John Collins v2 Props — San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers

AI Model:

John Collins▲

LAC · PF

PPG

13.5

RPG

5.2

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

10.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.1

13.5

10.4

RPG-0.6

5.2

4.6

APG0.0

1.0

SPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

BPG-0.2

0.8

0.6

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

NOP

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NOP: 15 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 10 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 11 pts

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 18 pts

NOP

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs NOP: 18 pts

DAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs DAL: 8 pts

TOR

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs TOR: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs IND: 5 pts

MIL

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs MIL: 22 pts

POR

2026-03-31

2026-03-31 vs POR: 17 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5

75%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

85%

REB

UNDER 5.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 17.5

65%

PRA

UNDER 19.5

60%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

90%

P+A

UNDER 13.5

70%

R+A

UNDER 7.5

65%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.2

15.2

RPG

7.0

5.7

APG

1.5

1.3

vs SAS (H2H)13 games

PPG

14.0

RPG

7.5

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	13	50%	-22.1%	medium
Royce O'Neale	4	10	63%	-13.7%	medium
Miles Bridges	2	10	20%	-35.4%	low
Dominick Barlow	2	10	80%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
John Collins▼	Points	11.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2	50%	15	✓
John Collins▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	1/2	40%	0	✓
John Collins▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	6	✗
John Collins▼	P+R	17.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	21	✗
John Collins▼	PRA	19.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	21	✗
John Collins▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	—	60%	0	✓
John Collins▼	P+A	13.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	15	✗
John Collins▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	6	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5OVER27%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 4x14/2070%+15.7% edgeValue edge changed -0.038; Odds moved materially▼

PRA18.5OVER17%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 4x15/2075%+19.4% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved -5.5▼

REB5.5OVER11%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)13/2065%+9.8% edgeValue edge changed -0.057; Odds moved materially▼

R+A7UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 7x8/2040%▼

P+R20.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 4x12/2060%▼

P+A15.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

3PM0.5OVER21%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Line nudged -0.5▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Julian Champagnie	2	6	6	38%	38%
Keldon Johnson	2	4	2	50%	50%
Victor Wembanyama	1	2	2	50%	50%
Devin Vassell	2	2	0	0%	0%
Stephon Castle	2	1	2	25%	25%

pointsOVER 11.575%HIGH

27min proj, 10.7% edge, sharp line down to 11.5

threesUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Last 5 avg 1.0, 2/5 games cleared, 0.5 line high

reboundsUNDER 5.570%HIGH

Season avg 5.2, H2H 7.5 but Wembanyama out

prUNDER 17.565%MEDIUM

Pts+Reb avg 16.7, blowout risk caps minutes

praUNDER 19.560%MEDIUM

Avg 19.7, inconsistent assists, blowout risk

blocksUNDER 0.590%HIGH

Last 5 avg 0.6, 1/5 games cleared, blocks UNDER 71%

paUNDER 13.570%HIGH

Pts+Ast avg 13.4, low assist role, blowout risk

raUNDER 7.565%MEDIUM

Reb+Ast avg 6.2, season low, blowout caps minutes

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 11.5 PTS