Defensive Matchup Profile

{ "props": [ { "type": "rebounds", "line": 3.5, "pick": "OVER", "confidence": 75, "reasoning": "Tyronn Lue’s blowout adjustment projects Jones for 25.3 minutes, yet he remains a strong candidate for the over as he has cleared 3.5 rebounds in four of his last five games (averaging 5.0 RPG). Sharp money has moved this line up from 2.5 to 3.5, reflecting his recent efficiency despite a season average of 3.29. His head-to-head history against Milwaukee (3.66 RPG) and his 5-rebound performance in their last meeting on March 23 further support the over. While he averages slightly fewer rebounds away (3.18) than at home (3.36), the Bucks' poor defensive rating and high pace indicator provide ample rebounding opportunities before starters are rested." }, { "type": "pr", "line": 13.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 75, "reasoning": "With a projected 25.3 minutes in a blowout scenario, Jones faces a difficult path to reaching 14 combined points and rebounds, having failed to clear this line in three straight games. His head-to-head average against Milwaukee is a lowly 8.6