Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Williams | 5 | 6 | 50% | +7.4% | medium |
| Jeremiah Fears | 4 | 5 | 50% | -5.1% | medium |
| Aaron Holiday | 2 | 5 | 0% | -42.6% | low |
| Quentin Grimes | 2 | 5 | 83% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaden Hardy▼ | Points | 8 | OVER | 95%HIGH | 90% |
Jaden Hardy▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 90%HIGH | 80% |
Jaden Hardy▼ | PRA | 16.5 | OVER | 80%HIGH | 40% |
Hardy is averaging 16.6 PPG over his last 5 games and 13.8 PPG over his last 10, both significantly higher than this 8.0 line. Sharp money has moved his points line from an opening 5.5 to 11.5 (a 6.0 magnitude shift), and with starters Tre Johnson and Kyshawn George out, Hardy's usage in the 103.84 pace environment is primed to exceed his 13.4 PPG H2H average.
Hardy has cleared 1.5 threes in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 4.2 makes over his last 5 and 3.0 over his last 10. His away split is particularly strong at 3.5 made threes per game, and the value calculator shows a significant 22.5% edge for the OVER in a game with a high 238.5 total.
| low |
| Jordan Clarkson | 2 | 4 | 67% | +24.1% | low |
Hardy's last 5 game PRA average of 18.8 and H2H average of 18.1 both support the OVER, driven primarily by his recent scoring surge (16.6 PPG). While his rebounds (1.2) and assists (1.0) are low, the high-pace matchup against a Portland defense with a 116.6 rating ensures enough volume for his scoring to carry this combo line.