AI Model:

Ryan Rollins—

MIL · PG

PPG

16.9

RPG

4.6

APG

5.6

L5 PPG

20.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.5

16.9

20.4

RPG-0.4

4.6

4.2

APG+0.6

5.6

6.2

SPG-0.3

1.5

1.2

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

18.5

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 14 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 16 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 22 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CLE: 19 pts

UTA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs UTA: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs PHX: 26 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

83%

AST

UNDER 6.5FANDUEL

76%

REB

OVER 4.5FANDUEL

58%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

62%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

61%

PRA

UNDER 29.5FANDUEL

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.0

18.7

RPG

4.5

5.1

APG

5.2

6.6

vs LAC (H2H)2 games

PPG

0.0

RPG

0.5

APG

1.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tyrese Maxey	3	25	57%	+2.7%	medium
Immanuel Quickley	4	20	65%	+4.9%	medium
Jalen Pickett	2	17	44%	-14.0%	low
Jalen Brunson	3	16	71%

Rollins has usage, but the points and assists market is pricing in more than the matchup suggests

Ryan Rollins is in a strong minutes role at 32.2 MPG for the season and is holding steady over the last 10 and 20 games, with 17.3 PPG, 6.9 APG, and 2.9 TOPG in his last 10. The absences of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. support a higher on-ball workload, but the market has already pushed several lines above his season means. Against a Clippers team with a 113.11 defensive rating and 100 pace, the profile points more toward efficient but controlled production than a big ceiling game.

Stat Trends

PPG

20.4(↑ from 16.9)

APG

6.2(↑ from 5.6)

RPG

4.2(→ from 4.6)

3PM

3.2(↑ from 2.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond Derrick Jones Jr., and the provided key_defenders field does not give meaningful matchup detail. The Clippers data shows a 113.11 defensive rating, 100 pace, and 1.059 three suppression, which is slightly unfavorable for a scoring-heavy over profile.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ryan Rollins▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	83%HIGH	2/2	60%	13	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	Assists	6.5	UNDER	76%HIGH	1/2	30%	7	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	4	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	PRA	29.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	24	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A10.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Ryan Rollins

Points UNDER 18.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value on the board: his season mean is 16.9, his last 10 is 17.3, and the value data repeatedly marks UNDER 18.5 as the best side with a strong edge. The recent hot stretch is real, but it is not enough to fully override the baseline, especially with the market pricing him above his season scoring level.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kris Dunn	1	3	0	0%	0%
Darius Garland	1	2	3	50%	75%
Derrick Jones Jr.	1	2	2	50%	50%
Kawhi Leonard	1	1	2	50%	50%
Nicolas Batum	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 18.583%HIGH

His season mean is 16.9 PPG and his last 10 is 17.3, both below 18.5. Even with recent scoring up to 20.4 over the last 5, the market number is above his baseline and value data shows a strong UNDER edge.

assistsUNDER 6.576%HIGH

He averages 5.6 APG for the season and 6.9 over the last 10, but the last 5 of 6.2 still sits below 6.5. The season_std of 2.49 and recent_std of 2.91 show enough variance to keep confidence moderate.

reboundsOVER 4.558%MEDIUM

He is at 4.6 RPG for the season and 4.9 over the last 10, so 4.5 is close to his typical output. This is a low-margin play, but the recent rebound profile supports a slight lean over.

threesOVER 2.562%MEDIUM

He averages 2.47 made threes per game and 2.8 over the last 10, with 2.8 fg3mpg in both the last 10 and last 20. The line is right around his production level, and recent volume supports a modest over lean.

stocksOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.91 and last 10 is 2.0, both above 1.5. The combined defensive event rate is solid, though the standard deviation is not low enough for high confidence.

praUNDER 29.570%HIGH

His season-level production projects near the high 20s rather than a clear 30+ finish, and combo props carry extra variance. With a last 10 of 29.1 using season components, this is a thin edge toward the under.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS