Alex Caruso v2 Props — New York Knicks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso▲

OKC · PF

PPG

6.4

RPG

2.8

APG

2.0

L5 PPG

4.6

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.8

6.4

4.6

RPG0.0

2.8

APG+0.4

2.0

2.4

SPG-0.8

1.4

0.6

BPG+0.1

0.3

0.4

OVER 1.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

1.5

CHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHI: 1 ast

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 1 ast

BOS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BOS: 2 ast

MIN

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIN: 1 ast

ORL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs ORL: 1 ast

BKN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs BKN: 1 ast

WAS

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs WAS: 5 ast

PHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs PHI: 2 ast

BOS

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs BOS: 2 ast

CHI

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs CHI: 2 ast

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 1.5

85%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

80%

REB

OVER 2.5

70%

PTS

UNDER 5.5

75%

P+R

UNDER 8.5

70%

STL

UNDER 1.5

85%

PRA

UNDER 10.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 8.5

75%

R+A

OVER 5.5

75%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.1

5.7

RPG

2.1

3.0

APG

1.8

vs NYK (H2H)13 games

PPG

6.9

RPG

3.5

APG

4.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Alperen Sengun	3	12	75%	+17.8%	medium
Naz Reid	2	7	29%	-13.6%	low
De'Aaron Fox	4	7	44%	+2.2%	medium
Devin Booker	2	7	50%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Alex Caruso▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	85%HIGH	1/2	50%	2	✓
Alex Caruso▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	60%	2	✗
Alex Caruso▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%	2	✗
Alex Caruso▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	50%	6	✗
Alex Caruso▼	P+R	8.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	8	✓
Alex Caruso▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	50%	1	✓
Alex Caruso▼	PRA	10.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	10	✓
Alex Caruso▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	50%	8	✓
Alex Caruso▼	R+A	5.5	OVER	75%HIGH	1/2	50%	4	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A9.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x6/1833%▼

AST2UNDER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)4/1822%▼

3PA3UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/1839%▼

PTS6OVER7%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x8/1844%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

3PM1UNDER44%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x5/1828%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

PRA12OVER17%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x9/1850%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

REB2.5UNDER11%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)9/1850%▼

STL1UNDER14%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 7x7/1839%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTA0.5UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/1844%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

P+R10.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/1850%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	6	6	100%	100%
Mikal Bridges	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jalen Brunson	2	2	4	40%	40%
OG Anunoby	2	1	0	0%	0%
Josh Hart	2	1	2	100%	100%

assistsOVER 1.585%HIGH

Caruso has cleared 1.5 assists in 4 of his last 5 games (averaging 2.4) and holds a massive 28% edge according to the value calculator. His H2H history against the Knicks is elite at 4.15 APG, which significantly outweighs the concern of his 17.4 projected minutes.

threesUNDER 0.580%HIGH

Caruso is on a significant cold streak, making 0.5+ threes in only 1 of his last 6 games and averaging just 0.2 per game over his last 5. The value calculator shows a 16.1% edge on the UNDER, supported by a low 28.1% season three-point percentage and reduced 17.4 projected minutes.

reboundsOVER 2.570%HIGH

While he only cleared this in 2 of his last 5 games, Caruso's season average (2.8) and H2H average vs NYK (3.46) are both above the line. The value calculator identifies a 13.3% edge for the OVER, and he historically performs better on the glass in away games (3.2 RPG).

pointsUNDER 5.575%HIGH

Sharp money has moved this line down from 6.5 to 5.5, and Caruso has failed to clear 5.5 points in 3 of his last 4 games. With a high blowout probability likely capping his 17.4 projected minutes, his recent average of 4.6 PPG makes the UNDER the statistically favored side.

prUNDER 8.570%HIGH

Caruso's recent Points + Rebounds average of 7.4 is well below this line, and he has failed to reach 9+ PR in 3 of his last 5 games. The high blowout risk and limited 17.4-minute projection for a rotation player make it difficult to accumulate the necessary volume.

stealsUNDER 1.585%HIGH

Caruso has not recorded more than 1 steal in any of his last 6 games, averaging a mere 0.6 SPG over his last 5. Despite his season average of 1.4, his current form and low 17.4 projected minutes make the UNDER a high-conviction play.

praUNDER 10.570%HIGH

Caruso has failed to clear 10.5 PRA in 3 of his last 5 games, averaging 9.8 during that span. While his season average is 11.2, the combination of a high blowout risk and a projected role of only 17.4 minutes suggests he will struggle to hit this combo line.

paUNDER 8.575%HIGH

With a sharp signal moving his points line down and a recent average of only 7.0 Points + Assists, Caruso is trending away from this line. He has missed 8.5 PA in 3 of his last 5 games, and the 17.4 projected minutes offer little room for a scoring outburst.

raOVER 5.575%HIGH

This is Caruso's strongest combo OVER as he has cleared 5.5 R+A in 3 of his last 5 games and his H2H history vs NYK is a dominant 7.61 R+A. The value calculator shows significant edges for both individual components (28% for assists, 13% for rebounds), supporting the OVER.

timelineOVER 1.5 AST

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 1.5 AST