Defensive Matchup Profile

{ "props": [ { "type": "points", "line": 8.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 85, "reasoning": "Leaky Black's points line is 8.5, and while this matches his season average, his away split of 7.43 PPG is already below the line. Coach Brian Keefe's rotation strategy limits starters to an average of 26.2 minutes, a significant reduction from Black's 32.25-minute season average. With a very high blowout probability and a 16-point spread, Black is unlikely to see the usage necessary to overcome this minutes restriction. His adjusted road average based on the 26.2-minute projection is only 6.03 points. Furthermore, historical data shows that points UNDER props hit at a 57.0% rate, making this a high-confidence selection." }, { "type": "rebounds", "line": 5.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 75, "reasoning": "The line for rebounds is 5.5, and although Black averages 6.0 rebounds in away games, this production comes in 32.25 minutes per game. Tonight, the Coach Agent projects starters to play only 26.2 minutes due to a deep 13-man rotation, which adjusts his