Usage bump keeps Wendell Carter Jr. live, but scoring still sits near his season baseline

His season mean is 11.9 PPG and his last 20 is 10.9, which is below this line. The last 5 at 15.0 is a hot stretch, but with the over-bias warning and a season standard deviation of 5.17, this is not a strong over for me.

He averages 7.6 rebounds on the season, 7.9 at home, and 8.2 over the last 20, so the 7.5 line is reachable. The profile is much steadier than his scoring, making this the cleanest positive lean.

His season average is 2.1 APG, last 10 is 2.3, and he has hit 2.2 APG over the last 5. The line is low enough that his normal playmaking workload clears it often.

He averages 1.02 threes per game on the season, but only 0.8 over the last 5 and 0.6 over the last 20. That recent dip makes the over less attractive at a full 1.0 line.

He averages 0.8 steals on the season and 1.0 over the last 5, so a 0.5 line is playable. Variance is still high, so confidence stays modest.

His season average is 0.6 blocks, but the last 5 is only 0.4 and his recent run has not been spike-heavy. With the line sitting at 0.5, the under is slightly cleaner than the over.

He averages 1.45 stocks on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, so this is close to his normal range. The volatility is meaningful, so this remains a low-confidence lean.

His recent turnover rates are 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.2 over the last 20, but his role as a starting big still puts him in range for turnovers. This is not a strong edge, but the higher-usage context keeps it live.

His season baseline math is 11.9 + 7.6 + 2.1 = 21.6, but the line is elevated and combo props are historically volatile. With his recent scoring trend cooling from the 15.0 last-5 mark and the over-bias caution, I prefer the under side here.

His season points plus assists total is 14.0, and even the last 5 is just 17.2. The line sits above his season mean by a noticeable margin, making the under the safer play.

Season points plus rebounds is 19.5, but his scoring has been the more unstable component and the line is priced aggressively. Because combo props carry added variance, I would rather avoid the over.

His season rebounds plus assists is 9.7, so this is close to fair but still slightly inflated relative to his usual output. With combo volatility and no clear pace boost from the data, the under is the better lean.

He is capable of a double-double, but his season averages sit at 11.9 points and 7.6 rebounds, meaning he often needs both categories to spike together. The recent game log shows only a couple of 10+ rebound outcomes, so the under is more likely.