Jayson Tatum v2 Props — Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

AI Model:

Jayson Tatum

BOS · PF

PPG

20.9

RPG

9.1

APG

4.2

L5 PPG

21.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.3

20.9

21.2

RPG+0.7

9.1

9.8

APG+0.2

4.2

4.4

SPG-0.1

1.1

1.0

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 23.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

23.5

CLE

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CLE: 20 pts

SAS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAS: 24 pts

WAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs WAS: 20 pts

PHX

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs PHX: 21 pts

GSW

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs GSW: 24 pts

MEM

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MEM: 13 pts

MIN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs MIN: 16 pts

OKC

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs OKC: 19 pts

ATL

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs ATL: 26 pts

CHA

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs CHA: 32 pts

Over 23.5

Under 23.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 23.5

85%

AST

UNDER 4.5

75%

REB

OVER 8.5

70%

3PM

OVER 2.5

72%

P+A

UNDER 26.5

65%

R+A

OVER 13.5

68%

P+R

UNDER 30.5

70%

PRA

UNDER 35.5

68%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

21.0

22.2

RPG

11.0

5.5

APG

4.5

3.0

vs MIA (H2H)17 games

PPG

25.5

RPG

8.1

APG

4.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Andrew Wiggins	1	6	75%	+8.8%	low
Jaden McDaniels	1	5	50%	+8.8%	low
Chet Holmgren	1	5	50%	-7.9%	low
Taylor Hendricks	1	5	67%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jayson Tatum▼	Points	23.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	1/2	60%	25	✗
Jayson Tatum▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	60%	11	✗
Jayson Tatum▼	Rebounds	8.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	18	✓
Jayson Tatum▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	40%	4	✓
Jayson Tatum▼	P+A	26.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	36	✗
Jayson Tatum▼	R+A	13.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	29	✓
Jayson Tatum▼	P+R	30.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	43	✗
Jayson Tatum▼	PRA	35.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	54	✗
Jayson Tatum▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS21.5OVER6%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼

AST4.5OVER51%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 6x8/1457%▼

PRA35.5OVER29%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 6x8/1457%▼

P+R31.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼

STL0.5OVER35%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/1471%▼

FTA4.5OVER4%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)7/1450%▼

R+A15.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x7/1450%▼

3PM3.5UNDER36%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)5/1436%+5.1% edge▼

3PA8.5UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1450%▼

REB8.5UNDER16%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/1471%▼

P+A26.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 5x6/1443%▼

FTM3UNDER12%gbtAvoid (7/20)6/1443%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Andrew Wiggins	1	6	5	50%	75%
Pelle Larsson	1	2	5	67%	83%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	1	2	2	50%	50%
Kel'el Ware	1	1	0	0%	0%
Tyler Herro	1	1	6	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 23.585%HIGH

Sharp line down 2, season avg 20.9, 33 min proj, blowout risk med

assistsUNDER 4.575%HIGH

Season avg 4.2, last 5 4.4, 33 min proj, assists UNDER market edge

reboundsOVER 8.570%HIGH

Season avg 9.1, last 5 9.8, 33 min proj, home split 11.0 rpg

threesOVER 2.572%HIGH

Season avg 2.9, last 5 2.8, 33 min proj, value edge 8.5% OVER

paUNDER 26.565%MEDIUM

Points+assists avg 25.1, 33 min proj, combo prop high variance

raOVER 13.568%MEDIUM

Rebounds+assists avg 13.3, last 5 14.2, 33 min proj, home split 16.4

prUNDER 30.570%HIGH

Points+rebounds avg 30.0, last 5 31.0, 33 min proj, blowout risk med

praUNDER 35.568%MEDIUM

PRA avg 34.2, last 5 35.4, 33 min proj, combo prop high variance

blocksUNDER 0.580%HIGH

Season avg 0.2, last 5 0.4, blocks UNDER 71.4% hit rate

timelineUNDER 23.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 23.5 PTS