AI Model:

Jerami Grant▲

POR · PF

PPG

18.7

RPG

3.6

APG

2.3

L5 PPG

15.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.7

18.7

15.0

RPG-0.2

3.6

3.4

APG-0.7

2.3

1.6

SPG+0.3

0.7

1.0

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

17.5

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 4 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 30 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 21 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 21 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 24 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 9 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 20 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 12 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 8 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 26 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

63%

REB

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

54%

AST

UNDER 2.5

58%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

68%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

56%

OVER 2

57%

P+R

UNDER 20.5FANDUEL

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.5

18.3

RPG

3.4

3.5

APG

1.6

1.9

vs BKN (H2H)10 games

PPG

19.2

RPG

4.1

APG

2.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jimmy Butler III	3	12	67%	+21.2%	medium
Julius Randle	4	11	50%	-8.0%	medium
GG Jackson	3	10	45%	-9.1%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	4	10	90%

Grant’s shot volume is there, but the scoring line still looks a touch rich

Jerami Grant is averaging 18.7 PPG, but his last-5 scoring has dipped to 15.0 PPG while his last-10 sits at 17.5 and last-20 at 18.4, suggesting a mild cooling trend from his season baseline. He still logs steady minutes at 30.0 MPG on the season and 32.0 MPG over the last 10, and his three-point profile remains strong at 2.39 makes per game with a recent 2.7 average. Against Brooklyn, his history is solid at 19.2 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 2.8 APG in 10 games, but the current price and recent scoring dip make the under on points more appealing than chasing an over.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.0(↓ from 18.7)

RPG

3.4(→ from 3.6)

APG

1.6(↓ from 2.3)

3PM

2.8(↑ from 2.4)

Key Matchup

Brooklyn allows a team defense context with a 115.49 defensive rating, and the game data provides no specific defender matchup data beyond Nic Claxton and Danny Wolf. Grant’s history vs this opponent is solid, but the available matchup information does not create a strong enough push to override the recent scoring dip.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Jerami Grant▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Jerami Grant▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	30%
Jerami Grant▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Jerami Grant▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Jerami Grant▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	60%
Jerami Grant▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%
Jerami Grant▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS19.5UNDER21%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A19OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

AST1.5OVER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PM2.5UNDER36%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R21OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

PRA23UNDER30%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

3PA6UNDER29%gbtAvoid (7/20)7/2035%▼

REB3UNDER14%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)8/2040%▼

FTM2UNDER32%gbtAvoid (6/20)7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2UNDER13%gbtAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

Featured Pick

Jerami Grant

Threes OVER 2.5HIGH

This is the clearest value on the board: he averages 2.39 threes on the season, 2.7 over the last 10, and the market line sits at 2.5. The value data shows roughly a 15% edge and strong positive EV, making this his best bet despite the general caution on overs.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Drake Powell	1	3	0	0%	0%
Danny Wolf	1	1	0	0%	0%
Ben Saraf	1	1	2	100%	100%
E.J. Liddell	1	1	0	0%	0%
Chaney Johnson	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 17.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 18.72, but the last-5 is down to 15.0 and the best book line is 17.5. The value data also favors the under with a 0.631 projected probability and +EV on the under side.

reboundsOVER 3.554%MEDIUM

Grant is at 3.6 rebounds per game on the season and 3.5 over the last 10, which is right on the line. The edge is modest, so confidence stays limited.

assistsUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

He averages 2.3 APG on the season and only 1.6 over the last 5, so the recent passing form is below this threshold. His assist mean is also well below double digits in volatility terms, making the under the cleaner side.

threesOVER 2.568%MEDIUM

This is the strongest angle: 2.39 threes per game on the season, 2.7 over the last 10, and a 2.5 line across books. The value props show a 15.5% to 15.7% edge on the over with strong positive EV.

stocksUNDER 1.556%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.31, with 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.6 over the last 10, but the overall mean stays below 1.5. That makes the under the more conservative play despite some recent activity.

turnoversOVER 257%MEDIUM

He has 2.0 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 2.3 to 2.4 in the last 10 and last 5, while the recent game logs include multiple 2+ turnover outings. The workload supports a modest over lean.

prUNDER 20.555%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds is about 22.3, but the recent scoring drop to 15.0 PPG pulls the combo closer to the line rather than above it. Given the combo volatility, the under is the safer side.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS