AI Model:

Myles Turner▼

MIL · C

PPG

12.0

RPG

5.3

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

7.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.4

12.0

7.6

RPG-1.3

5.3

4.0

APG-0.3

1.5

1.2

SPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

BPG-0.7

1.5

0.8

UNDER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

11.5

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 5 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 8 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 8 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 22 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 7 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 8 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs UTA: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs PHX: 7 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 11.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

BLK

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

58%

STL+BLK

UNDER 3

60%

P+R

UNDER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.5

7.3

RPG

4.8

5.3

APG

1.1

1.6

vs LAC (H2H)5 games

PPG

16.8

RPG

4.2

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Alex Sarr	3	19	36%	-7.4%	medium
Moussa Diabaté	3	19	75%	+31.2%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	16	14%	-29.5%	medium
Jarrett Allen	3	14	67%

Turner’s role is stable, but the recent scoring dip keeps the under in play

Myles Turner is coming in with a clear downtrend: his season scoring average is 12.0 PPG, but his last 5 have fallen to 7.6 PPG and his last 10 to 8.4 PPG, while minutes have also slipped from 27.2 season MPG to 23.0 over the last 5. His rebound profile is also softer recently, with 4.0 RPG over the last 5 versus 5.3 for the season, though his shot-blocking and three-point volume still give him multiple ways to contribute. The matchup environment is mixed: the Clippers are allowing a pace of 100 and have a 113.11 defensive rating, but opponent absences and Turner’s own recent usage make his ceiling more modest than his season baseline. With the market still asking for mid-teens points and 6.5 rebounds, the recent production points more toward the under side on his higher-volume props.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.6(↓ from 12.0)

RPG

4.0(↓ from 5.3)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.5)

Stocks

1.4(↓ from 2.2)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is playable but not elite, with a 113.11 defensive rating and pace of 100, while opponent absences include Ivica Zubac, which can help Turner’s rebounding and interior involvement.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Myles Turner▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	7	✓
Myles Turner▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	0	✗
Myles Turner▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0	✓
Myles Turner▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	30%	1	✗
Myles Turner▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	1	✓
Myles Turner▼	STL+BLK	3	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	100%	2	✓
Myles Turner▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	7	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A11UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Myles Turner

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board because his season average is 2.09 made threes and his last 10 are still 1.7, both above the 1.5 line. The value data also shows strong positive edge on the over at multiple books, including a 14.7% edge at betmgm.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brook Lopez	1	4	6	50%	75%
Derrick Jones Jr.	1	1	0	0%	0%
Kawhi Leonard	1	1	8	29%	29%
Nicolas Batum	1	1	0	0%	0%
Isaiah Jackson	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 11.567%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.0 PPG, but his last 5 are only 7.6 and last 10 are 8.4, with minutes down to 23.0 in the last 5. That recent form is below the book line and supports a modest under lean.

reboundsOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

Turner’s season average is 5.3 RPG and his last 20 are 5.0 RPG, which sits above the 4.5 line. Recent form is weaker at 4.0 RPG over the last 5, so this is a thinner edge than season numbers suggest.

assistsUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

He averages just 1.49 APG for the season and 1.3 over the last 5, so the 1.5 line is slightly above his typical output. The recent dip and low overall assist role support the under.

threesOVER 1.570%HIGH

He averages 2.09 made threes per game for the season and 1.7 over the last 10, well above the 1.5 line. Value props also show strong positive edge on the over at this number.

blocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

Season mean is 1.5 BPG, but the last 5 are only 0.8 and the last 10 are 0.9, so recent form is below the threshold. With the line at 1.5, the under is the safer side.

stocksUNDER 360%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.22 and recent form is 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.5 over the last 10, both below a projected 3.0 threshold. This is a volatile combo that is better suited to the under.

prUNDER 16.555%MEDIUM

His combined season scoring and rebounding profile is 12.0 PPG and 5.3 RPG, but recent scoring and boards have both dropped. Because combo props add variance, the under is the more conservative play.

timelineUNDER 11.5 PTS