AI Model:

Jrue Holiday▲

POR · PG

PPG

16.0

RPG

4.5

APG

6.3

L5 PPG

10.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-5.6

16.0

10.4

RPG-0.1

4.5

4.4

APG-0.3

6.3

6.0

SPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

15.5

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 35 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 20 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 21 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 4 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 5 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 11 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 15 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 12 pts

DEN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs DEN: 9 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

78%

AST

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

3PM

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

62%

PRA

UNDER 25.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.9

17.3

RPG

3.3

4.9

APG

4.7

6.5

vs BKN (H2H)19 games

PPG

15.1

RPG

5.5

APG

6.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Julius Randle	4	10	59%	+9.0%	medium
Kawhi Leonard	2	10	60%	+4.5%	low
Aaron Gordon	3	10	40%	-5.5%	medium
Jamal Murray	4	9	68%

Holiday’s rebounds look strongest, but scoring is trending colder

Jrue Holiday is averaging 16.0 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 6.3 assists on the season, but his last-5 scoring has dipped to 10.4 PPG even as he has maintained 28.8 MPG. The rebound profile is the cleanest angle here: he sits at 4.5 RPG for the season and has a strong recent value case at the 4.5 line, while his assist numbers are more balanced around his 6.3 APG season mean. Brooklyn’s defense profile is not especially suppressive overall, but this matchup does not offer any specific defender matchup data, so the projection leans more on role and form than on a matchup edge.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.4(↓ from 16.0)

RPG

4.4(→ from 4.5)

APG

6.0(→ from 6.3)

Key Matchup

Brooklyn’s opponent defense shows a 115.49 defensive rating, 100 pace, and 0.037 scoring suppression, which is not a major red flag for his stat lines. There is no specific defender matchup data, so there is no named perimeter defender edge to lean on.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jrue Holiday▼	Points	15.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	11	✓
Jrue Holiday▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	78%HIGH	1/2	40%	7	✓
Jrue Holiday▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	4	✗
Jrue Holiday▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✗
Jrue Holiday▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	80%	0	✓
Jrue Holiday▼	PRA	25.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	22	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼

PTS17UNDER23%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST5OVER4%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

R+A10.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R22OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

REB5UNDER42%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)5/2025%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

FTA1.5UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

PRA26.5UNDER11%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

3PM3UNDER20%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PA7.5UNDER12%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTM1UNDER28%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Jrue Holiday

Rebounds OVER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest prop because the line matches his season average exactly at 4.5 RPG, while the value data shows a strong over edge of 25.8% with 59.13 EV over at the best listed book. His recent rebound production has held steady at 4.4 over the last 5 and 4.0 over the last 10, making this a much safer angle than his scoring props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ziaire Williams	1	3	0	0%	0%
Ben Saraf	2	3	6	33%	33%
Jalen Wilson	1	2	2	100%	100%
Chaney Johnson	2	1	7	75%	88%
E.J. Liddell	2	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 15.560%MEDIUM

His season mean is 15.98 points, but the last-5 mark is only 10.4, and the available books mostly shade to the under at 15.5. With recent scoring well below season level, the safer read is under.

reboundsOVER 4.578%HIGH

This is the best-supported prop on the board: he averages 4.5 RPG on the season, 4.4 over the last 5, and has a strong value signal at the 4.5 line with a 0.258 best edge and 59.13 EV over. The recent rebound floor is steady enough to prefer the over.

assistsOVER 5.554%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.26 APG and last-10 is 6.7, which keeps him above this number despite a softer 6.0 over the last 5. The edge is thin and the standard deviation is high enough to keep confidence modest.

threesOVER 2.566%MEDIUM

He averages 2.4 made threes per game for the season and 2.8 over the last 10, with multiple books listing 2.5. The recent volume is strong enough to lean over, though this is still a moderate-confidence play.

stocksUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

He averages 1.26 stocks for the season and 1.0 over the last 10, both below a 1.5 expectation. With no strong recent spike in steals or blocks, the under is the cleaner side.

praUNDER 25.557%MEDIUM

Using season production, his 16.0 points + 4.5 rebounds + 6.3 assists comes in near 26.8, but the recent scoring dip and the volatility of combo props make this less appealing. His last-5 form does not provide enough cushion to trust the over.

timelineUNDER 15.5 PTS