John Collins v2 Props — Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers

AI Model:

John Collins—

LAC · PF

PPG

13.5

RPG

5.2

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

10.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.9

13.5

10.6

RPG-0.2

5.2

5.0

APG0.0

1.0

SPG+0.1

0.9

1.0

BPG-0.2

0.8

0.6

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

LAL

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs LAL: 12 pts

NOP

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NOP: 15 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 10 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 11 pts

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 18 pts

NOP

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs NOP: 18 pts

DAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs DAL: 8 pts

TOR

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs TOR: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs IND: 5 pts

MIL

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs MIL: 22 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5

85%

3PM

OVER 1.5

70%

REB

UNDER 5.5

65%

P+R

UNDER 18.5

75%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.6

14.9

RPG

7.1

5.4

APG

1.6

1.3

vs POR (H2H)10 games

PPG

13.2

RPG

6.5

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	13	50%	-22.1%	medium
Royce O'Neale	4	10	63%	-13.7%	medium
Miles Bridges	2	10	20%	-35.4%	low
Dominick Barlow	2	10	80%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
John Collins▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	60%	17	✗
John Collins▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	10%	3	✓
John Collins▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	6	✗
John Collins▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	50%	23	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5OVER35%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)OVER 4x14/2070%+19.5% edge▼

REB5.5OVER10%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)13/2065%+15.5% edge▼

PRA24UNDER36%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA3UNDER33%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 7x8/2040%▼

P+R20.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 4x12/2060%▼

P+A15.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

AST1OVER12%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%▼

3PA2.5UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTM1UNDER15%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PM1UNDER39%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kris Murray	3	7	2	50%	50%
Jrue Holiday	2	4	3	50%	75%
Deni Avdija	3	4	17	86%	100%
Donovan Clingan	3	2	3	50%	50%
Toumani Camara	3	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 12.585%HIGH

27 MPG, stable 11.9 ppg last 10; tough POR defense (116 DRtg) suppresses scoring; moderate blowout risk caps upside; line equals season avg; last 5 avg below line (10.6); home avg 11.6 ppg little boost; value calculator favors UNDER by 5-8% edge

threesOVER 1.570%HIGH

John Collins shoots 0.8 3PM last 5, 1.3 season; projected 27 MPG stable; POR weakened wing defense due to absence of Grant/Sharpe; line slightly above season avg; last 5 trend lower but matchup favors slight boost; small value edge; moderate confidence

reboundsUNDER 5.565%MEDIUM

5.2 season avg and last 5 stable; projected 27 MPG consistent; POR allows moderate rebounds, no big men absences; line slightly above season avg; last 5 trend steady; blowout risk medium could limit boards; slight downside from value calculator

prUNDER 18.575%HIGH

Points+Rebounds line equates roughly to combined season averages (13.5+5.2=18.7); stable minutes 27; last 5 combined trend 15.6; moderate blowout risk caps upside; opponent defense tough; value context supports UNDER

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 12.5 PTS