Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III | 3 | 12 | 67% | +21.2% | medium |
| Julius Randle | 4 | 11 | 50% | -8.0% | medium |
| GG Jackson | 3 | 10 | 45% | -9.1% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 4 | 10 | 90% |
Jerami Grant is averaging 18.7 PPG, but his last-5 scoring has dipped to 15.0 PPG while his last-10 sits at 17.5 and last-20 at 18.4, suggesting a mild cooling trend from his season baseline. He still logs steady minutes at 30.0 MPG on the season and 32.0 MPG over the last 10, and his three-point profile remains strong at 2.39 makes per game with a recent 2.7 average. Against Brooklyn, his history is solid at 19.2 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 2.8 APG in 10 games, but the current price and recent scoring dip make the under on points more appealing than chasing an over.
Brooklyn allows a team defense context with a 115.49 defensive rating, and the game data provides no specific defender matchup data beyond Nic Claxton and Danny Wolf. Grant’s history vs this opponent is solid, but the available matchup information does not create a strong enough push to override the recent scoring dip.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jerami Grant▼ | Points | 17.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
Jerami Grant▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% |
Jerami Grant▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% |
Jerami Grant▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Jerami Grant▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Jerami Grant▼ | Turnovers | 2 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 40% |
Jerami Grant▼ | P+R | 20.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
This is the clearest value on the board: he averages 2.39 threes on the season, 2.7 over the last 10, and the market line sits at 2.5. The value data shows roughly a 15% edge and strong positive EV, making this his best bet despite the general caution on overs.
| medium |
| Rui Hachimura | 3 | 9 | 75% | +17.0% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Powell | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Danny Wolf | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Ben Saraf | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| E.J. Liddell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Chaney Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 18.72, but the last-5 is down to 15.0 and the best book line is 17.5. The value data also favors the under with a 0.631 projected probability and +EV on the under side.
Grant is at 3.6 rebounds per game on the season and 3.5 over the last 10, which is right on the line. The edge is modest, so confidence stays limited.
He averages 2.3 APG on the season and only 1.6 over the last 5, so the recent passing form is below this threshold. His assist mean is also well below double digits in volatility terms, making the under the cleaner side.
This is the strongest angle: 2.39 threes per game on the season, 2.7 over the last 10, and a 2.5 line across books. The value props show a 15.5% to 15.7% edge on the over with strong positive EV.
His season stocks average is 1.31, with 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.6 over the last 10, but the overall mean stays below 1.5. That makes the under the more conservative play despite some recent activity.
He has 2.0 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 2.3 to 2.4 in the last 10 and last 5, while the recent game logs include multiple 2+ turnover outings. The workload supports a modest over lean.
His season points plus rebounds is about 22.3, but the recent scoring drop to 15.0 PPG pulls the combo closer to the line rather than above it. Given the combo volatility, the under is the safer side.