9.4

RPG+0.2

2.4

2.6

APG-0.1

1.1

1.0

SPG0.0

1.0

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

OVER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

WAS

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs WAS: 6 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 2 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 11 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 6 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 0 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 12 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 3 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 18 pts

DEN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs DEN: 14 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

UNDER 2.5

63%

AST

UNDER 1.5

66%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

57%

STL

OVER 0.5

61%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

64%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

56%

UNDER 1.5

72%

PRA

UNDER 10.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.2

9.1

RPG

3.1

2.6

APG

1.5

1.2

vs PHX (H2H)2 games

PPG

9.0

RPG

4.0

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kon Knueppel	4	11	25%	-19.3%	medium
Desmond Bane	3	11	36%	-15.7%	medium
Jalen Brunson	4	10	53%	+2.4%	medium
Derrick White	3	9	50%

Walter’s scoring role is steady, but the matchup caps upside

Ja'Kobe Walter has trended up recently, with 9.4 PPG over his last 5 and 7.2 PPG over his last 10 compared to a 6.7 season average. His minutes have stayed stable around 19-20 MPG, and his season-to-recent production suggests a modest scoring role rather than a major breakout. Phoenix allows a 111.17 defensive rating, but the opponent profile also shows a -1.55 three suppression, which is a mild headwind for a perimeter scorer. With A.J. Lawson out, Walter can absorb some extra usage, but the market still appears to be pricing him below his season norm.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.4(↑ from 6.7)

RPG

2.6(→ from 2.4)

APG

1.0(→ from 1.1)

3PM

1.4(↑ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available for Walter. The team-level data shows Phoenix with a 111.17 defensive rating, -0.948 scoring suppression, and -1.55 three suppression, which creates a slight drag on scoring and perimeter production.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Points	6.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	13	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	3	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	1	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	0	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	Turnovers	1.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	100%	1	✓
Ja'Kobe Walter▼	PRA	10.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	17	✗

ML Scout Analysis

3PM1.5UNDER9%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (14/20)11/2055%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge changed -0.049; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS8.5OVER10%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

P+R12OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A10.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

REB3.5OVER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

R+A4.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Ja'Kobe Walter

Points OVER 6.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle because his season scoring average is 6.7 and he has been at 7.2 over his last 10, while the DraftKings line is only 6.5. The edge is small at 2.6%, so it is playable but not a high-confidence spot.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Green	2	5	7	33%	39%
Devin Booker	2	4	19	80%	90%
Rasheer Fleming	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jordan Goodwin	2	2	2	33%	33%
Jamaree Bouyea	1	2	3	25%	38%

pointsOVER 6.558%MEDIUM

He averages 6.7 points for the season and 7.2 over his last 10, so 6.5 is a reachable number even with regression caution. Value data shows a 2.6% edge on the DraftKings 6.5 line, but the edge is modest, keeping confidence moderate.

reboundsUNDER 2.563%MEDIUM

Walter's season average is 2.4 RPG and his last 10 is 2.0 RPG, making 2.5 a slight over ask. His rebound distribution is low-volume, so the under is the more conservative lean.

assistsUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He is at 1.1 APG on the season and 1.2 APG over the last 10, with no strong assist spike in the recent logs. A 1.5 line would require above-baseline playmaking that his role has not consistently shown.

threesUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

Walter averages 1.25 made threes on the season and 1.4 over his last 10, but the opponent data includes -1.55 three suppression. That makes the under slightly preferable, especially since the trend is not far enough above season level to justify strong over confidence.

stealsOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 steals per game on the season and 1.2 over his last 10, which supports clearing a 0.5 line. Defensive activity remains one of his stronger statistical areas.

blocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

Walter averages just 0.2 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over his last 10. That is well below a 0.5 expectation, making the under the clear lean.

stocksOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.17 stocks and his recent form is 1.5 over the last 10, with last 5 at 1.4. That gives the over some support, but the variance is meaningful, so confidence stays mid-tier.

turnoversUNDER 1.572%HIGH

He averages only 0.5 turnovers on the season and 0.1 over the last 10, with multiple recent zero-turnover games. This is one of the strongest under positions on the board.

praUNDER 10.560%MEDIUM

His season PRA sits at 10.2, and combo props carry more variance than straight totals. With a low-assist profile and modest rebound numbers, the under is the safer side.

timelineOVER 6.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Walter’s scoring role is steady, but the matchup caps upside

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 6.5 PTS