Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 3 | 9 | 75% | +16.4% | medium |
| Robert Williams III | 2 | 8 | 0% | -58.6% | low |
| Mitchell Robinson | 2 | 8 | 67% | +8.1% | low |
| Jarrett Allen | 2 | 7 | 33% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Cardwell▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 3 | ✓ |
Dylan Cardwell▼ | P+R | 12.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 7 | ✓ |
Dylan Cardwell▼ | Points | 4.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 4 | ✗ |
Dylan Cardwell▼ | PRA | 13.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 8 | ✓ |
| low |
| Jalen Duren | 2 | 7 | 43% | -15.7% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Liddell | 1 | 3 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Chaney Johnson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Ben Saraf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Danny Wolf | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Malachi Smith | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
Cardwell averages significantly fewer rebounds on the road (6.47) compared to at home (8.7), and sharp money has moved the line down from 7.5 to 6.5. He has cleared this line in only 2 of his last 5 games and recorded just 3 rebounds in 15 minutes during his previous matchup against Brooklyn. The value calculator identifies the UNDER as the best side with a 3.94 EV.
His away split for points and rebounds combined is 11.06, which is notably lower than the 12.5 line. Cardwell has failed to reach 13 PR in 3 of his last 5 games and managed only 8 PR in his last meeting with the Nets. With projected minutes around 20.1, his production is unlikely to overcome the negative away trend and poor H2H history.
Sharp money has moved this line up from 3.5 to 4.5, indicating professional interest in the over. He has cleared this mark in 3 of his last 5 games and scored 5 points in his only previous game against Brooklyn. While his away average is 4.59, the positive line movement and recent 5.0 PPG trend support a slight lean toward the over.
Cardwell's away PRA average of 12.66 is nearly a full point below the 13.5 line. Although he has cleared this in 3 of his last 5 games, his previous performance against Brooklyn resulted in only 10 PRA. Given the sharp downward movement on his primary stat (rebounds), the combined total is likely to stay under the line in a medium-pace environment.