Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells | 4 | 15 | 58% | +3.0% | medium |
| Devin Vassell | 4 | 14 | 35% | -23.9% | medium |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 3 | 14 | 73% | +7.5% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 3 | 14 | 44% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trey Murphy III▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 1/2 | 10% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | 3PM | 3.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 2/2 | 30% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | Points | 20.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | PRA | 29.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | P+R | 25.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | R+A | 8.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | P+A | 24.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% |
Trey Murphy III▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | — | 50% |
| medium |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 4 | 14 | 75% | +19.7% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 3 | 14 | 17 | 55% | 73% |
| Amen Thompson | 3 | 9 | 16 | 78% | 78% |
| Kevin Durant | 3 | 8 | 16 | 60% | 70% |
| Reed Sheppard | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Josh Okogie | 3 | 4 | 7 | 67% | 83% |
Trey Murphy III is officially Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), resulting in a 0-minute projection from the coach agent. While his season average of 5.7 RPG and last 5 average of 6.2 RPG are both above the 4.5 line, he will not be on the court to record any stats. He typically averages 5.56 RPG at home, but the shorthanded Pelicans will rely on others to fill the void. H2H history shows 3.5 RPG against Houston's defense, which is already below the line. The value calculator's 7.4% edge for the over is entirely negated by his confirmed absence.
The coach agent projects 0 minutes for Murphy tonight as he is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), making the 3.5 threes line impossible to reach. His season average of 3.31 threes is already below this line, though he has trended up to 3.7 over his last 5 games. Houston's defense suppresses three-point scoring by -0.539, which would have made this a difficult matchup even if he were active. He averages 3.09 threes at home, but he will not participate in this contest. The value calculator's 5.2% edge for the over is based on him playing his usual 35.5 minutes, which will not happen.
Murphy is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), so the coach agent's 0-minute projection ensures he will stay under the 3.5 assist line. He averages 3.8 APG on the season and 3.59 APG at home, but his playmaking will be absent tonight. His H2H history against Houston is notably low at 1.55 APG, suggesting he struggles to facilitate against their 109.97 rated defense. Recent form shows 3.2 APG over his last 5 games, which is already trending toward the under. The value calculator's 2% edge for the over is invalidated by the confirmed injury status.
With Murphy Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), the coach agent projects 0 minutes, meaning he cannot reach his 21.7 PPG season average. He averages 22.09 PPG at home, but the Pelicans' rotation will shrink to 10 players to cover his missing production. His last 5 games showed a downward trend to 18.6 PPG, and his H2H average against Houston is significantly lower at 14.2 PPG. Houston's defense provides -1.217 scoring suppression, further complicating the matchup he will now miss. The value calculator's slight edge for the under is confirmed by his inability to play.
Murphy is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), and the coach agent's 0-minute projection makes it impossible to reach the 29.5 PRA line. His season PRA average is 31.2, but he has trended lower recently with a 28.0 PRA average over his last 5 games. He typically performs well at home with a 31.2 PRA average, but he will not be available to exploit the high-paced 102.61 environment. H2H history shows a combined 19.2 PRA against Houston, which is well below the current line. The absence of playing time overrides all statistical trends and matchup advantages.
The coach agent projects 0 minutes for Murphy as he is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), ensuring he stays under the 25.5 PR line. His season average for points and rebounds combined is 27.4, but he will not record any stats against Houston tonight. Recent form shows 24.8 PR over his last 5 games, which is already below the 25.5 line. He averages 27.6 PR at home, but the shorthanded roster situation means his usage will be absorbed by teammates like Saddiq Bey. H2H data shows 17.7 PR against this opponent, and his confirmed status makes the under a certainty.
Murphy is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), so he is projected for 0 minutes by the coach agent tonight. He averages 9.5 RA on the season and 9.4 RA over his last 5 games, but will not play to accumulate these stats. While he averages 9.15 RA at home, the Pelicans' 10-man rotation will have to replace his rebounding and playmaking. H2H history shows a low 5.0 RA against Houston, which further supports the under even if he were active. The confirmed injury status is the definitive signal that he will not reach this combo line.
The coach agent projects 0 minutes for Murphy as he is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), making the 24.5 PA line unreachable. His season average is 25.5 PA, but he has trended down to 21.8 PA over his last 5 games, which is already below the line. He averages 25.68 PA at home, but he will not be on the court to face Houston's 109.97 rated defense. H2H history against Houston is low at 15.7 PA, showing a significant contradiction to his season mean. His absence makes the under a lock regardless of his historical scoring or passing splits.
Murphy is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), so the coach agent projects 0 minutes, making the 1.5 steals line impossible to hit. He averages 1.5 SPG on the season and 1.6 SPG over his last 5 games, showing consistent defensive activity. He is even more active at home with 1.8 SPG, but he will not be available to guard Houston's perimeter players. Houston's 99.35 pace is lower than New Orleans', but the matchup is irrelevant with Murphy sidelined. The absence of playing time guarantees an under for this defensive counting stat.
The coach agent projects 0 minutes for Murphy as he is Out (Injury/Illness-RightAnkle;Sprain), so he will not record any blocks tonight. He averages 0.3 BPG on the season, which is already below the 0.5 line, though he has trended up to 0.8 BPG recently. He averages 0.7 BPG at home, but he will not be part of the Pelicans' interior defense against Houston. Historical accuracy data shows blocks under hit at a 71.4% rate, and his absence makes this a 100% certainty. The shorthanded Pelicans will rely on other rotation players for rim protection.