Darius Garland v2 Props — LA Clippers vs Milwaukee Bucks

AI Model:

Darius Garland—

LAC · PG

PPG

19.2

RPG

2.4

APG

6.8

L5 PPG

24.6

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.4

19.2

24.6

RPG-0.4

2.4

2.0

APG0.0

6.8

SPG-0.1

0.9

0.8

BPG+0.3

0.1

0.4

UNDER 9.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

9.5

MEM

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MEM: 6 ast

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 7 ast

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 6 ast

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 7 ast

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 10 ast

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 6 ast

DAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs DAL: 11 ast

MIL

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MIL: 6 ast

TOR

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs TOR: 6 ast

IND

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs IND: 5 ast

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

UNDER 9.5

95%

PTS

UNDER 19.5

85%

REB

UNDER 2.5

80%

3PM

UNDER 3.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 26.5

85%

R+A

UNDER 9.5

90%

PRA

UNDER 29.5

85%

P+R

UNDER 22.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.2

22.8

RPG

2.0

APG

7.0

6.4

vs MIL (H2H)15 games

PPG

18.2

RPG

2.9

APG

6.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donte DiVincenzo	3	14	100%	+28.5%	medium
Devin Vassell	3	11	70%	+3.5%	medium
Gary Trent Jr.	2	10	42%	-13.2%	low
Andrew Nembhard	4	10	72%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Actual	Result
Darius Garland▼	Assists	9.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	80%	11	✗
Darius Garland▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	20%	15	✓
Darius Garland▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	60%	2	✓
Darius Garland▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	30%	3	✓
Darius Garland▼	P+A	26.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	20%	26	✓
Darius Garland▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	50%	13	✗
Darius Garland▼	PRA	29.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	30%	28	✓
Darius Garland▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	30%	17	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS20.5OVER11%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed +0.035; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A9OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

REB2.5UNDER33%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)7/2035%+14.0% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.342▼

AST7.5OVER2%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.307▼

PRA30.5OVER5%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.189; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+R22.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A27UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

3PM2.5OVER34%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Gary Trent Jr.	2	10	5	33%	42%
Taurean Prince	2	3	0	0%	0%
AJ Green	2	1	0	0%	0%
Ousmane Dieng	2	1	0	0%	0%
Andre Jackson Jr.	1	1	3	100%	150%

assistsUNDER 9.595%HIGH

Garland averages 6.8 APG on the season and 7.0 over his last 10, significantly below this 9.5 line. With a VERY_HIGH blowout probability (-18.5 spread), the Coach Agent projects his minutes could drop to 25.3, and he has failed to clear 9.5 assists in 8 of his last 10 games.

pointsUNDER 19.585%HIGH

While Garland is averaging 23.8 PPG over his last 10, his season average is 19.2 and he scored only 15 points in 18 minutes during the last H2H meeting with Milwaukee. The extreme blowout risk suggests he will sit the 4th quarter, capping his scoring ceiling despite the sharp line movement upward.

reboundsUNDER 2.580%HIGH

Garland averages 2.4 RPG on the season and 2.1 over his last 10, with only 3 of his last 10 games clearing this 2.5 line. The Value Calculator shows a 32.1% edge on the UNDER, which is supported by projected reduced minutes (25.3) in a likely blowout scenario.

threesUNDER 3.575%HIGH

Although Garland has been hot from deep (4.5 3PM last 10), his season average is 2.8 and historical data shows a 69% hit rate for UNDER on threes. Reduced playing time in a blowout (25.3 projected mins) makes sustaining his recent high volume difficult.

paUNDER 26.585%HIGH

Garland's season average for Points + Assists is 26.0, and he recorded only 21 PA in the most recent matchup against Milwaukee. The high blowout risk and the Coach Agent's projected minute reduction to 25.3 minutes create a strong signal for the UNDER.

raUNDER 9.590%HIGH

Garland's season average (9.2) and last 10 average (9.1) for Rebounds + Assists are both below this line. He has cleared 9.5 RA in only 4 of his last 10 games, and limited minutes tonight further decrease the likelihood of an OVER.

praUNDER 29.585%HIGH

The 29.5 line is above Garland's season average of 28.4 PRA. In a game where the Clippers are 18.5-point favorites, the high probability of starters sitting early (25.3 projected mins) makes it difficult to reach this total, as seen in his 23 PRA performance in the last H2H.

prUNDER 22.580%HIGH

Garland's season average for Points + Rebounds is 21.6, which is below the 22.5 line. Given the VERY_HIGH blowout probability and his 17 PR output in the last meeting with Milwaukee, the UNDER is the statistically advantaged play.

timelineUNDER 9.5 AST

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 9.5 AST