Mohamed Diawara▼

NYK · PF

PPG

3.5

RPG

1.5

APG

0.7

L5 PPG

5.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.5

3.5

5.0

RPG+1.3

1.5

2.8

APG+0.9

0.7

1.6

SPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 8 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 9 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 4 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 4 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 5 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 10 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 4 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 3 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs BKN: 8 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

86%

REB

OVER 1.5

58%

AST

OVER 0.5

63%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

79%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

4.5

7.2

RPG

1.5

2.8

APG

0.5

1.5

vs WAS (H2H)2 games

PPG

2.5

RPG

0.5

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Bennedict Mathurin	2	3	50%	+6.4%	low
Jaden Hardy	2	3	75%	+6.4%	low
Zaccharie Risacher	2	3	25%	-18.6%	low
Bruce Brown	2	3	100%

Shamet’s absence boosts minutes, but Diawara still projects under his scoring and threes lines

Mohamed Diawara’s season line is modest at 3.5 PPG, 1.5 RPG, and 0.7 APG in 8.9 MPG, and his recent production has only ticked up with the extra run: 5.0 PPG and 14.2 MPG over the last 5. The increase is tied to a larger role with Landry Shamet out, but the underlying trend is still volatile, with his last 10 showing 5.5 PPG and the recent game log including multiple low-output nights. Washington’s team defense data is not especially restrictive, but his own vs-opponent sample is tiny and low at 2.5 PPG and 4 MPG, which keeps the projection conservative.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.0(↑ from 3.5)

RPG

2.8(↑ from 1.5)

APG

1.6(↑ from 0.7)

3PM

1.0(↑ from 0.8)

Key Matchup

The key defender list does include Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, and Anthony Gill, but no specific defender matchup data is available for Diawara. Washington’s opponent defense numbers are soft overall, with a 124.06 defensive rating and 100 pace, but there is no direct individual matchup evidence here.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Mohamed Diawara▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	86%HIGH	1/2	60%	12	✗
Mohamed Diawara▼	Rebounds	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✗
Mohamed Diawara▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✗
Mohamed Diawara▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	79%HIGH	2/2	60%	3	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R9UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x7/1547%▼

P+A8UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x6/1540%▼

R+A3.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x5/1533%▼

Featured Pick

Mohamed Diawara

Points UNDER 7.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the data: his season scoring is 3.5 PPG, his recent 5-game run is 5.0 PPG, and the value model shows a 16.2% edge on the under with 28.99 EV. Even with Shamet out and some extra minutes, Diawara has not shown enough stable scoring volume to justify the over at 7.5.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jaden Hardy	1	2	6	40%	60%
Jamir Watkins	1	1	0	0%	0%
Bilal Coulibaly	2	1	0	0%	0%
Leaky Black	1	1	0	0%	0%
Anthony Gill	2	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 7.586%HIGH

His season average is only 3.5 PPG, and even his recent bump to 5.0 PPG over the last 5 is still well below 7.5. The value data is strong on the under, with a 16.2% edge and 28.99 EV on the under.

reboundsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.5 RPG on the season and 2.8 RPG over the last 5, so 1.5 is reachable if the minutes stay elevated near 14-15. This is a lower-confidence over because his role still fluctuates heavily game to game.

assistsOVER 0.563%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.7 APG and he’s at 1.6 APG over the last 5, making 0.5 a modest threshold. The recent minute bump is the main support, though the assist sample remains volatile.

threesUNDER 1.579%HIGH

Diawara averages 0.75 threes per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 5, still below a 1.5 line. The value props also favor the under with a 11.0%+ edge depending on the book.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS