Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel | 4 | 11 | 25% | -19.3% | medium |
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 11 | 36% | -15.7% | medium |
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 10 | 53% | +2.4% | medium |
| Derrick White | 3 | 9 | 50% |
Ja'Kobe Walter has trended up recently, with 9.4 PPG over his last 5 and 7.2 PPG over his last 10 compared to a 6.7 season average. His minutes have stayed stable around 19-20 MPG, and his season-to-recent production suggests a modest scoring role rather than a major breakout. Phoenix allows a 111.17 defensive rating, but the opponent profile also shows a -1.55 three suppression, which is a mild headwind for a perimeter scorer. With A.J. Lawson out, Walter can absorb some extra usage, but the market still appears to be pricing him below his season norm.
No specific defender matchup data is available for Walter. The team-level data shows Phoenix with a 111.17 defensive rating, -0.948 scoring suppression, and -1.55 three suppression, which creates a slight drag on scoring and perimeter production.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | Points | 6.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 13 | ✓ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 3 | ✗ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 3 | ✗ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Ja'Kobe Walter▼ | PRA | 10.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 17 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest angle because his season scoring average is 6.7 and he has been at 7.2 over his last 10, while the DraftKings line is only 6.5. The edge is small at 2.6%, so it is playable but not a high-confidence spot.
| medium |
| Andrew Nembhard | 3 | 8 | 0% | -44.3% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green | 2 | 5 | 7 | 33% | 39% |
| Devin Booker | 2 | 4 | 19 | 80% | 90% |
| Rasheer Fleming | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jordan Goodwin | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25% | 38% |
He averages 6.7 points for the season and 7.2 over his last 10, so 6.5 is a reachable number even with regression caution. Value data shows a 2.6% edge on the DraftKings 6.5 line, but the edge is modest, keeping confidence moderate.
Walter's season average is 2.4 RPG and his last 10 is 2.0 RPG, making 2.5 a slight over ask. His rebound distribution is low-volume, so the under is the more conservative lean.
He is at 1.1 APG on the season and 1.2 APG over the last 10, with no strong assist spike in the recent logs. A 1.5 line would require above-baseline playmaking that his role has not consistently shown.
Walter averages 1.25 made threes on the season and 1.4 over his last 10, but the opponent data includes -1.55 three suppression. That makes the under slightly preferable, especially since the trend is not far enough above season level to justify strong over confidence.
He averages 1.0 steals per game on the season and 1.2 over his last 10, which supports clearing a 0.5 line. Defensive activity remains one of his stronger statistical areas.
Walter averages just 0.2 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over his last 10. That is well below a 0.5 expectation, making the under the clear lean.
His season average is 1.17 stocks and his recent form is 1.5 over the last 10, with last 5 at 1.4. That gives the over some support, but the variance is meaningful, so confidence stays mid-tier.
He averages only 0.5 turnovers on the season and 0.1 over the last 10, with multiple recent zero-turnover games. This is one of the strongest under positions on the board.
His season PRA sits at 10.2, and combo props carry more variance than straight totals. With a low-assist profile and modest rebound numbers, the under is the safer side.