AI Model:

Karl-Anthony Towns▼

NYK · C

PPG

20.1

RPG

11.9

APG

2.9

L5 PPG

24.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.1

20.1

24.2

RPG-0.5

11.9

11.4

APG+0.9

2.9

3.8

SPG+0.1

0.9

1.0

BPG0.0

0.6

OVER 22.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

22.5

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 12 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 21 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 17 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 25 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 35 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 21 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 17 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 22 pts

BKN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs BKN: 26 pts

Over 22.5

Under 22.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 22.5FANDUEL

63%

REB

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

3PM

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

62%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

55%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

57%

P+R

UNDER 34.5FANDUEL

56%

P+A

OVER 25.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.0

21.2

RPG

12.2

11.8

APG

1.9

3.2

vs WAS (H2H)11 games

PPG

26.1

RPG

10.6

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kel'el Ware	4	21	79%	+14.4%	medium
Nic Claxton	4	19	18%	-31.7%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	19	80%	+20.1%	medium
Neemias Queta	3	16	67%

Towns has a strong scoring spot, but rebounds and combos are priced high

Karl-Anthony Towns enters this matchup with a season line of 20.1 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 2.9 assists, and his recent scoring has ticked up to 24.2 PPG over the last 5. The matchup is friendly on paper: Washington has a 124.06 defensive rating, and Towns has averaged 26.1 points and 10.6 rebounds in 11 games vs this opponent. Still, his season profile and the current lines suggest the market is already respecting that upside, especially on combo props where variance is higher.

Stat Trends

PPG

24.2(↑ from 20.1)

RPG

11.4(→ from 11.9)

APG

3.8(↑ from 2.9)

Key Matchup

Washington’s defensive rating is 124.06, and Towns has already produced 26.1 points and 10.6 rebounds across 11 games against this opponent. If Alex Sarr being out is fully reflected in the data, it weakens the opponent frontcourt rotation, but no specific defender matchup data should be assumed beyond the listed key defenders.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Points	22.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	26	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Rebounds	12.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	16	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	3	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	P+R	34.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	42	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	P+A	25.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	29	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R32.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

P+A23.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼

R+A15.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Karl-Anthony Towns

Points OVER 22.5HIGH

This is the strongest blend of form and matchup: 24.2 PPG over the last 5, 26.1 PPG in 11 games vs Washington, and an opponent defense allowing a 124.06 rating. The market line is still below both his recent scoring and head-to-head output, making this the cleanest angle.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Alex Sarr	2	14	13	43%	43%
Anthony Gill	1	2	3	100%	150%
Bub Carrington	3	2	7	75%	88%
Bilal Coulibaly	3	1	3	33%	33%
Jamir Watkins	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 22.563%MEDIUM

He has averaged 24.2 points over his last 5 and 26.1 points in 11 games vs Washington, both above this 22.5 line. The Wizards’ 124.06 defensive rating supports scoring upside, though his 20.1 season average keeps confidence moderate.

reboundsUNDER 12.558%MEDIUM

Towns’ season rebound average is 11.9, and his last-10 mark is 12.9, which is close but not a clear edge over 12.5. With the OVER bias warning and a market line above his season mean, the under is slightly safer.

assistsOVER 2.560%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 2.9 and his last 5 are 3.8, both above 2.5. The recent trend is up, and his 11-game history vs Washington sits at 3.0 assists.

threesUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

He averages 1.56 threes on the season but only 1.2 over the last 5 and 1.4 over the last 10. With the line at 1.5 and recent volume slipping, the under is the cleaner lean.

blocksOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

His season blocks average is 0.6, which is above the 0.5 threshold. The recent sample is mixed, so this stays a lower-confidence over.

stocksUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.47 and his recent marks are 1.4 over both the last 10 and last 20, so 1.5 is slightly rich. This is a variance-heavy area, and the profile leans just below the line.

prUNDER 34.556%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-rebounds expectation based on 20.1 points and 11.9 rebounds is around 32.0, below 34.5. Even with strong recent scoring, the combo line is elevated enough to prefer the under.

paOVER 25.558%MEDIUM

Towns averages 22.9 points plus assists on the season and 28.0 over the last 5, so 25.5 is reachable. The assist uptick helps, but this is still a combo prop with moderate risk.

timelineOVER 22.5 PTS