The line is nearly double his season average of 11.0 PPG and significantly higher than his last 5 average of 12.6 PPG. Massive sharp movement saw the opening line of 25.5 crash to 8.5, and the value calculator shows a dominant 49.2% edge on the UNDER.

Mamukelashvili averages only 1.38 threes per game this season and has failed to clear 2.5 threes in 7 of his last 10 games. Orlando's defense is highly effective at limiting perimeter shots, evidenced by their -0.853 three-point suppression rating.

While his season average is 4.89, sharp money has moved the current market line down to 3.5, and his H2H history against Orlando shows a lower average of 4.2 RPG. Coach Rajakovic's bench rotation limits minutes to approximately 19.6, making it difficult to clear this line against a physical Magic frontcourt.

His H2H average against Orlando for Points + Rebounds is 12.0, which sits below this line. Given the significant downward sharp pressure on his scoring (market line 8.5) and rebounding (market line 3.5), the combined total is unlikely to exceed 12.5.

Mamukelashvili's H2H PRA average of 14.0 indicates a historical struggle to clear this line against Orlando's defensive scheme. With projected bench minutes of 19.6 and a scoring trend that the market is heavily betting down, the UNDER provides the strongest statistical value.