Alperen Sengun v2 Props — Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets

AI Model:

Alperen Sengun▼

HOU · C

PPG

20.7

RPG

9.0

APG

6.2

L5 PPG

25.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.5

20.7

25.2

RPG0.0

9.0

APG+1.2

6.2

7.4

SPG+0.2

1.2

1.4

BPG+1.1

1.1

2.2

UNDER 19.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

19.5

TOR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs TOR: 14 pts

DEN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs DEN: 10 pts

LAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAL: 27 pts

ATL

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs ATL: 15 pts

MIA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIA: 19 pts

CHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs CHI: 33 pts

MIN

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs MIN: 30 pts

MEM

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs MEM: 14 pts

NOP

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs NOP: 36 pts

NYK

2026-03-31

2026-03-31 vs NYK: 13 pts

Over 19.5

Under 19.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 19.5

85%

AST

UNDER 5.5

75%

REB

OVER 8.5

70%

3PM

OVER 0.5

60%

PRA

UNDER 33.5

65%

P+R

UNDER 28.5

70%

R+A

OVER 14.5

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

19.4

20.8

RPG

8.6

7.4

APG

7.3

5.1

vs MIL (H2H)9 games

PPG

16.3

RPG

8.7

APG

3.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nikola Jokić	4	24	58%	-0.0%	medium
Maxime Raynaud	4	20	50%	-5.0%	medium
Rudy Gobert	2	14	57%	+4.7%	low
Luke Kornet	3	13	100%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Alperen Sengun▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	60%	25	✗
Alperen Sengun▼	Assists	5.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	40%	4	✓
Alperen Sengun▼	Rebounds	8.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	9	✓
Alperen Sengun▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✓
Alperen Sengun▼	PRA	33.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	38	✗
Alperen Sengun▼	P+R	28.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	34	✗
Alperen Sengun▼	R+A	14.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	13	✗
Alperen Sengun▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	1/2	50%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA33.5UNDER8%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)11/2055%▼

P+R29.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

PTS18.5UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼

REB8.5UNDER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%+7.2% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

BLK0.5UNDER23%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A27UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

AST5.5UNDER33%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)9/2045%+5.7% edge▼

R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jericho Sims	1	7	1	0%	0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo	1	5	11	36%	36%
Myles Turner	1	4	9	80%	90%
Andre Jackson Jr.	1	2	5	67%	83%
Bobby Portis	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 19.585%HIGH

Blowout risk high, line up sharp signal, season avg 20.7 vs 19.5, H2H low 16.3, value edge 13.8% UNDER

assistsUNDER 5.575%HIGH

Coach projects 33 min, blowout caps, season avg 6.2, H2H low 3.7, value edge 7.4% UNDER, assists OVER historically bad

reboundsOVER 8.570%HIGH

Coach projects 33 min, season avg 9.0, last 5 avg 9.0, H2H 8.7, value edge 5.5% OVER, blowout risk moderate

threesOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

Season avg 0.55, last 5 avg 1.4, H2H data missing, value edge 5.1% OVER, but threes UNDER historically strong

praUNDER 33.565%MEDIUM

Blowout risk high, starters sit 4Q, PRA projection ~32 based on points 19.5, rebounds 8.5, assists 5.5, combo prop high variance

prUNDER 28.570%HIGH

Blowout risk high, PR projection ~28 based on points 19.5 + rebounds 8.5, season avg 29.7, last 5 avg 34.2 but inflated

raOVER 14.565%MEDIUM

RA projection ~14 based on rebounds 8.5 + assists 5.5, season avg 15.2, last 5 avg 16.4, blowout risk caps upside

blocksUNDER 0.580%HIGH

Season avg 1.1, last 5 avg 2.2 but volatile, blocks UNDER historically 71.4% hit rate, blowout reduces opportunities

timelineUNDER 19.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 19.5 PTS