AI Model:
SF
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC · SF
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 8.5
85%
REB
UNDER 4.5
70%
AST
UNDER 1.5
75%
STL
OVER 0.5
60%
BLK
OVER 0.5
65%
3PM
UNDER 0.5
80%
TO
OVER 0.5
55%
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 3 | 12 | 38% | -17.4% | medium |
| De'Aaron Fox | 3 | 11 | 38% | -13.2% | medium |
| Trey Murphy III | 3 | 10 | 83% | +16.0% | medium |
| Jamal Murray | 2 | 10 | 17% | -39.6% | low |
| Anthony Edwards | 3 | 9 | 69% | +10.8% | medium |
Season eFG%: 50.7% — green = player shoots better vs this defender, red = worse
vs SAS Defenders
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 3 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 38% |
| Dylan Harper | 2 | 4 | 5 | 100% | 125% |
| Stephon Castle | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Devin Vassell | 3 | 4 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie | 3 | 3 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | Points | 8.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 1/2 | 4 | ✓ |
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 4 | ✓ |
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 1 | ✓ |
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0 | ✗ |
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0 | ✗ |
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | — | 0 | ✓ |
Derrick Jones Jr.▼ | Turnovers | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 0 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS8.5OVER1%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x12/2060%+6.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Line moved -1.0; Value edge shifted +0.184▼
REB3.5OVER19%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%+6.5% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
PRA13.5UNDER4%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x12/2060%Line moved -1.5▼
R+A5.5UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼
P+R14OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
P+A11OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.